Sentences with phrase «many square bettors»

They understand the factors driving public betting and shade their lines accordingly to force square bettors to take bad numbers when playing the popular side of a game.
This is the time of year when square bettors flock to sports betting marketplace, making it an ideal time for sharp bettors to find value.
Square bettors are prone to betting these games for one simple reason — they plan on watching the game and they want some sort of vested interest.
In David Purdum's recent article at ESPN Chalk, he reports that large bets by square bettors taking the short trip from California have been on the Dodgers, but sportsbooks expect sharp money to come in on the Astros for both game 1 and the series.
Because you were always laying a minus number, betting on favorites burned a huge hole in the pockets of square bettors.
As always we're going to fade the public, take the value created by square bettors and bet the road dog in this NFC South matchup.
Square bettors come out of the woodwork and get down hard on these games, causing the ticket counts to skyrocket (on average, these games are getting 20 - 40K bets, similar to an NFL game).
Bovada is a very square sportsbook and they typically offer far better odds on the underdog, however, as we explained in a recent article, square bettors tend to gravitate towards underdogs during the postseason.
Without any action to get down on (besides the Home Run Derby and Midsummer Classic itself), sharp and square bettors alike are forced to...
Right now, this movement appears to be based on public money as opposed to sharp money, so there is added value on the Dolphins based on square bettors.
Square bettors will frequently put too much stock into these rankings despite the fact that many voters are not watching every game and are actually far less informed than the oddsmakers.
We've discussed at length how square bettors typically overvalue ranked teams, how bettors can diagnose sharp money indicators like reverse line movement, and how good rushing teams are typically undervalued in low - scoring games.
If ESPN spends all week hyping LeBron James and promoting his legacy, these square bettors will likely load up on the Heat and create artificial value on their opponent.
No matter how juiced up their line is, square bettors will take the Cubs every * bleeping * time.
Although it does not track reverse line movement like our earlier spread system, it shows how WNBA bettors can take advantage of lines that are artificially inflated by square bettors.
Without any action to get down on (besides the Home Run Derby and Midsummer Classic itself), sharp and square bettors alike are forced to take a step back, reflect on their first - half performance, re-examine winning and losing strategies and prepare for the second - half of the season.
Oddsmakers can accurately anticipate the behavior of these bettors and shade their opening lines to force square bettors to take bad numbers when playing the popular side of a game.
The South is clearly the Panthers» to lose, and square bettors were actually able to get a good number at -200 at Sprtsbk back in April.
SportsInsights uses proprietary information and sportsbook contacts to highlight plays that have excessive «Square» action — and thus should yield value by «betting against» the square bettors.
Square bettors tend to overwhelmingly root for winning teams and high - scoring games, and sportsbooks account for these tendencies by shading favorites and overs.
Interestingly, this actually mirrors the NFL playoffs, where the influx of square bettors causes a seismic shift in the sports betting marketplace.
Square bettors are more prone to taking underdogs because they're happy to simply take the points if two high caliber teams are playing.
Sharper sportsbooks will not adjust their lines based on square bettors, and do not change their lines lightly.
Square bettors are prone to betting these games for...
Past research has found that square bettors tend to place more value on high - powered offenses than stout defenses, and this false perception can easily be exploited.
Many square bettors don't follow action across the league and are quick to bet the teams they see most frequently i.e. the league's elite teams.
-- Prior to Friday's games we highlighted the importance of betting against the public in the tournament due to so many casual and square bettors:
There is a theory that square bettors are getting more sophisticated, but there is one thing hasn't changed over time: bettors love betting on good teams, no matter what number they are laying.
Square bettors tend to overreact to recent events, so opportunistic bettors can find tremendous value by taking teams following a loss.
Square bettors love rooting for high - scoring games, which is why the under has historically provided contrarian value.
This reverse line movement indicates that although square bettors are taking the Spartans, sharp money has been hammering the Crimson Tide.
Square bettors love to pound the favorite while sharp bettors would simply wait for bookmakers to adjust their odds before taking the underdog at an artificially inflated price.
With square bettors eager to bet on any football game that they can (we tracked ~ 47k bets on the 5 NBA games last night, ~ 40k on the 3 MACtion games), there are more than 60 % of bets on the over for each of the three games.
During the playoffs, the number of bets placed on every game nearly doubles, with much of the action from square bettors.
Square bettors habitually gravitate towards the league's top teams, and this has created contrarian value taking their opponents.
During the regular season we'll typically see the majority of square bettors hammering the favorite, but sportsbooks take enough action from sharp bettors to mitigate their risk.
If too many square bettors load up on one side (typically caused by an overreaction to recent results), oddsmakers will need to even the weight by adjusting the line and encouraging action on their opponent.
Square bettors are greatly influenced by recent events, and that tendency is magnified during the postseason where seemingly every play is viewed under a microscope.
This level of public support is typical after an impressive win on national television; however, it would appear that square bettors may be overvaluing the Broncos.
Square bettors will frequently put too much stock into these rankings despite the fact that many voters are not watching every game and are far less informed than their oddsmaker counterparts.
That information would seem to indicate that both sharp and square bettors are supporting the reigning Super Bowl champs.
This game currently ranks fifth in terms of number of bets placed, but square bettors often like to bet games that are on television, so that number could increase significantly (tonight's game is nationally televised).
If you're truly looking for value betting on Super Bowl futures, don't look for these trendy teams whose prices are being over-inflated by square bettors and don't overreact to free agency hype.
It also gives square bettors more time to place their bets, which typically leads to an influx of public money and additional value betting against the public.
Part of this is due to the popularity of North Carolina among square bettors.
Since square bettors typically overreact to recent events, one of the easiest ways to take advantage of public perception is by taking teams following a loss or fading teams following a win.
With square bettors having early season success, now may be the perfect time to buy low on some of the nation's least popular teams.
This would seem to indicate that both sharp and square bettors are both on New York this weekend.
Additionally, this line movement seems to be driven completely by square bettors as there have been no betting systems triggered on this game.
Those are both very public books, which cater to square bettors.
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