And when
making hurricane predictions more than five days out, spaghetti plots are as informative as forecasts get.
Not exact matches
«We can now use our data from Manhattan after Super Storm Sandy to
make predictions about how diversity may change in Houston after
Hurricane Harvey and in the urban centers of Puerto Rico after Hurricanes Irma and Maria, among other areas affected by these storms.»
He said scientists need about a century's worth of good data to start
making sophisticated
predictions about the influence of human - caused climate change on
hurricane frequency.
European and U.S. models frequently
make different
predictions about weather and storm tracks, including that of
Hurricane Joaquin.
Hurricane season outlooks, yearly sea ice
predictions, tornado counts, ENSO watches, etc, etc are interesting sidelights but high variability
makes them unsuitable for CC attribution.
Note to reporters: a scientist's willingness to
make predictions of the future is an indication of the current level of understanding of the science; for example Hansen et al predicted that Pinatubo's eruption in 1991 would produce a significant aerosol cooling effect, and they were right; but would anyone be willing to predict that La Nina (assuming conditions set in) will result in a record
hurricane season this fall?
Much easier to
make the
predictions than it is the
hurricanes.
-- Muller believes humans are changing climate with CO2 emissions — humans have been responsible for «most» of a 0.4 C warming since 1957, almost none of the warming before then — IPCC is in trouble due to sloppy science, exaggerated
predictions; chairman will have to resign — the «Climategate» mails were not «hacked» — they were «leaked» by an insider — due to «hide the decline» deception, Muller will not read any future papers by Michael Mann — there has been no increase in
hurricanes or tornadoes due to global warming — automobiles are insignificant in overall picture — China is the major CO2 producer, considerably more than USA today — # 1 priority for China is growth of economy — global warming is not considered important — China CO2 efficiency (GDP per ton CO2) is around one - fourth of USA today, has much room for improvement — China growth will
make per capita CO2 emissions at same level as USA today by year 2040 — if it is «not profitable» it is «not sustainable» — US energy future depends on shale gas for automobiles; hydrogen will not be a factor — nor will electric cars, due to high cost — Muller is upbeat on nuclear (this was recorded pre-Fukushima)-- there has been no warming in the USA — Muller was not convinced of Hansen's GISS temperature record; hopes BEST will provide a better record.
Precise
predictions of
hurricane tracks and intensity; heavy rain; severe storms; fire weather; air quality and chemistry, and climate change address societal challenges that include disaster mitigation, economic decision
making, health concerns, travel and workplace safety, long range planning, and day to day decisions (an umbrella or a heavy coat, for example).
Normally I don't think I would care all that much about how many
hurricanes but for the
predictions made earlier this year by Colorado State University and NOAA.
(4) Based on hysterical and false
predictions from warmists, insurance companies increased their rates for
hurricane insurance (wind, flood) in Florida over the past 4 years and
made a bundle.