Climate modelers do not include effects on land - based ice in these regions because they can not reduce them to equations, such as x amount of extra heat equals y amount of melting.
«We may have to wait 20 or 30 years before the data set in the 21st century is good enough to pin down sensitivity,» says
climate modeler Gavin Schmidt of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS).
«There is no way that the models are able to directly simulate these things,» says
climate modeler Stephen Zebiak of Columbia University.
It's for this reason that it's important to understand the differences in responses between geoengineering experiments, said Ben Kravitz,
a climate modeler at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory who helps run the international Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project.
Climate modelers, in contrast, do not attempt to predict weather or track individual storms years into the future.
Some flights will try to stay on a particular line of latitude or longitude, no matter what the clouds and smoke are doing that day, because
climate modelers need data collected along a transect.
On a basic level, global climate models are similar to today's weather forecasting tools, explains Jerry Meehl, a senior scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, and a leading
climate modeler.
«These strategies range from lighter colored roofs or road surfaces» that could reflect sunlight, cooling cities, «to something as controversial as putting particles high in the stratosphere,» explains Ken Caldeira,
a climate modeler at the Carnegie Institution's Department of Global Ecology at Stanford University.
Penn State
climate modeler Michael Mann talks about what computer models can tell us — and what they don't need to.
The idea is the brainchild of Leonard Ornstein, a cell biologist at the Mount Sinai School of Medicine, who partnered with
climate modelers David Rind and Igor Aleinov of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, all in New York City.
Climate modelers bet on negative emissions technologies, but are they as risky as the problems they're designed to fix?
But to date, when
climate modelers try to project future warming for the Arctic, the numbers are lower than expected; for reasons not yet fully understood, they don't reflect the region's accelerating warming.
The fossils act as a transcript that can be parsed for indicators not only of past climate, but also the climate of the future, making the team's work as important to
climate modelers as it is to paleobiologists.
After engineers shut the air off, officials ordered the evacuation of the staff, who include weather and
climate modelers.
Because the CO2 levels were so high, «it's not surprising to see a negative impact, since it's like putting a bird cage near a smokestack,» says
climate modeler Ken Caldeira of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in Livermore, California.
«The only explanation that makes sense is that the deep ocean cooled,» says team member Matthew Huber,
a climate modeler at Purdue University.
«We were surprised at how big the difference actually was,» said co-author and
climate modeler Benjamin Cook, who works at Lamont Doherty and the Goddard Institute.
«There can be no recipe for a perfect model,» notes Robert Dickinson,
a climate modeler at the Georgia Tech School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences.
The more we know about natural rapid climate change, the better we can help
climate modelers forecast how climate might change in the future now that human activity is added to the mix.»
In a simulation of the mid - to late Pliocene,
climate modeler Bas de Boer of Utrecht University in the Netherlands and colleagues found that as Greenland's ice melted, Antarctica's ice could have been relatively stable, and vice versa.
«We have detected the human fingerprint in both the Arctic and Antarctic region [s],» says Peter Stott,
a climate modeler at the U.K. Met (meteorological) Office's Hadley Center, and co-author of the study published in the journal Nature Geoscience.
The research appears in the current issue of Science and presents a larger target for
climate modelers to hit in fine - tuning their computer simulations.
And, says Robert Cess,
a climate modeler at the State University of New York at Stony Brook, «The smaller the scale, the bigger the disagreement.»
«We're altering the environment far faster than we can possibly predict the consequences,» says Stephen Schneider,
a climate modeler at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado.
«We hope this will open the door to improving ultralong - range predictions,» says co-author Adam Scaife,
a climate modeler at the Met Office's Hadley Centre in Exeter, England.
«But in this case, says Stephen Vavrus,
a climate modeler at the University of Wisconsin, Madison, who collaborates with Francis, «Jennifer and I have been forced into the uncomfortable position of defending — or at least explaining — our position before the scientific process has run its course.»»
Research on air quality in New York, Phoenix and Baltimore shows that ambient CO2 parts per million (ppm) levels can spike into the 400s, 500s and 600s, which
climate modelers predict will become the norm in 20 to 30 years.
That may cause
climate modelers to rethink future sea - level rise under a warming climate.
Neighboring towns like Hillwell and Quendale weren't similarly abandoned, Bigelow says, which suggests that the effects of climate change can vary widely even among places just a few kilometers away from one another — something modern
climate modelers should consider, he says.
«Historically, the Arctic had a thicker, more rigid sea ice that covered more of the Arctic basin, so it was difficult to tell whether El Niño had any effect on it,» said Richard Cullather,
a climate modeler at Goddard.
He and colleagues expect the new information will propel
climate modelers to refine their models to better predict what may happen in the future as soils are disturbed by climate change.
«When we think about global warming, what we should really thinking about, to be honest, is ocean warming,» said Paul Durack,
a climate modeler at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL).
Cobb's finding is consistent with a 2013 study of tree rings suggesting that El Niño — related weather havoc has intensified across much of the globe in recent decades, notes Wenju Cai,
a climate modeler at the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation in Melbourne, Australia.
The experiment will run until early 2017 and help
climate modelers determine how warming at Earth's poles could change global weather patterns.
CMIP was established as a resource for
climate modelers, providing a standard protocol for studying the output of coupled atmosphere - ocean general circulation models so that these models can be compared and validated.
Climate modeler Christopher Bretherton of the University of Washington, Seattle, called the study «good, solid, important work... [suggesting] stratospheric aerosol injection is an approach to compensate greenhouse warming that is worthy of further study.»
In the 1970s,
climate modelers had realized that humanity's carbon emissions, belched by factories, cars and industry, were probably changing the climate.
In addition, the study doesn't address larger concerns about geoengineering, says
climate modeler Raymond Pierrehumbert of the University of Chicago in Illinois.
«We will develop that science further so that we can provide regular and scientifically robust evidence on how the odds of these phenomena are changing,» says
climate modeler Peter Stott of the U.K. Met Office.
«Today collaborating with scientists outside of your discipline is almost a requirement to solve the tough questions,» said
climate modeler and co-author, Dr. Owen Doherty.
And at least one Stanford
climate modeler suggests that local cooling has never been shown to create global warming.
Releasing Natuna's carbon pollution would make it «the world's largest point source emitter of CO2 and raises concern for the possible incremental impact of Natuna on the CO2 greenhouse problem,» declared an October 1984 report from Exxon's top
climate modeler, Brian Flannery, and his boss Andrew Callegari.
All told, say
climate modelers, the water they release could contribute about a foot's worth of the 3 to 6 feet of sea level rise projected
In 1980, Exxon assembled a team of
climate modelers who investigated fundamental questions about the climate's sensitivity to the buildup of carbon dioxide in the air.
But
climate modelers can't add enough carbon dioxide (a planet - warming greenhouse gas) to their Mars atmosphere models to get the temperature high enough to keep water from freezing.
Beckwith replies it's almost a battle between
climate modelers, like David Archer, and researchers with observations on the ground, like Shakhova and here Russian counterparts.
«By the end of this century, as the climate warms, the rising demand for irrigation water and increased variability of the water supply may lead to regions with a severe shortage of water for irrigation,» said corresponding author Dr. Maoyi Huang,
a climate modeler at PNNL.
Having better economic models should increase confidence in projections of the effects of various policies, and greatly improve communication with
climate modelers.
Burrows is
a climate modeler whose research explores chemical modeling of marine biogeochemical influence on submicron sea spray particles.
Climate modelers go back in time to simulate past Snowball Earth conditions and find that complete freeze - over is hard to achieve.