It seems unlikely that 60 min of elevated skin temperature and perspiration would be long enough for microbial growth dynamics to effect
the magnitude of changes observed, given that bacterial doubling times generally exceed 20 min even in optimal conditions.
The pace and
magnitude of the changes observed in this region match the expectation that Amundsen Sea embayment glaciers should be less stable than others.
Not exact matches
Attributable human - induced
changes in the likelihood and
magnitude of the
observed extreme precipitation during Hurricane Harvey.
A review
of the fossil record, they said, shows that rarity
of previously abundant organisms is the only factor tied with certainty to the widespread ecological
change observed across extinction boundaries, and because
of this, the
magnitude and extent
of rarity may provide the best comparison
of the current biotic crisis to those
of the past.
This model can account well for the
observed magnitudes of the high transition temperatures in these materials and implies a gap that does not
change sign, can be substantially anisotropic, and has the same symmetry as the crystal.
Small drifts in baseline were
observed over the course
of the experiments, but these
changes had little effect on the interpretation
of the data because response
magnitude was proportional to baseline activity.
These provide the range
of fingerprint
magnitudes (e.g., for the combined temperature response to different aerosol forcings) that are consistent with
observed climate
change, and can therefore be used to infer the likely range
of forcing that is consistent with the
observed record.
Of these, several have reported post-treatment reductions in total cholesterol 12, 53, triglyceride 12, 53 and increases in high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol.20 In studies using normotensive rats, three to six months of IER has been observed to lower blood pressure 16 - 19 and heart rate 16, 17, 19, with the magnitude of the change comparable to CER (40 % ER / day) rats.19 In accordance with these findings areimprovements in aortic endothelium - dependent and heart rate variability (a marker of sympatho - vagal balance) in IER - fed rats.
Of these, several have reported post-treatment reductions in total cholesterol 12, 53, triglyceride 12, 53 and increases in high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol.20 In studies using normotensive rats, three to six months
of IER has been observed to lower blood pressure 16 - 19 and heart rate 16, 17, 19, with the magnitude of the change comparable to CER (40 % ER / day) rats.19 In accordance with these findings areimprovements in aortic endothelium - dependent and heart rate variability (a marker of sympatho - vagal balance) in IER - fed rats.
of IER has been
observed to lower blood pressure 16 - 19 and heart rate 16, 17, 19, with the
magnitude of the change comparable to CER (40 % ER / day) rats.19 In accordance with these findings areimprovements in aortic endothelium - dependent and heart rate variability (a marker of sympatho - vagal balance) in IER - fed rats.
of the
change comparable to CER (40 % ER / day) rats.19 In accordance with these findings areimprovements in aortic endothelium - dependent and heart rate variability (a marker
of sympatho - vagal balance) in IER - fed rats.
of sympatho - vagal balance) in IER - fed rats.72
Rather, one would want to evaluate whether there is evidence
of changes in dust
of significant
magnitude to account for the
observed glacier variations.
The problem here is that estimates
of changes in sea surface temperature and the depth
of the warm mixed layer might be very unreliable, since the general behavior
of the Atlantic circulation is only now being directly
observed — and the most recent findings are that flow rates vary over a whole order
of magnitude:
Marine biogeochemists and biological oceanographers have a good understanding
of the processes which control phytoplankton biomass, such that a decrease in global phytoplankton biomass
of the
magnitude described by Boyce et al. can not be explained by other physical, chemical, and biological
changes which have been
observed.
Therefore, in order to come up with an alternative explanation, one has to simultaneously show why GHGs are not causing the warming they would be expected to based on physical principles, and at the same time come up with a natural source
of temperature
change that can match the
magnitude and patterns
of the
observed change.
Second, the proposed future effects
of rising temperatures on endemicity are at least one order
of magnitude smaller than
changes observed since about 1900 and up to two orders
of magnitude smaller than those that can be achieved by the effective scale - up
of key control measures.
«The speed and
magnitude of the
observed change is far greater than we expected,» said Prof. Bruce Forbes
of the Arctic Center, University
of Lapland, corresponding author
of the paper.
Another way
of asking the same question is: If there had been a rapid
change in atmospheric concentrations
of GHGs in the past similar in
magnitude and brevity as what we now
observe, would we be able to detect it?
The reasonable agreement in recent years between the
observed rate
of sea level rise and the sum
of thermal expansion and loss
of land ice suggests an upper limit for the
magnitude of change in land - based water storage, which is relatively poorly known.
Attribution analyses normally directly account for errors in the
magnitude of the model's pattern
of response to different forcings by the inclusion
of factors that scale the model responses up or down to best match
observed climate
changes.
So if there were, say, a decadal - scale 1 % -2 % reduction in cloud cover that allowed more SW radiation to penetrate into the ocean (as has been
observed since the 1980s), do you think this would have an impact
of greater
magnitude on the heat in the oceans than a
change of, say, +10 ppm (0.00001) in the atmospheric CO2 concentration?
By comparing modelled and
observed changes in such indices, which include the global mean surface temperature, the land - ocean temperature contrast, the temperature contrast between the NH and SH, the mean
magnitude of the annual cycle in temperature over land and the mean meridional temperature gradient in the NH mid-latitudes, Braganza et al. (2004) estimate that anthropogenic forcing accounts for almost all
of the warming
observed between 1946 and 1995 whereas warming between 1896 and 1945 is explained by a combination
of anthropogenic and natural forcing and internal variability.
I follow most
of what you're saying, but does the
change in sulfate concentration account for the
observed magnitude of mid-century cooling?
And all too often, GCMs disagree with each other on the
magnitude (substantially) and / or sign
of change of these aspects, and / or conflict with what becomes the
observed reality.
Spectral radiance emitted to space consistent with Tyndall gas concentrations (confirms ability to calculate radiative forcing);
magnitude of Tyndall gas radiative forcing larger than that
of all other known forcing agents;
observed temperature
changes similar in
magnitude to those estimated from forcings (confirms ballpark estimates
of climate sensitivity);
observed pattern
of temperature
changes match Tyndall gas pattern better than that
of all other known forcing agents.
The
magnitude of observed declines in snowpack in the Southwest, in the range
of 20 %, is similar to the increases in runoff associated with thinning from this study, suggesting that accelerated thinning may at least offset or ameliorate runoff losses due to climate
change.
Observed changes in short term precipitation intensity from previous research and the anticipated
changes in flood frequency and
magnitude expected due to enhanced greenhouse forcing are not generally evident at this time over large portions
of the United States for several different measures
of flood flows.
The
observed changes in mid-ocean seismic activity are orders
of magnitude too large and too fast for all
of the current geological mechanisms to explain.
With regard to adaptation, the pace and
magnitude of observed and projected
changes emphasize the need to be prepared for a wide variety and intensity
of impacts.
Previous modeling studies predict
changes of similar
magnitude for a 3 ° temperature increase, suggesting that the
observed sensitivity is higher than previously expected (6)».
We are beginning to sound like a broken record here, but again, it is impossible to present reliable future projections for precipitations
changes across the U.S. (seasonal or annual) from a collection
of climate models which largely can not even get the sign (much less the
magnitude)
of the
observed changes correct.
It is then critical to consider whether the
observed and expected dramatic declines in Arctic sea ice are causing fundamental
changes in sensible heat and evaporation fluxes and influencing the
magnitude and form
of Arctic amplification.
These
changes alone are not sufficient to cause the
observed magnitude of change in temperature, nor to act on the whole Earth.
My point is that looking at a table
of absolute temperatures (or expanding the y axis in a graph to show these) can be more intuitive and in some instances express better the relative
magnitude of the
observed changes.
Results: Spectral radiance emitted to space consistent with Tyndall gas concentrations (confirms ability to calculate radiative forcing);
magnitude of Tyndall gas radiative forcing larger than that
of all other known forcing agents;
observed temperature
changes similar in
magnitude to those estimated from forcings (confirms ballpark estimates
of climate sensitivity);
observed pattern
of temperature
changes match Tyndall gas pattern better than that
of all other known forcing agents.
The warming proponents have falsely assumed that the
observed changes are human induced when in fact they are the result
of natural
changes an order
of magnitude or two greater.
Thus your assertion is moot because regardless
of whether sunspot counts in the more distant past are accurate we know for a fact there was a recent transition
of large
magnitude so we will still be able to
observe what happens when sunspot count
changes radically.
The recent warming in the Arctic anyway is not direct from regional CO2, as the
observed warming needs a heat / radiation unbalance which is an order
of magnitude larger than the direct
change in radiation caused by CO2 increases...
The sun has not
changed enough, especially in the last 3 decades, to account for the rapidity and
magnitude of the
observed global climate
change.
However, it is pretty much impossible, because it is equivalent to the latent heat released when so much water vapor gets condensed, that it would raise global sea level by 37 mm, a swing almost an order
of magnitude larger than
observed in annual sea level
changes.
The models heavily relied upon by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) had not projected this multidecadal stasis in «global warming»; nor (until trained ex post facto) the fall in TS from 1940 - 1975; nor 50 years» cooling in Antarctica (Doran et al., 2002) and the Arctic (Soon, 2005); nor the absence
of ocean warming since 2003 (Lyman et al., 2006; Gouretski & Koltermann, 2007); nor the onset, duration, or intensity
of the Madden - Julian intraseasonal oscillation, the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the tropical stratosphere, El Nino / La Nina oscillations, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, or the Pacific Decadal Oscillation that has recently transited from its warming to its cooling phase (oceanic oscillations which, on their own, may account for all
of the
observed warmings and coolings over the past half - century: Tsoniset al., 2007); nor the
magnitude nor duration
of multi-century events such as the Mediaeval Warm Period or the Little Ice Age; nor the cessation since 2000
of the previously -
observed growth in atmospheric methane concentration (IPCC, 2007); nor the active 2004 hurricane season; nor the inactive subsequent seasons; nor the UK flooding
of 2007 (the Met Office had forecast a summer
of prolonged droughts only six weeks previously); nor the solar Grand Maximum
of the past 70 years, during which the Sun was more active, for longer, than at almost any similar period in the past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004; Solankiet al., 2005); nor the consequent surface «global warming» on Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the eerily - continuing 2006 solar minimum; nor the consequent, precipitate decline
of ~ 0.8 °C in TS from January 2007 to May 2008 that has canceled out almost all
of the
observed warming
of the 20th century.
A large effect
magnitude been
observed for
changes in the score
of the Routine
of HLPCQ, and the total score
of HLPCQ.