Toronto opened as a -133 favorite at Pinnacle and is receiving the overwhelming
majority of public bets.
Baltimore opened as a -136 favorite at Pinnacle and is receiving the overwhelming
majority of public bets placed on this game.
It's rare to see an underdog receiving
the majority of public bets, but this level of public betting on an underdog is almost inconceivable.
Although
a majority of public bets typically take favorites, we do often times see «trendy underdogs» at various occasions like March Madness and the NFL Playoffs.
Over at William Hill, the public betting trends are significantly different as the Colts are receiving
a majority of public bets.
There has been similar public betting at William Hill, with one little twist — North Carolina has received a slight
majority of public bets.
This is the first time that New England hasn't received
a majority of public bets since last season against Denver (11/2/14).
Public bettors will likely continue to take Real Madrid until game time, and we expected
the majority of public bets to come in on Real Madrid based on name alone.
Despite receiving
a majority of public bets, Duke has dropped to -8.5 across the sports betting marketplace.
Since
a majority of public bets continue to take Buffalo, it's entirely possible that more offshore books will move back to +3.
This was proven further when Oklahoma was bet up to -4 by Monday morning despite
the majority of public bets coming in on Clemson.
When
a majority of public bets are taking the home team in a heavily bet game, sportsbooks are forced to adjust their moneyline to encourage action on the visitor.
Using our BetLabs software, we found that there have been 114 games played in which the underdog has received
a majority of public bets.
Since
a majority of public bets will take the favorite in most games, bettors looking to take the underdog can simply wait until the line has been artificially inflated and place their wager at a more favorable number.
However, if the two teams are seriously mismatched (like the Boston College / Florida State example), they will shade the opener because they know
a majority of public bets will be placed on the Seminoles.
Despite receiving
a majority of public bets, the Patriots have actually dropped from -7 to -6.5.
It's also worth noting that over the past two seasons, the Warriors have gone 13 - 6 ATS when they're not receiving
a majority of public bets.
Unfortunately, it's extremely rare that
a majority of public bets take the under which makes any sort of reverse line movement system exceedingly difficult.
The table below displays the percentage of games in which the American League team received
a majority of public bets.
Underdogs coming off an upset win (closed as underdog) have received
the majority of public bets in almost 40 % of tournament games, and underdogs coming off an expected win (closed as favorite) have received the majority in public bets in just 25 % of their games.
Even though
the majority of public bets are falling on the Heat, the line has actually dropped to -10.5 at the market - setting sportsbooks.
Sportsbooks know which teams will receive
the majority of public bets before posting the opener, so they shade their opening lines to capitalize on public perception.
Despite
the majority of public bets coming in on Miami, the line has dropped to 13.5 at most sportsbooks, and even 13 at some books such as Carib Sports and BetMania.
Not exact matches
Betting market:
Public bettors have quickly forgotten about Philadelphia's loss in Seattle and are right back on the Eagles» bandwagon, with the
majority of spread tickets and spread bucks taking Philly.
The «big money» is often a sign
of «sharps» — and causes reverse line movement because the larger, smart, money — overwhelms the large
majority of the
bets by the general
Public (which often
bets smaller amounts).
To do this, we highlighted games in which a
majority of the
public (at least 50 %) was on the over, but the line moved against the
public betting percentages.
With a
majority of bettors taking Indiana,
public money has moved the line to -7 across the sports
betting marketplace.
It's a well - known fact that Notre Dame is one
of the nation's most
public teams, having received a
majority of spread
bets in nearly two - thirds
of their games.
While the
betting percentages were close, it's safe to say the slight
majority of the
betting public took the Chiefs, especially since these numbers reflect weeks
of wagering action.
Notre Dame is consistently one
of the nation's most
public teams, having received a
majority of spread
bets in nearly two - thirds
of their games.
The
majority of bettors lost in blowout fashion
betting against Buffalo in Week 1, so the
public flip - flopped and jumped on the Bills in their Week 2 game against the Raiders.
The
public betting percentages have shifted in favor
of Alabama, who are now getting the
majority of spread tickets to cover.
Overs: 38 - 25 (just 4 - 8 since Round
of 32 when
betting tickets for O / U really increase)
Majority of public bettors has been on the Over in 60
of 64 games
It's still early in the week and the
public betting trends can still change dramatically before tip - off, but we're already seeing the
majority of spread bettors backing the underdog in three Sweet 16 games.
It's incredibly rare to find the
majority of bettors taking the underdog, and this level
of one - sided
public betting is unprecedented.
Since we already knew that a
majority of public bettors routinely take ranked teams against ranked opposition, I believed that we could exploit this tendency by focusing on heavily
bet games where shading would be more prevalent.
That indicates that although they're receiving a
majority of public support, there have been several large
bets placed on the Tigers.
Often times, ranked teams receive the
majority of bets, but this isn't a smart move by the
public in games against a conference opponent.
New England opened as a 7 - point favorite at CRIS and have received just 47 %
of spread
bets, meaning they are the only favorite not receiving the
majority of public support.
Most
of our contributing books show the
majority of bets on NYY, but Carib is reporting heavy
public action on HOU.
Public bettors have noticed — Kansas has received the
majority of spread
bets in just 31 %
of games, meaning tickets are usually on their opponent.
Although a blowout victory for either team could dramatically impact
public perception, I believe we will see fairly even levels
of public betting during the Finals, with the Warriors receiving a slight
majority.
Oklahoma City opened as a 3.5 - point favorite at Pinnacle, and the Thunder have received the
majority of public action with 63 %
of spread
bets coming in on the home favorite.
Since a
majority of bettors are long - term losers, we have found a
betting edge when
betting against the
public in the NFL.
Though the
majority of public tickets are taking Washington State, I don't exactly think they're the square side, so definitely keep an eye on those
public betting %'s.
This strategy involves taking favorites that are being ignored by a
majority of bettors — especially in the most heavily
bet games where
public money is more likely to artificially inflate the spread.
By utilizing our
public betting trends from seven contributing sportsbooks, we are able to see which teams are being pounded by a
majority of public bettors.
It's very rare that a
majority of public bettors will take the underdog during the regular season, but there are significant changes to
betting habits during the postseason.
Trend to know: With just 40 percent
of the tickets on the Packers, it's worth noting that Rodgers is 13 -6-1 ATS when the
majority of the
public is
betting against him.
In addition, our
public betting trends illustrate that Colorado has received the
majority of spread money throughout the week, which is likely responsible for this 3 - point line movement as oddsmakers pivoted based on this action.