Some other indicators point to a potential drag from a prolonged period of
low headline inflation on the dynamics of wages and core prices, possibly reflecting hysteresis effects.
Also, Fitch forecasts that, «a high inflation could have a fiscal impact if it keeps domestic funding costs elevated (yields can be as high as 20 % on short - term instruments), although we think the Bank of Ghana may have scope to ease monetary policy in 2017, as the impact of electricity tariff adjustments drops out of CPI calculations,
lowering headline inflation.»
Not exact matches
We have a different view on
inflation, which we see below 2 percent even in 2018,» analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said in a note on Wednesday, explaining that oil prices will keep
headline inflation low.
Goldman Sachs said in a note last week that factors including weaker economic activity,
lower - than - expected
headline inflation, continued tightness in liquidity conditions and subdued global activity and dovish central banks around the world could push the RBI to ease its policy.
Although a number of temporary factors are keeping
headline inflation near its 2 per cent target, our measures of core
inflation are in the
lower half of the target band and have been trending downward in recent quarters.
While the Fed certainly considers much more than the superficial
headline number in its analysis of
inflation, some of those who interpret the Fed's actions make this overly simplistic assertion: Inflation is too low today and therefore justifies the maintenance of low poli
inflation, some of those who interpret the Fed's actions make this overly simplistic assertion:
Inflation is too low today and therefore justifies the maintenance of low poli
Inflation is too
low today and therefore justifies the maintenance of
low policy rates.
The conditions that the Fed has said it was waiting to see before liftoff are actually in place; they're just not being reflected in the
headline inflation data because of the transitory nature of
lower energy prices.
Inflation remains
low, running at around 1 1/2 per cent in both
headline and underlying terms.
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Given that the
headline payroll growth has been solid, the latest round of US GDP data (for Q2) surprised to the upside, and personal consumption, real personal consumption and personal income data also surprised to the upside (July data), PCE
inflation (fell to 1.4 % Y / Y in July, hitting the
lowest since late 2015) and general wage growth has been the missing piece of the puzzle for the Fed.
I'm getting tired of
headlines that claim «Deficits Up,» when they're really down or «Hyperinflation Coming,» when our slow - growth economy has been holding
inflation at historically
low levels.
In many advanced economies,
headline inflation has been pushed
lower by the sudden collapse in commodity prices — a temporary effect — but core
inflation rates have remained stable.
Inflation expectations have dropped back during the past year, and the falls in headline inflation that are in prospect could help to reinforce those lower expe
Inflation expectations have dropped back during the past year, and the falls in
headline inflation that are in prospect could help to reinforce those lower expe
inflation that are in prospect could help to reinforce those
lower expectations.
The various measures of underlying
inflation recorded slightly
lower outcomes in the quarter, although on a year - ended basis they show
inflation at a similar rate to the
headline measure (Table 14; Graph 71).
Not only did
headline inflation turn negative again (at -0.2 %), but core
inflation unexpectedly fell to 0.7 % y - o - y, a 10 - month
low, raising new concerns over the underlying trend in consumer prices.
Despite recent
headline noise around Spain, and stubbornly
low inflation, we believe the rally in Europe, which has outperformed other developed markets this year, still has legs.
A supermarket food price war and
lower petrol price
inflation are expected to have brought the
headline consumer price index measure of
inflation down for the sixth month running in March.
Next, the pound got slapped
lower on Tuesday when the U.K.'s October CPI report was released since since
headline inflation in the U.K. only printed a weak 0.1 % month - on - month rise, missing expectations for a 0.2 % increase and slower than the previous month's +0.3 %.
The
headline CPI has been held down by
low oil prices; as this reverses due to the OPEC supply reduction agreement,
headline inflation will climb above the core rate.