No macro economic forecasting, no complex spreadsheets, just simple logic and sound principles.
How do you account in your model for the findings of multiple researchers that, despite all the work undertaken by those forecasters, their forecasts are too optimistic (see, for example, Roy Batchelor's «Bias in
macro economic forecasts,» McKinsey's «Equity Analysts Are Still Too Bullish» — be sure to check out Exhibit 2, which is absolute shocker — and more recently JP Morgan Asset Management's March 2013 chart in my post)?
Not exact matches
On the broader economy, Federated's
Macro Economic Policy Committee recently nudged up its
forecast for real 2018 GDP growth a tick to 3.0 %, in part on the anticipated stimulative effects from tax reform, including increased business and consumer spending.
Our BlackRock
Macro GPS
economic indicator implies consensus gross domestic product
forecasts for the G7 appear too low, even if the growth outlook remains sluggish.
The complexities of investing involve cyclical risk,
macro and micro
economic factors, understanding financial statements and their notes, cash flow
forecasting - discounting, market timing, and a host of other details Wikipedia is much more helpful at detailing.
They develop econometric models that are able to
forecast various
economic patterns and they analyze the
macro and micro
economic activities of a nation.