Sentences with phrase «make precise forecasts»

The problem is that it is easy to confuse the capability to make precise forecasts with the ability to make accurate ones.

Not exact matches

Asserting that we do not yet have either the facts or the methods to make forecasting a precise art, Michael argues that there are three basic reasons for continuing to make or act upon them: (1) some forecasts are likely to be close to the mark, (2) poor forecasts provide a better basis for planning than no prediction at all, and (3) well - done forecasts help to illuminate the many factors that interact to produce the future.

The objective of these models would not be to provide a precise forecast of the future (an impossible task), but rather to capture enough of the behavior of the educational system to make useful qualitative predictions.

More precise assessment of the initial conditions preceding extreme weather events is indispensable in making accurate forecast calculations.

In fact, these developments make what insiders say the IPCC's message will be all the more astonishing: The new forecasts, they say, will be more or less the same as the old ones, just more precise.

Regional modeling allow us to make more precise forecasts in both time and space for critical human activities and concerns such as travel, health, work, and safety.

Similarly to weather forecasting, efforts can be made to setup a model to match initial conditions at a certain point in time but they are likely to break down pretty quickly because we lack the quantity and quality of data to be precise enough in the setup (and possibly because the chosen model does not accurately produce variability similar to that observed on Earth).

They are nice tools for illustrating the genesis of Extremistan, but I insist that the «generator» of reality does not appear to obey them closely enough to make them helpful in precise forecasting.»