The incumbent party tends to win counties with more highly skilled service sector
jobs, not the type that are
typically lost to trade, and lose counties in which there is a high concentration of trade sensitive low - skilled
manufacturing.
Since 2002, almost 250,000
manufacturing workers have lost their
jobs because of the high dollar and our huge and growing trade deficit with developing Asian countries. Many are older workers who will
typically face a long stretch of unemployment, followed by employment in a new
job at much lower wages.