Now, we're sympathetic to the idea that prospective real growth and inflation may be sufficiently lower in the future to place us into a low nominal growth world, which would also justify
lower equilibrium interest rate levels.
Not exact matches
The global economy risks becoming trapped in a
low growth,
low inflation,
low interest rate
equilibrium.
For instance, for Canada and the U.S., we believe that the
equilibrium interest rate in these conditions is on the order of 3 per cent, like a range of 2.5 per cent to 3.5 per cent, so much
lower than what we used to think of as a normal, steady, straight
interest rate.
In an environment of persistently
low inflation and real
equilibrium interest rates, the Fed will not be able to raise rates much further.
Jury is still out on secular stagnation — «At present, it looks likely that the
equilibrium interest rate will remain
low for the policy - relevant future, but there have in the past been both long swings and short - term changes in what can be thought of as
equilibrium real rates»
And yes, actually the market reaction has really being quite muted and I don't know whether this partly reflects the new economic norm, you know the flattening of the Phillips Curve, disruptive change,
lower inflation the Fed talked about at the Jackson Hole Summit last year, something called Our Star which is going to
lower long - term rate of
equilibrium interest rates.
Even if the Bank of Japan did keep real and nominal
interest rates
low after the country returned to inflation, the old «deflationary
equilibrium» would be broken.
Several additional factors, such as
low real
interest rates and
low volatility in GDP and in inflation rates, can also support elevated
equilibrium CAPE ratios.
The high emissivity of CO2 in the IR actually contributes to our radiative
equilibrium temperature being another 20K or more
lower than that but I'll wait until somebody is
interested in implementing the computations in CoSy or puts a table, not a graph, of an actual measured mean spectrum in my lap.
Example 4 is the one of
interest where the first body has reached an
equilibrium temperature with the sun and then a second body with a slightly
lower temperature is moved into proximity.
Finding
Equilibrium: Searching for the true value of a Bitcoin Vinny Lingham, CEO and co-founder of Gyft, wrote an
interesting take on the state of Bitcoin, and why current prices are
lower than they were just a few months ago.