Not exact matches
The key difference from figure A is that much
lower population and economic
growth rates are assumed in this
lower emissions scenario.
• global
emissions from fossil fuels are reduce by 50 % in 50 years • Due in part to
lower cost energy, the world will be much richer than current projections suggest; as a result, population
growth rate slows to the
low end of projections.
Lowering the
emissions will slow down the CO2
growth rate, but not stop it.
Energy - related CO2
emissions from OECD countries are projected to be flat from 2015 to 2040 in the IEO2017 Reference case, slightly
lower than the annual
rate of
growth from 1990 to 2015 when OECD CO2
emissions increased 0.3 % per year.
The target that resulted in the
lowest emission levels was used in the calculation of the aggregate
emissions (Whenever necessary, multiple initial
growth rates were used.
Also — as with
emissions — the
growth rate up to 2000 is
lower... only about 0.5 %, and it sped up this century.
If the
growth rate is brought to zero linearly over the next 15 years, the Chinese
emission rate curve looks like the
lower (blue) curve and would have
lower cumulative
emissions than the abrupt scenario even if there are no reductions in
emission rate beyond 2030.
The agency did not recommend countries set limits on how many children people should have, but said: «Women with access to reproductive health services... have
lower fertility
rates that contribute to slower
growth in greenhouse gas
emissions.»