Sentences with phrase «lowest growth scenario»

The lowest growth scenario in IPCC SRES is more than five fold.
I have 2 questions: 1) How does the recent announcement of plans to open up the Chinese financial economy to foreign firms change the equation of «control» by the Chinese government 2) How do you envision the scenario where we reach maximum debt capacity and a transition into a low growth scenario?
In a section of the paper citing analysis in «The World Food Economy,» a book he co-authored in 2007, Southgate concludes that a low growth scenario for population, leading to just under 8 billion people by 2050, could see a 26 - percent drop in food prices even with substantial rise in consumption.

Not exact matches

Given our data on hourly wage growth, I assume a low scenario where wages grow at 1.51 % per year between 2008 and 2019, a medium scenario where wages grow at 2.24 % per year and a high scenario where wages grow at 2.76 %.
This under appreciated industrials company is benefiting from internal profitability initiatives and external growth drivers, while low profit expectations embedded in the stock price make for an attractive risk / reward scenario.
This conundrum shares some characteristics and common roots with the theory of secular stagnation; in both scenarios, interest rates, growth, and inflation are persistently low (Summers 2015).
Instead of the «goldilocks» scenario of low volatility and rising global growth, markets are likely to get a lot more choppy and individual stock performance could become more idiosyncratic.
In a fairly poor scenario, even if only a 5.7 % long - term EPS / dividend growth rate is achieved (chosen to match the previous 7 - year average EPS growth), then the current price in the low $ 80's can still offer a 9 % long - term rate of return, based on the DDM again.
A modelling exercise for the Resolution Foundation by the Institute for Employment Research and the Institute for Fiscal Studies finds that on the basis of annual average UK growth of 2.5 per cent from 2015 - 2020 — an optimistic scenario — and no further cuts in public spending, living standards will fall for low and middle income households by between 3 and 15 per cent (Brewer et al., 2012).
The study says that if the world's population grows from 6.8 billion to 9 billion people by 2050 — the UN's «medium - growth» scenario — an extra 1 - 2 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide is likely to be emitted each year, compared with a «low - growth» scenario that leads to 8 billion people by 2050.
For instance, a 2003 interdisciplinary study by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology outlined a scenario of «low» nuclear growth that would still allow a tripling of nuclear generation by 2050.
On the limited information available to me, they seem quite promising — but it certainly would have been helpful in making judgments on this point if the IPCC had modelled a low - medium population projection (as in the A1 and B1 scenarios) which made more moderate assumptions about growth in output and energy use.
We noted in 2007, that Scenario B was running a little high compared with the forcings growth (by about 10 %) using estimated forcings up to 2003 (Scenario A was significantly higher, and Scenario C was lower), and we see no need to amend that conclusion now.
However, the detox water diet can take the edge in this scenario too, due to its high nutrient content and low calories, both of which can encourage cell growth in the brain and may improve mental health and well - being.
Chapter 3 Market Dynamics 3.1 Product Insights and Market Overview 3.1.1 Global E-Paper Display Market Revenue and Growth, 2013 — 2022, (US$ Mn)(Y - o - Y %) 3.2 Key Market Trends and Future Outlook 3.2.1 Evolution of E-Paper Display Technology 3.2.2 Recent Trends 3.2.3 Future Outlook 3.3 Market Drivers 3.3.1 Improved Features and Functionalities over other Competing Technologies 3.3.2 Growing Application Domains 3.3.2.1 Consumer Applications 3.3.2.2 Non-Consumer (Commercial and Industrial) Applications 3.3.3 Regulated demand for E-book Reader Devices 3.4 Market Growth Inhibitors 3.4.1 Poor Colour Display Quality and High Cost 3.4.2 Low Refresh / Response Rate and Imprint Issues 3.5 Opportunities 3.5.1 Bendable and Foldable Displays 3.5.2 Paperless Office 3.6 See - Saw Analysis 3.6.1 Impact Analysis of Drivers and Restraints 3.7 Value Chain Analysis 3.8 Market Penetration Scenario, 2015 3.9 Competitive Analysis 3.9.1 Market Positioning of Key Vendors
U.S. markets are enjoying a rare «Goldilocks» scenario of high growth and low inflation.
Assuming distributions of 0.5 percent, one finds that the after - tax return drops to 1.3 percent, which will turn the initial investment of $ 10,000 into $ 13,700 over 25 years — that's less than 40 percent of the growth experienced by the low - cost, low - turnover investor in the previous scenario.
The real - dividend - per - share growth difference was a whopping 9.3 % lower (i.e., 6.3 % under the positive / positive scenario and the negative 3.0 % under the positive / negative scenario) than its average in the more usual case of both prior market return and subsequent dividend growth being positive.
On the limited information available to me, they seem quite promising — but it certainly would have been helpful in making judgments on this point if the IPCC had modelled a low - medium population projection (as in the A1 and B1 scenarios) which made more moderate assumptions about growth in output and energy use.
The key difference from figure A is that much lower population and economic growth rates are assumed in this lower emissions scenario.
By the 2030s, offshore investment in this scenario — currently heavily weighted towards oil — is split into three roughly equal parts as oil and (to a lesser extent) gas output growth is lower than in our main scenario, while offshore electricity generation grows twice as fast and provides 4 % of global power generation by 2040.
The three scenarios developed are Modern Jazz, which represents a «digitally disrupted,» innovative, and market - driven world, Unfinished Symphony, a world in which more «intelligent» and sustainable economic growth models emerge as the world drives to a low carbon future, and a more fragmented scenario called Hard Rock, which explores the consequences of weaker and unsustainable economic growth with inward - looking policies.
As far as CO2 production goes, we have vastly exceeded the expectation of scenario B (which does not include the crazy CFC growth) in terms of CO2 production, and yet the ppm count in the atmosphere is slightly lower than what Hansen would have been expecting from capped growth with flat consumption after 2000 (if I remember scenario 2 correctly).
GDP will grow, but modestly compared to some other pathways and is at the low end of the growth ranges used in the AR4 scenarios.
Carbon Tracker conducted a wholesale review of energy scenario assumptions in Lost in Transition and found that the low - carbon transition could be faster - than - expected due to economic shifts in key growth regions such as China and India, and even lower overall energy demand due to lower economic growth, as per the OECD's latest long - term forecast.
This is based on assumed annual demand growth of 6.34 %; further scenarios with higher growth rates and low addition of renewables capacity do require new coal stations, but still only at most half of those under construction.
Low population: «Scenario based on SSP1, projecting low population growth.&raqLow population: «Scenario based on SSP1, projecting low population growth.&raqlow population growth
We noted in 2007, that Scenario B was running a little high compared with the forcings growth (by about 10 %) using estimated forcings up to 2003 (Scenario A was significantly higher, and Scenario C was lower).
The second GDP scenario is a lower growth one, used by the IMF, of 6.6 % till 2020, followed by 5.4 %.
GAS — In a 2C world gas growth will be «at a lower level than expected under a business as usual scenario», the report finds.
There has been a slowing in the growth of sulphur emissions in recent decades, and more recent emission scenarios show lower emissions than earlier ones (Chapter 3, Section 3.2.2).
If the growth rate is brought to zero linearly over the next 15 years, the Chinese emission rate curve looks like the lower (blue) curve and would have lower cumulative emissions than the abrupt scenario even if there are no reductions in emission rate beyond 2030.
The two regions that they projected to have the lowest per capita growth in both scenarios — China / Centrally Planned Asia and SE Asia / Africa, which together account for over 60 per cent of the world's population — were the two regions that showed the highest per capita growth in both scenarios between 1975 and 2000.
A few years ago Hal Turton and I modeled the effect of high versus low immigration scenarios on expected growth of Australia's greenhouse gas emissions.
A report by the Sussex Energy Group and Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research entitled China's Energy Transition: Pathways for Low Carbon Development set out four different scenarios for low - carbon development in China in an attempt to demonstrate how China's economic development can be decoupled from carbon emissions growth — allowing its economy to expand by some 8 to 13 times while presumably stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmospheLow Carbon Development set out four different scenarios for low - carbon development in China in an attempt to demonstrate how China's economic development can be decoupled from carbon emissions growth — allowing its economy to expand by some 8 to 13 times while presumably stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphelow - carbon development in China in an attempt to demonstrate how China's economic development can be decoupled from carbon emissions growth — allowing its economy to expand by some 8 to 13 times while presumably stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere.
Nicholls [13] considered two scenarios of coastal population change in a scenario - based analysis of coastal flooding impacts for the 21st century: First a low - growth scenario, where coastal change was assumed to uniformly follow national change.
Even when assuming population growth at the lowest end of the forecasts (scenario B), we estimate there to be more than one billion people in the LECZ globally by 2060 with an average population density of 405 people / km2.
My, problem with this though, is that the low case scenario seems to be estimated on (maybe) unrealistic growth.
If some policy maker (who could well be a British treasury official) thinks that the Business as Usual scenario is too pessimistic (read, too optimistic regarding developing world economic growth), he or she is free to choose one of the lower emission scenarios, of which there are many.
The IEA report said at the end of my post «The share of low - carbon energy sources would need to increase by 1.1 percentage points every year to meet the objectives of this scenario, more than five - times the growth registered in 2017.»
Under low - growth scenarios (A2 and B2), world GDP would double by 2020 and increase more than 10-fold by 2100.
Practices must be efficient and realization rates matter — a scenario only intensified in a low - growth market.
a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z