Similarly, the source says the governor — who is sitting on a massive campaign warchest and an insurmoutable -
looking lead in the polls — had planned events for Thursday, but they, too, were removed before a public schedule went out.
Not exact matches
In the introduction to a series that will
look back at the events
leading up to the election, Silver seems on the defensive somewhat, justifying his analysis of the
poll results and pointing out that he predicted Clinton would be weak with the Electoral College and that Trump might prevail.
The question of who will be Germany's next Chancellor
looks increasingly unlikely with the current incumbent, Angela Merkel seeing her
lead in the opinion
polls being eroded by socialist leader Martin Schulz.
The recently formed United Conservative Party may be
leading in the
polls but the party is
looking a lot less united.
This measure is worth
looking at
in more detail as voting intention
polls led many forecasters astray
in 2015.
The Rochester and Strood by - election was already
looking like a done deal
in favour of Ukip, with one
poll putting defector Mark Reckless comfortably
in the
lead.
Scottish Labour is
looking to press home the party's
lead in the
polls nine months ahead of next year's Holyrood elections.
Parliament
looks set to consider a bill that would introduce strict rules on
polling companies and could even ban
polls being conducted
in the weeks
leading up to an election.
Looking at the rest of YouGov's monthly figures, on the Best Prime Minister question, where Michael Howard has now been replaced by David Cameron and David Davis, Tony Blair has only a 6 point
lead over David Cameron, compared to a 21 point
lead over Michael Howard
in the last Blair / Howard / Kennedy
poll and an 11 point
lead over Howard at the election.
Alan and Steve discuss what
led to Spitzer's huge drop
in the
polls and they'll take a
look at the numbers for other New York politicians including Senator Hillary Clinton and Attorney General Andrew Cuomo.
Wisconsin (D): Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker (R) keeps
looking strong
in the
polls, holding a high - single digit
lead over Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D).
The often caustic race for New York's 18th Congressional District had always
looked to be a close one, with Maloney
leading Hayworth by 5 percentage points
in a Siena College
poll released last week.
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Poll: Davis Holds Large
Lead in Top Illinois Contest Bill Enyart Challenger
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And it
looks like Team Spitzer does need to keep spending: While the latest numbers still have Spitzer beating Stringer by either four or twelve points (according to Quinnipiac University and Wall Street Journal / NBC Marist
polls, respectively), the very recognizable former governor's
lead sounds less impressive when you consider that,
in the last three weeks, he has spent three times as much as the increasingly feisty but still somewhat unknown Manhattan borough president has spent on his entire campaign.
Whilst it is always unwise to
look at any one
poll in isolation, a trend is beginning to emerge as far as the recent YouGov
polls are concerned, with increasing Tory
leads of 4 %, 6 % and now 7 % being recorded over the last month.
These seats had Labour and Conservative equal at the last election so an eight point
lead here is the equivalent of a four point national swing and a one point Labour
lead in national
polls... pretty much exactly what the national
polls have been showing lately (actually if you
look at the crossbreaks of the
poll they suggest a swing towards the Conservatives
in the Conservative held seats, a swing towards Labour
in the Labour held seats, but given the sample size of those two groups and that the
poll is only weighted at the level of all forty seats I wouldn't put too much weight on that).
Once the Coalition Government's cuts start to bite Labour can probably
look forward to big
leads in mid-terms
polls, but underneath that our
poll suggests image problems the new leader will need to address.
Still, for those getting rather bored with the voting intention figures, we can
look ahead to several potentially significant events — many commentators have suggested Gordon Brown is putting great weight
in the G20 summit this week to give his premiership a boost, beyond that is the budget, which could work either way, and past that we have the local and european elections, which often
lead to realignments
in the national opinion
polls.
Looking through the rest of the
poll, the Conservatives & Theresa May have a
lead over Labour & Jeremy Corbyn on almost every economic measure YouGov asked about (36 on cutting the deficit, 32 points on managing the economy, 15 on providing jobs, 11 on keeping prices down, 11 on improving living standards, 6 on getting people on the housing ladder), the only exception was reducing the number of people
in poverty, where Corbyn & Labour had a 7 point
lead.
At least
in England the conservatives are successful, have been
leading in the
polls, winning council elections and
looking very much like a government
in waiting.
Looking ahead to the 2013 mayoral contest, the
poll found that Congressman Anthony Weiner is
in the
lead, with the support of 21 percent of registered Democrats
polled.
The mayor, who enjoyed a 40 - point
lead in polls early this month, has pointed out that the testimony involves accusations of pay - to - play activities by the de Blasio administration that investigators already
looked into.
EUROSCEPTIC firebrand Milos Zeman was
leading the way
in the
polls ahead of the Adult fun and UK adult dating If you are
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Clinton has a modest 54 - 41 percent edge among early voters
in an average of the three most recent tracking
poll waves, while Trump
leads by a 50 - 39 percent margin among those
looking to vote on Election Day; those who anticipate voting early are more evenly split.