Shifts can be relatively minor or can involve
major change in surface temperature, hydrology or biology in as little as a decade.
Not exact matches
These rising atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations have led to an increase
in global average
temperatures of ~ 0.2 °C decade — 1, much of which has been absorbed by the oceans, whilst the oceanic uptake of atmospheric CO2 has led to
major changes in surface ocean pH (Levitus et al., 2000, 2005; Feely et al., 2008; Hoegh - Guldberg and Bruno, 2010; Mora et al., 2013; Roemmich et al., 2015).
The climate sensitivity is defined as the equilibrated
change in global mean
surface air
temperature (SAT) for a given
change in radiative forcing and has been a
major focus of climate research over the last three decades.
Primary production will
change in the
surface layers according to sun exposure, water
temperature,
major stratification of water masses, for example, and this will affect the food chain down to the deep seafloor, which will be subject to differences
in quantity, quality, and timing of organic matter input.
«The authors write that «the notorious tropical bias problem
in climate simulations of global coupled general circulation models manifests itself particularly strongly
in the tropical Atlantic,»... they state that «the climate bias problem is still so severe that one of the most basic features of the equatorial Atlantic Ocean — the eastward shoaling thermocline — can not be reproduced by most of the IPCC assessment report models,... as they describe it, «show that the bias
in the eastern equatorial Atlantic has a
major effect on sea -
surface temperature (SST) response to a rapid
change in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).»
Scientists generally supporting the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) findings on climate change see this correction of the UAH temperature analyses as a significant vindication of their findings on this issue and, as such, as a major rebuttal to climate contrarians who long had pointed to the differences in surface and upper atmosphere warming trends as supporting their viewp
Change (IPCC) findings on climate
change see this correction of the UAH temperature analyses as a significant vindication of their findings on this issue and, as such, as a major rebuttal to climate contrarians who long had pointed to the differences in surface and upper atmosphere warming trends as supporting their viewp
change see this correction of the UAH
temperature analyses as a significant vindication of their findings on this issue and, as such, as a
major rebuttal to climate contrarians who long had pointed to the differences
in surface and upper atmosphere warming trends as supporting their viewpoints.
Motivated by findings that
major components of so - called cloud «feedbacks» are best understood as rapid responses to CO2 forcing (Gregory and Webb
in J Clim 21:58 — 71, 2008), the top of atmosphere (TOA) radiative effects from forcing, and the subsequent responses to global
surface temperature changes from all «atmospheric feedbacks» (water vapour, lapse rate,
surface albedo, «
surface temperature» and cloud) are examined
in detail
in a General Circulation Model.
So, if your argument is that we know we are significantly
changing the concentration of a
major gas that impacts the
temperature of the earth's
surface, and you hold that all of our attempts to project how seriously this will impact us are useless, then we really need to ratchet back our use of fossil fuels quicker and more radically since
in your world, the impacts may be much WORSE then the computer models.
Overall,
in the absence of
major volcanic eruptions and, assuming no significant future long term
changes in solar irradiance, it is likely (> 66 % probability) that the GMST -LCB- global mean
surface temperature -RCB- anomaly for the period 2016 — 2035, relative to the reference period of 1986 — 2005 will be
in the range 0.3 °C — 0.7 °C -LCB- 0.5 °F — 1.3 °F -RCB-(expert assessment, to one significant figure; medium confidence).