By length of tenure and in great
majorities a safe seat status emerged for Labour (on the basis of these standard criteria) in the 1950s and 1960s.
Not exact matches
But his «
safe hands on the economy» message cut through in the end, with the coalition winning a
majority of
seats in 1998 despite Labor winning 51 per cent of the two - party vote.
Let's have
safe standing areas in stadiums and relocate the old and young into still the
majority of blocks that will be strictly
seated only areas and understand that those areas will be stewarded accordingly.
Its also a redistricting year and the Republicans can make a few districts districts
safer and combine old marginal districts in the Bronx, Westchester and Queens to keep the
majority intact and probably expand it by 2 - 3
seats.
He has served the second -
safest seat in the country since 1987, and has a
majority of 18,636.
Crosby 1983In the 1981 by - election, Shirley Williams won the Conservative
safe seat of Crosby turning a Conservative
majority of 19,272 into a Social Democratic Party
majority of 5,289.
Ealing Central and Acton has gone from a 274 vote
majority to nearly 14,000 - a 25 %
majority in what has overnight become a rock solid Labour
safe seat.
McMahon also secured a 10,835
majority over UKIP's John Bickley, who was tipped as Labour's strongest contender for the so - called Labour «
safe seat» which Labour has held for the last 45 years.
The Conservatives tend to pile up large
majorities in
safe seats and because the planned redistribution of
seats did not take place after the 2010 election, Labour has a number of
seats with below average electorates, making the vote - to -
seat ratio work all the more in its favour.
On the other hand, looking at the 2010 data, half of MPs were elected with a
majority of 20 % or more, so it's not like there aren't a lot of
safe seats out there.
If, on the other hand, the Lib Dems succeed in dismantling Goldsmith's
majority in a perceived
safe seat, the Lib Dems could undermine the government on Brexit and force Theresa May into concessions.
This is a very
safe seat for the SNP, holding a 15.5 %
majority against the second placed Liberal Democrats.
This used to be a very
safe Labour
seat, with, in 2003, a 26.2 %
majority.
Stephen Doughty won the Cardiff South poll with a comfortable
majority in the notionally
safe Labour
seat with an impressive eight per cent swing away from the Conservatives.
The old SDP almost won this
seat in 1987, but Ronnie Campbell has held it with
safe majorities ever since.
His first attempt for Westminster came when he fought the
safe Conservative
seat of South Kensington in 1959, before being selected for neighbouring Barons Court and winning the 1964 election with a small
majority.
Mr Murphy's once -
safe majority in East Renfrewshire - a
seat he had held for nearly 20 years - was eliminated by the SNP's Kirsten Oswald.
This humiliation was repeated at the subsequent Newark by - election, although the
majority of coverage has focused on congratulating the Tories on winning a
safe seat and not enough on the fact that the Lib Dem candidate lost his deposit.
In fact, the notional Conservative
majority of 16,913 will make it - in percentage terms - the
safest Tory
seat in the country, according to the projection of Professors Rallings and Thrasher of the University of Plymouth.
Maybe Mrs Balls will relinquish her
seat (Pontefract & Castleford - 15,000 odd
majority - 18th
safest seat) in favour of her husband, interesting idea about Hull East.
In fact, it should only apply to a significant political figure (Portillo was defence secretary) losing a
safe seat (he had a
majority of 15,563).
In fact, she will bequeath a notional Conservative
majority of 16,913, which - in percentage terms - would makes it currently the
safest Tory
seat in the country, according to the projection of Professors Rallings and Thrasher of the University of Plymouth.
He became the biggest casualty of the night when his once
safe majority in East Renfrewshire - a
seat he had held for nearly 20 years - was eliminated as the SNP's Kirsten Oswald swept to victory with 23,564 votes to Labour's 19,295.
Reformers say too many votes are effectively wasted in
safe seats where either Labour or Conservatives have large, in - built
majorities, and this depresses turnout.
An increasing
majority of parliamentary constituencies are
safe seats where, barring some freak event, the result is not in doubt.
This can be considered a
safe Plaid Cymru
seat, currently having a 20.8 %
majority of the Welsh Labour Party.
You can't have a minority
safe seat when you need a
majority to win.
Note also a couple of wild cards: the
safe (ish) Tory
seat of the Forest of Dean, where the local press claim that Ukip has seen «a surge in popularity», and Aylesbury, where the Tory Europe minister, David Lidington, has an 11,000
majority, but the unpopularity of the looming HS2 rail line is a big local factor.
Majorities since World War II have been substantial suggesting a
safe seat on historic voting preferences.
In 1992 Jonathan Aitken enjoyed an apparently
safe 23 %
majority here, but in 1997 he lost his
seat to Labour «s Stephen Ladyman and subsequently his liberty after being found guilty and jailed for perjury.
The constituency has undergone several boundary changes since its creation in 1918 but has remained a
safe Labour
seat since the Second World War, with the exception of a by - election in 1969 when Wallace Lawler won the
seat for the Liberal Party and immediately surrounding period when its
majority was marginal.
Under the first past the post electoral system, many Labour votes were «wasted» as part of large
majorities for MPs in
safe seats rather than into holding onto marginal
seats.
His
seat remained
safe until the 1964 election when Labour cut his
majority to around 2,000.
Well, with all
seats bar Kensington declared (yes, Labour are in with a chance of winning Tory
safe seat Kensington, which has gone to several recounts), Labour sit on 261, up 32
seats from the start of the election, with the Tories denied an outright
majority on 317 — having lost a net 13
seats.
[8] Hewitt's constituency of Leicester West is a
safe Labour
seat, with a
majority of 9,070 votes in the 2005 General Election.
Klein damaged the ability of Senate Democrats to win a
majority during the primaries this year when he bankrolled the candidacy of Marisol Alcantara, thereby winning her loyalty to the IDC and taking away what had been a
safe Democratic
seat.
If there are 24
safe or likely
seats for the Democrats, then they need to win 8 of the 9 toss - up
seats to have an outright
majority and control the Senate without the IDC.
Insiders feared the party's 14,738
majority in one of its
safest seats could be slashed to under 1,000 in a head - to - head battle with UKIP.
By piling up votes in
safe seats, it is harder for the party to win a
majority nationally.
Historically, this was very
safe Labour
seat, held with
majorities of more than 30 % by the late Mo Mowlam and Vera Baird, now Police Commissioner for Northumbria.
To the governing party, and slight polls being biased towards labour, unless the Toeies get their core vote too actually turn out, they're panicking about a overall
majority, I'm surprised they gave t dug up loony left stories Len Mklusky and Tom Watson trying to buy
safe seats, Karen buck, the Toeirs don't want the poor to breed, Andy Newman, Stalin and Chairman Mao, did a great job, there's hundreds of comments out there if the Toeies got desperate,
Dartford is now an ultra-marginal that could fall to the Conservatives even if Labour retain a
majority, while Chorley is an increasingly
safe Labour
seat, so either could well lose their record next time round.
Expectations are so low that holding a
safe seat with a reduced
majority is now seen as a major success.
The new
seat of Witham comprises elements of four former
seats and is a notional
safe seat with a Conservative
majority of approx 7000.
The vast
majority of these target
seats were held by the Conservatives in 1992, and many of them were reckoned to be very
safe, prior to the 1997 defeat.
Does anyone think that in many
safe Tory
seats at the next general election (Many of which have the Lib Dems in second place) that the Conservatives will be down by less than the Lib Dems, and so there will perhaps be increased
majorities in these
seats as a direct result, a la 1992?
Politics: Generally a very
safe Labour
seat, in various guises Salford has consistently returned Labour MPs since 1945, although Hazel Blears «
majority fell sharply in 2010 after she became embroiled in the expenses scandal and was targetted by a hostile «Hazel Must Go» campaign.
Great Grimsby was long a very
safe Labour
seat but Mitchell's
majority fell to just 714 at the last election.
Bain is defending a
majority of more than 10,000 in the normally
safe Labour
seat, with the main challenge coming from the Scottish National Party.
The media is also reporting that, in the meantime, Harper plans to fill five vacant senate
seats, which will give the Conservatives the
majority they need to ensure
safe passage of their legislation.