In case you're one of the «open to discussion» folks, however, you might read the various charter
lottery loser studies.
High - risk lottery winners on average commit crimes with a total expected sentence of 35 months, compared to 59 months among
lottery losers.
Because the oversubscribed charter schools in our sample admit students via random lotteries, comparing the outcomes of lottery winners (most of whom enrolled in a charter school) and
lottery losers (most of whom did not) is akin to a randomized - control trial of the kind often used in medical research.
For example, high - risk middle - school lottery winners are 18 percentage points more likely than
lottery losers to be enrolled in CMS in their 10th - grade year.
High - school lottery winners attend schools that are demographically very similar to the schools attended by
lottery losers, while middle - school winners attend schools that are less African American and higher income on average.
The average social cost of the crimes committed by high - risk lottery winners (after adjusting the cost of murders downward) is $ 3,916 lower than for
lottery losers, a decrease of more than 35 percent.
A fourth study by Christina Tuttle and colleagues found no difference in student perceptions of the disciplinary environment among middle school KIPP lottery winners relative to
lottery losers.
Table 7 reports the mean follow - up rate for
lottery losers along with estimates of win - loss differentials.
Also, students in voucher - accepting schools systematically could do better than
lottery losers and still vouchers might lower overall system performance.
In practice, about a fifth of lottery winners never attend a charter school, and
some lottery losers eventually end up in a charter school (by entering a future admissions lottery, gaining sibling preference when a sibling wins the lottery, or moving off a waitlist after the offers coded by our instrument were made).
Yet, when I and a group of researchers from Harvard, MIT, Duke and the University of Michigan subsequently tracked down the admission lottery winners, and compared their outcomes to
the lottery losers, we found large differences in achievement.
We reviewed records for
both lottery losers and winners, which we defined as students immediately accepted at Noble or offered one of the first 10 waitlist positions.
It compared outcomes of students who applied and were admitted to these schools through randomized admission lotteries (lottery winners) with the outcomes of students who also applied to these schools and participated in the lotteries but were not admitted (
lottery losers).
In several other categories we see that the 8th grade lottery winners were «better» than
the lottery losers.
The authors explain that although this may eliminate the concern with the CREDO study about family motivation, peer influence is still a potential bias, with lottery winners surrounded by classmates from similarly motivated families, while
lottery losers are educated with many peers who did not apply to a choice school, and hence may not be as motivated (72).
Not exact matches
We all know that
lotteries are a
loser's game that taxes the poor, but Jerry and Marge Selbee made millions of dollars playing
lotteries in...
But, as in any other
lottery, the
losers outnumber the winners a thousand to one.
Jurgen Klopp's side were the unfortunate
losers in the spot - kick
lottery and will look to exact some revenge on the Citizens by landing a huge blow to their Premier League title ambitions.
He could have bought reams of cards, picked out the winners and sold the rest, but instead Srivastava sent the Ontario
Lottery and Gaming Corporation two piles of 10 unscratched cards, one marked winners, one
losers.
When comparing
lottery winners and
losers, we also control for prior achievement and the same set of demographic characteristics used in our broader analysis.
Students who won the
lottery are more than 55 percentage points more likely than
losers to attend their first - choice school in the first year, and on average spend an additional 1 to 1.5 years enrolled in that school overall.
My results reflect the average difference in outcomes between winners and
losers across all of the
lotteries conducted at each level.
If, for example, drug - market activity is concentrated within a few schools, we might expect large differences in criminality in the high school years that diminish as enrollment in the chosen school ends and
lottery winners and
losers return to the same neighborhoods.
With a large enough sample, a simple comparison of outcomes between winners and
losers would identify the causal effect of winning the
lottery.
Because the
lottery is random, any differences in outcomes between
lottery winners and
losers can be attributed to the effect of enrolling in the G&T magnet program rather than one of these alternatives.
Fortunately, the observed characteristics of
lottery winners and
losers who remain in the district continue to be very similar.
Of the 542
lottery participants, only 440 students, including 331 winners (84 percent) and 109
losers (74 percent), remain in LUSD by 7th grade.
We find no statistically significant differences in the observed characteristics of
lottery winners and
losers, suggesting that the
lotteries were in fact conducted in a random way.
For example, the quasi-experimental study by economists Tom Kane and Josh Angrist on Boston charter schools, which compared the winners and
losers of charter admission
lotteries, helped change the Massachusetts law that had blocked the creation of new charters.
Since the two groups of students - the
lottery's winners and
losers - had similar average abilities and family backgrounds, any subsequent achievement differences observed between them can be attributed to the effects of the vouchers.
But my data show that the incomes of the participating and nonparticipating families were roughly equal for both the
lottery winners and
losers, as well as for the choice, control, and noncomplying students.
As a measure of
lottery quality, Table 3 reports differences in demographic characteristics and baseline scores between
lottery winners and
losers.
This table shows that charter
lottery winners are about 15 percentage points less likely to switch than
losers.
Among charter high school applicants,
lottery winners are 5 percentage points less likely to be Hispanic and about 6 percentage points more likely to be black than
losers.
They compared
lottery winners with
losers, controlling for the fact that families who applied for the
lotteries were different from families who didn't.
Lottery winners and
losers should be similar at the time the
lotteries are held.
Among high school applicants, charter
lottery winners are more likely to switch schools than
losers, a marginally significant difference of 5 — 6 percentage points.
We found no significant differences between
lottery winners and
losers on characteristics, including gender, age at high school entry, and the math and reading scores and racial composition of their middle schools.
We use the NSC data throughout our analysis because they are available for both
lottery winners and
losers.
If
lottery winners learned more than
losers, the effectiveness of the voucher initiative would be clearly established and the voucher movement could use this information to convince skeptics.
Our main analyses control for students» age, gender, and the average test scores at their middle schools, but we obtain similar results from a simple comparison of
lottery winners and
losers, as we would expect given the use of the
lottery.
Abdulkadiroglu et al. (2011) and Angrist, Pathak, and Walters (2013) found similar estimates of the impact of a year in a Boston area charter school whether they compared charter school admission
lottery winners and
losers or whether they compared charter attendees to regular public school students with similar observed characteristics.
The Credo study has been criticised for not comparing the results of children who have won charter - school
lotteries with those who have not — a natural experiment in which the only difference between winners and
losers should be the schooling they receive.
In her study, Ms. Hoxby found that, by the 3rd grade, the average charter school student was 5.3 points ahead of
lottery «
losers» on state exams in English and 5.8 points ahead in math.
To test whether the benefit of KIPP pre-K fades out over time, researchers compared the difference in
lottery winners» and
losers» scores in reading in kindergarten and again in second grade.
Lotteries that randomly select voucher winners and
losers from a large pool of applicants provide a quasi-experimental approach and a step toward isolating voucher effects, but even these are subject to scrutiny and methodological critiques.
Researchers are now following the outcomes of winners and
losers of these
lotteries.
The
losers feel like they are being forced back to one of those failing schools, and the winners feel like
lottery winners.
Economists from MIT and Harvard, among other co-authors, found in one paper that voucher winners «were about 10 percentage points more likely than (
lottery)
losers to have completed eighth grade, primarily because they repeated fewer grades,» and that «on average,
lottery winners scored about 0.2 standard deviations higher than
losers.»
I really don't get the whole junior resource stock obsession, don't these
losers know in just about every instance
lottery tickets & scratch cards would be safer & cheaper..?!