Sentences with phrase «many pollsters»

One - in - four of Americans struggles to get to sleep or stay asleep, according to pollsters, and the CDC claims an equally large percentage of us fail to get even six hours of sleep a night.

Yet 73 % told pollsters they are «thinking about another job.»

«We as Democrats have to have a stronger economic message that appeals to Midwest and white blue - collar voters,» says Democratic pollster Celinda Lake in an email.

America First Policies, a nonprofit group with close ties to President Donald Trump, has hired Trump's pollsters to conduct political polling.

That holds true whether pollsters are trying to approximate voter opinion in Rhode Island (about 1 million residents) or the entire US (nearly 320 million residents).

Let's say a pollster like Miringoff were to run that same poll 100 times.

Of the many reasons pollsters might have been off, this may be one of them: There's more to polling than the margin of error.

(One explanation for why pollsters failed to predict Cameron's landslide victory last year was because «Brintroverts» refused to admit they intended to vote Conservative, an uncool choice in everyday conversation.)

Then, pollsters have to decide how to analyze and weight the data, and those methodologies can vary.

It also matters how a pollster phrases and orders questions, and whether it's a phone interview, in - person interview, or online survey.

When pollsters ask voters about their priorities, employment is always at or near the top of the list.

Pollsters and journalists tend to highlight the headline numbers in a poll.

Pollsters typically ask roughly 1,000 people a question like: Whom do you plan to vote for?

In this scenario, 51 % is still the pollster's best guess at Clinton's true level of support.

In the era of modern polling, most pollsters agree that being 95 % confident in the margin of error is «good enough.»

But this is also a virtue because it reduces the effect of pollster biases and errors.

Because the margin of error is 3 points, the pollsters are confident that support for Trump in the total population is between 40 % and 46 % — or 43 % plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Pollsters and political strategists in both parties are predicting that Republicans will lose their majority in the US House this fall, jeopardizing President Donald Trump's policy agenda and putting him at a higher risk of impeachment.

Pollsters surveyed 517 registered Hispanic voters in the state, and 35 percent said they would vote for Romney in the primary compared to 20 percent for Gingrich.

Now those pollsters have come up with an explanation for why they were wrong.

«We saw the numbers but we did not project it would be that significant a falloff from 2008 and 2012,» Steve Mitchell, a Michigan pollster who conducted the Fox 2 / Mitchell poll in the state, told Business Insider.

Seventy percent of respondents told pollsters that if they felt a practice needed to be adjusted, they would candidly approach decision - makers within their organization if they felt their views would be welcomed and the company was willing to change these practices.

The people to blame for this shock are the pollsters, who consistently predicted a Remain majority before the final result, which went to Leave.

Business Insider spoke with party officials and pollsters in the most crucial counties within those states to see how the improbable Trump victory took place.

Basically, Wells says, the pollsters got six things wrong:

Mitchell was one of a number of pollsters who had already reckoned with a surprise in the Wolverine State earlier in the cycle.

And that can be even lower on cell phones, says Anna Greenberg, Democratic pollster and Vice President at Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research.

I'm a pollster.

«We were getting metro areas correct, but in the non-metro areas, and this will be true in Wisconsin and Michigan as well, that, a certain type of Trump voter seemed more [unwilling] to talk to pollsters.

Second, as Americans have rapidly ditched landlines — 47 % of the population is «cellphone only» by the CDC's last count — pollsters are increasingly surveying cellphone users, a population that is two to four times more expensive to reach, says Republican pollster Bill McInturff.

«If this is true, it will be a real challenge for the polling industry to figure out how do we account for what seems to be an anti-establishment segment of the population who won't talk to pollsters,» he continued.

Perhaps surprisingly, four in 10 even told pollsters they believed the economy was getting better.

The focus group was put together by Emory University and conducted by Peter Hart, a Democratic pollster.

Wang said a number of steps must be taken to attempt correction of the miss, including reviewing if pollsters adequately captured hard - to - poll demographics — such as blue - collar white voters — and as beginning to understand how to capture the leanings of undecided voters.

Oczkowski said pollsters «making guesses on old intuitions and old methodologies isn't going to work anymore.»

He had told Business Insider in March that he'd «only been wrong like this twice in my life» when discussing how Michigan pollsters, including himself, missed Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont's shocking victory in the state's Democratic primary.

At 6:35 p.m. on November 8, when most pollsters and pundits believed Clinton would carry the election, WikiLeaks messaged Trump Jr. and suggested Trump contest the results because it would help him mount an opposition media brand, and that it would expose «media corruption, primary corruption, PAC corruption, etc..»

Pollsters fear a voluntary census would produce less reliable data.

Turn on any news channel, and you'll hear debate about why so many pollsters and pundits failed to foresee Donald Trump's victory.

Like pollsters and data scientists have been doing for decades, we normalize our data against U.S. census data, ensuring that our panel of millions accurately matches the U.S. population to remove any age or gender bias (though urban geographies are slightly over-represented in our panel).

Pollsters first began tracking Americans» confidence in their major institutions — such as the church and the Supreme Court — as a result of the rancor caused by the Vietnam War and Watergate.

Elections are only 5 % of a pollster's business.

And many business owners have told pollsters that uncertainty over the budget is leading them to postpone hiring and new investment.

Social connection, apparently, is on the decline in the U.S. with Americans telling pollsters they had an average of three close friends in 1985 and only one in 2004.

Another mistake pollsters made was to assume an electorate that looked more like the one that voted in 2004 and less like 2008, which had larger - than - usual minority and youth turnout.

In the tight three - way race of this year's federal election, the focus has shifted from the reliability of any single research firm to the wisdom of the collective pollster mind, with news outlets arguing over who can aggregate the polls in the most reliable fashion.

In the wake of Alberta 2012 and another widely miscalled provincial election in British Columbia the following year, Canadian pollsters were subjected to the scathing critiques of columnists and bloggers of all political affiliations.

That compares to 75 % of Republicans and nearly half of independents telling pollsters climate change wasn't a source of concern in 2009.

And though pollsters have called several subsequent elections correctly, methodological concerns persist among amateur statisticians, although their theories are often contradictory or inaccurate.

Conway served as Trump's campaign manager from August 2016 until the election and was previously a strategist and pollster.