For example, if inflationary pressures were high and interest rates were moving up, the Fed could not predictably
lower the Fed Funds rate by easing monetary policy.
Most of the pressure is toward
a lower Fed funds target rate, but given that the Fed has sterilized their prior cuts, I don't see what great good it will do.
The Fed influences where Fed funds trades through open market operations, where
they lower the Fed funds rate by increasing the supply of reserves to the system through temporary repurchase transactions, and outright purchases of securities through the creation of new credit, thus expanding its balance sheet (a permanent injection of liquidity).
The Fed will
lower Fed funds rates by more than they want to because they are committed to reflating dud assets, and the loans behind them.
Now, this doesn't mean that the FOMC isn't going to eventually
lower the Fed funds rate to 3 % at some point in 2008.
Conversely, when the FOMC votes to
lower the Fed Funds Rate, the economy is pushed to expand.
Some reasons for the fall include: the Federal Reserve
lowering the Fed Funds rate, declining inflation, improved monetary efficiency, economic slack, the continued global demand for US assets, and relative stability in the US vs. other markets.
That's when the Federal Reserve
lowers the fed funds rate, and all other interest rates fall as a result.
Fed Chairman Greenspan tried to stop the severe stock market decline by
lowering the Fed Funds rate to 1 % in mid 2003 and keeping it at that level for a year.
In one sense, the Fed created an ice age for US interest rates by
lowering the Fed Funds rate essentially to zero and by printing money to buy US Treasury and mortgage backed securities, putting further downward pressure on longer term interest rates.
On the other hand, since such subtleties are wasted on the public, they will likely have to grab the blunderbuss of
lowering the Fed funds target, and fire a few times.
Rather than merely promise that Fed funds will remain low for so many years, offer banks a way to have a guarantee of
low Fed funds rates for that time period.
My opinion:
low Fed funds rates foster speculation in healthy assets.
In this present environment, I am most concerned with how
low Fed funds trades on a daily basis.
The FOMC raises and
lowers the fed funds rate as it sees fit to promote or curtail borrowing activity by businesses and consumers.
When the Fed's interest rate policy is stuck at its zero bound, he argued that «a decline in inflation expectations drives up real interest rates and thereby increases the real cost of credit which can not be offset by simply
lowering the fed funds rate.
In one sense, the Fed created an ice age for US interest rates by
lowering the Fed Funds rate essentially to zero and by printing money to buy US Treasury and mortgage backed securities, putting further downward pressure on longer term interest rates.
As a result, you'll generally observe that when the Fed
lowers the Fed Funds Rate, banks often lower other «offered» rates like the Prime Rate and LIBOR, but they also simultaneously lower deposit rates.
Second,
the low Fed funds rate touched off a flurry of adjustable - rate home loans, which Greenspan himself inadvisably endorsed at one point.
The last big program the Fed has been using to help the economy recover is a historically
low Fed Funds rate.
As others have commented, and I can't remember where,
the low Fed funds rate reduces the powers of the regional Federal Reserve banks, and raises the power of the NY Fed and the Board of Governors, because the regional Federal Reserve banks don't have much play in the new lending programs.
The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee
lowered the Fed funds target and discount rate by 75 basis points.
In an ordinary recession,
lowering the Fed funds rate can stimulate the banks to lend.
In past economic cycles, there were sectors of the economy that could be stimulated by the Fed
lowering the Fed funds rate.
The low Fed Funds rate keeps all high quality short - term bond yields very low and pushes investors into longer maturity bonds.
Not exact matches
The
Fed's
low interest rate policy has driven more and more money into bond
funds as investors search for higher yields.
«I don't see raising the target range for the
fed funds rate above its current
low level in 2015 as being consistent with the pursuit of the kind of labor market outcomes that we are charged with delivering,» he said.
The economy may be healthy enough for them to raise interest rates, but the new 0.5 percent to 0.75 percent target for the benchmark
fed funds rate, up a quarter point from where it had been, remains far below the historical norm — and, by all indications, the Fed still expects rates to stay low for at least a few more yea
fed funds rate, up a quarter point from where it had been, remains far below the historical norm — and, by all indications, the
Fed still expects rates to stay low for at least a few more yea
Fed still expects rates to stay
low for at least a few more years.
For the time period in question, the federal
funds rate was
low (by historic standards), leading the
Fed to dismiss the yield curve's «prediction» of recession.
-LSB-...] • The «Misery» Index Falls to an 8 Year
Low (Pragmatic Capitalism) see also
Fed's Rate Dilemma: Job Gains vs.
Low Inflation (WSJ) • Most Innovative Companies 2015 (Fast Company) • Hedge
Funds Keep Winning Despite Losing (WSJ) • Shark Tank: The lost pitches (Fortune) • How the Markets Tempt Us Into Making Mistakes (A Wealth of Common Sense)-LSB-...]
Since bank reserves held at the
Fed are far above their historical levels, marginally raising or
lowering reserves — which is how the
Fed hits its
funds rate target (ffr)-- don't move the ffr the way they used to.
DR's simulations assume that last dot climbs in time to give the
Fed some height to drop from when the next downturn hits (importantly, he stresses that the neutral
funds rate is very likely
lower than it used to be), but, as I argue in the piece, with some evidence from market expectations of the
funds rate, I'm skeptical.
Inflation rates have been very
low in recent years, which is another reason the
Fed hasn't felt compelled to raise the federal
funds rate.
Indeed, the prices of money (
Fed funds), savings (inflation term premium), capital (credit spreads), labor (wages), trade (USD), and insurance (volatility) are all historically
low, which is resulting in exceptionally easy financial conditions.
Fiscal support started strong both here and in Europe, as did (see second figure) monetary policy (the negative numbers reflect the
Fed's
lowering and holding down the
Fed funds rate).
If the
Fed returned
Fed Funds to its
lower bound level in the context of a recession, I would expect to see 10 year rates fall substantially perhaps to 1 percent without any QE or forward guidance.
In the wake of the financial crisis, the
Fed lowered the federal
funds rate — the main determinate of interest rates — to 0 %.
But rates still remain
low, historically speaking — the
Fed's now targeting an FFR (
Fed funds rate) of just 1.25 - 1.5 % — and inflation remains below the
Fed's target.
Even if the
Fed makes good on its plan to raise short - term interest rates,
fund managers expect them to move slowly and expect rates to remain
low for a lot longer.
Accordingly, the Federal Reserve used its monetary policy tools to
lower the targeted
Fed funds rate to zero.
As a result, the 10 - year Treasury and the
Fed Funds rate have followed
lower as well.
Currently at 1 % -1.25 %,
fed funds remains historically
low.
If we don't hear about ETFs and hedge
funds blowing up after what happened yesterday, it means the PPT (NY
Fed + the Treasury's Working Group on Financial Markets — the «PPT» — which both have offices in the same building in
lower Manhattan) has monetized and covered up those financial road - side bombs.
As savers, pension
funds and insurance companies sought relief from the pain of
low interest rates, the issue now is «whether they ended up taking up risks that were greater than they realized,» said Donald Kohn, the
Fed's former vice chairman under Bernanke.
He did so again in 2001 after the World Trade Center was attacked, when he led the FOMC to immediately reduce the
Fed funds rate from 3.5 percent to 3 percent — and in the months that followed reducing that rate to as
low as 1 percent as the economy and stock markets remained sluggish.
At the same time, the
Fed kept the federal
funds rate at the
lower zero bound.
Even if the Federal Reserve raises the
Fed Funds rate from 0.25 % to 2 %, interest rates are still
low and what's more important is following the market (Treasury yields).
Interest rates have continued to be pushed
lower and
lower and
lower and most of this is because the
Fed keeps on adjusting that federal
fund's rate and adjusting interest rates down in the way that they do that is by putting cash into the market and buying back bonds or short - term bonds with the federal
fund's rate.
When investors begin to focus on the potential for
Fed rate hikes, short - term bonds will almost certainly begin to experience
lower returns and — depending on the type of
fund — greater volatility than they have in years past.
The
Fed also anticipates that economic conditions — including low rates of resource utilization — are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the fed funds rate at least through mid-20
Fed also anticipates that economic conditions — including
low rates of resource utilization — are likely to warrant exceptionally
low levels for the
fed funds rate at least through mid-20
fed funds rate at least through mid-2013.