The economy, while stable, is hardly showing great signs of life given
low inflation figures, and additional CGT taxation could put people's disposable income levels under more pressure — which will not help stimulate growth.
Not exact matches
The
figure includes the unemployment rate, the Fed's estimate of the «natural rate» — the
lowest unemployment rate they believe to be consistent with stable
inflation at the 2 % target — year - over-year wage and price growth (using the core - PCE deflator, the Fed's preferred
inflation benchmark right now).
We had already put in place a response in advance of the expected pick - up in
inflation and it is not necessarily always wise to respond to one high (or
low)
figure.
The
figure below shows some of the key indicators from the Fed's dashboard, including unemployment, the Fed's guess at the «natural rate» (the
lowest unemployment rate consistent with stable
inflation), actual
inflation (PCE core, the Fed's preferred gauge), and the Fed's
inflation target of 2 percent.
As the
figure at the end shows,
inflation (core PCE) looks to be about a point
lower now, give or take.
I live in a
low almost deflationary enviroment (Europe) and was checking out some retirement software and something keep throwing me off, took me a bit to
figure it out but it was
inflation, like WTF is that and then I remembered I lived in Spain during the housing bust and now in Germany with negative real interest rates and I'm simply not used the idea that prices increase each year simply because time goes by.
Following his comments, with the prospect of a rise in eurozone interest rates apparently pushed back to 2018 at the earliest, the euro — which had already dipped in the wake of the
lower - than - expected
inflation figures — gave up more ground.
One way to interpret this
figure is that the Treasury market was expecting weaker aggregate demand growth in the future and consequently
lower inflation.
Whenever the CPI show
lower than expected
figures, then
inflation drops and the ECB is forced to cut interest rates, which makes the European currency less attractive and the EUR / JPY pair may drop.
If one uses real rates of
inflation produced by Shadowstats (versus the fantasy land
figures of
low inflation quoted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics every month for years on end), one can prove that the US dollar has crashed.
Not only were the second - quarter GDP
figures somewhat disappointing, but
inflation has remained quite
low even though the eurozone pulled its way out of a short period of deflation seen at the beginning of this year.
 However, Statistics Canadaâ $ ™ s
figures from actual payroll data show that average wages paid by local governments have increased at a
lower rate than overall average wages and at rates above the rate of
inflation over the past twenty years:
The euro plunged from near two - year highs to a six - week
low against the dollar in early November, after weak
inflation figures stoked fears about demand in the 17 - member economy, according to Nawaz Ali, UK market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions.
New York City rents rose faster than
inflation over the past three years, continuing a housing squeeze that has been particularly felt by
lower - income tenants and shows no signs of abating, new
figures from the Census Bureau show.
When today do you hear a credible labour
figure arguing full employment is a greater priority than
low inflation or embracing unilateral nuclear disarmament for example.
He should admit that we do not have
low inflation and give the country a proper
figure for the real level of
inflation which I estimate to be around 15 % and rising.
Using this year's revised
inflation assumptions, the cut would be 30 percent (
lowest dotted line in
Figure 2).
Even with the prospect of a near - term easing of
inflation and perhaps even some negative CPI
inflation figures, the combination of strong real yields and principal safety makes these a good harbor for investors who want to sleep nights without accepting untenably
low nominal yields (and the high associated durations - which I suspect many investors currently overlook).
Many of you probably have a much
lower personal rate of
inflation than the 3 %
figure.
In a pre-recorded conversation with RAHB CEO Ross Godsoe, Bacher noted that
low interest rates,
low unemployment
figures, positive employment gains and a
low inflation rate, among other factors, bode well for the coming year.