Sentences with phrase «making decadal climate»

Understanding the role of the ocean in climate change and making decadal climate forecasts will be greatly enhanced by observations planned as part of an international Global Ocean Observing System.

Not exact matches

Specifically, he addressed a claim made by Will Happer, a Princeton professor, that no models demonstrate decadal variability in trends (which was not the case), and explored in depth the signal to noise ratio in determining climate trends much more comprehensively than had been done previously.

«What's really been exciting to me about this last 10 - year period is that it has made people think about decadal variability much more carefully than they probably have before,» said Susan Solomon, an atmospheric chemist and former lead author of the United Nations» climate change report, during a recent visit to MIT.

One notable point is that I received no pushback from anyone for my statements on the value of the 21st century climate models to support water decision making, and the usefulness of the PDO and AMO on decadal time scales.

Julia Slingo makes it clear that the BBC report confused the public with their headline because it conflated a decadal prediction with climate change.

I agree that the ambition to make (regional) climate predictions even at decadal or longer time scales can not be supported by the current apparent feasibility, given the studies that demonstrate the lack of predictive skill.

However, direct attribution of these changes to climate change is made difficult by long - term patterns of variability that influence productivity of different parts of the Ocean (e.g., Pacific Decadal Oscillation).

When using climate information to support decision making on decadal to century timescales, we are in a situation of «deep uncertainty;» see the previous post on Can we make good decisions under ignorance?

The key is accurately representing the large - scale ocean circulation and associated heat transport in the climate models used to make the decadal predictions.

Girma; the point we are making is that climate models DO N'T predict the timing of short term (decadal) pauses or accelerations.

But VTG's numbers indicate that you made that statement even when the paper you was in the process of getting published indicates that ACO2 in fact dominated climate on a decadal scale over the past 6 decades or so.»

But VTG's numbers indicate that [Judith] made that statement even when the paper [she co-authored and] was in the process of getting published indicates that ACO2 in fact dominated climate on a decadal scale over the past 6 decades or so.»

Unforced variability of global temperature is great, as shown in Figure 4, but the global temperature trend on decadal and longer time scales is now determined by the larger human - made climate forcing.

There is currently less skill in predicting precipitation and other variables compared to temperature although progress is expected to be made as a consequence of the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) and other projects and investigations.

* Bearing in mind the accommodation with nature that humans need to make with even relatively short periods of «different to normal» weather, perhaps it might be more useful for the authorities to consider «noticeable» climate change as covering decadal rather than 30 year periods

The NSF program on climate dynamics has made over 200 awards, most if not all seasonal to decadal.

The authors commented «This implies that the current [climate] models are ill - suited to localised decadal predictions, even though they are used as inputs for policy making.»»

A myopic tropopsheric focus on «climate» sensitivity, especially on anything less than decadal average timeframes, simply does not make sound scientific sense.

At this point it is possible to attempt a full forecast of the climate since 2000 that is made of the four detected decadal and multidecadal cycles plus the corrected anthropogenic warming effect trending.