Ever been out on a cold clear night with the stars clearly visible, and
then low cloud cover comes in, and you experience a warming effect?
The change
in low cloud cover in the 1997 - 1998 El Niño came mainly as a decrease in optically thick stratocumulus and stratus cloud.
The pictures and video, some captured from above
with low cloud cover invading the shots, are instantly a significant part of the story of Spieth's career and Open Championship history:
Svensmark had the nerve to hypothesize that most of the global warming of the 20th Century can be explained by the reduction in cosmic rays due to livelier solar activity, resulting in
less low cloud cover and warmer surface temperatures.
Low clouds covered most of the landscape, but occasionally they cleared just enough to reveal a lacy layer of snow covering the mountainsides.
The small island of Kauai with its gigantic jagged mountain peaks and
low cloud cover mixed with an ever changing weather system yield some of the most spectacular sunsets in the world.
My interpretation from the news article is that he concludes that low clouds can exhibit a lower albedo than sometimes modeled, but then an important question is
how low cloud cover is changing over recent decades of warming.
Originally the number of ensembles was 129, but one ensemble member is excluded because of the unrealistic cooling drift, caused by the interaction between negative SST anomalies and
low cloud cover which is known to sometimes occur in models of this type (e.g. Stainforth et al. 2005, supplementary information).
The decline in
tropical low cloud cover should be a negative feedback to the weakening of indirect solar since the mid 1990's.
The climate models with the mixed layer oceans underestimate both the
subtropical low cloud cover and the high - latitude sea ice / surface albedo, and consequently have a smaller warming response to OHT.
To the contrary, as there is an inverse correlation
between low cloud cover and solar irradiation, and solar / volcanic have influences in the stratosphere, non-excisting for CO2 or human made aerosols.
The 20th century warming may have been caused by the increased solar magnetic activity which may
reduce low cloud cover, decreasing sulphate aerosols (which reflect sunlight) due to pollution controls and changes to ocean cycles.
Nevertheless, evidence is building for a warming influence from cloud changes: Clement's research shows that when the sea surface is warm there is
less low cloud cover (Science, vol 325, p 460).
Second: solar intensity on short term is inversely correlated
with low cloud cover (see the reference here), which intensifies the variation and probably the long - term trend too.
This parameterization fails to account adequately for the cooling effects of an increase
in low cloud cover that generally accompanies the increasing levels of water vapour that IPCC asserts to cause (as yet unmeasured, and certainly not currently occurring) warming.
Climate forcing perturbations such as increasing the solar constant, increasing black carbon aerosols (tropospheric), and decreasing surface albedo,
low cloud cover, sea salt aerosol, will (on global average) warm the ground and troposphere and will also warm the stratosphere.
Alternatively, the moderate GCR flux somehow ceases to influence
the low cloud cover: — RRB — rasmus]