Just as the events of the 1970s and emergence of stagflation throughout the industrial world, led to new
policy paradigms, I believe that recent events will force us to develop new approaches to thinking about economic fluctuations and inflation which will,
in turn, drive
major changes in thinking about fiscal and
monetary policy.
In fact, we think there are four major factors that will influence interest rates around the world: changing demographic trends, innovations in technology and energy, financial conditions as related to leverage, liquidity and cash flow, and monetary polic
In fact, we think there are four
major factors that will influence interest rates around the world:
changing demographic trends, innovations
in technology and energy, financial conditions as related to leverage, liquidity and cash flow, and monetary polic
in technology and energy, financial conditions as related to leverage, liquidity and cash flow, and
monetary policy.
But we do not believe the ECB will contemplate a
major change in direction, since
in the continued absence of a significant fiscal stimulus, the region's economic performance remains too weak for the central bank to risk measures that could create, however inadvertently, a degree of tightening
in monetary policy.