This is a strong indication that
the margin debt level has almost reached its peak and the stock market will also as a consequence peak soon!
Another red flag the market is raising is growth in
margin debt levels among companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
Year 2000
margin debt levels saw their highest readings up to that point.
While rising
margin debt levels provide the additional liquidity to drive stock prices higher on the way up, it also cuts deeply as prices fall.»
Not exact matches
With sentiment indicators buoyant,
margin debt close to historic
levels and indices trading close to their 2 standard deviation based on forward PE over five years, investors need to be mindful that a correction can easily unfold.
The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its reasonable valuation
levels, expanding profit
margins, largely solid financial position with reasonable
debt levels by most measures and notable return on equity.
The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its expanding profit
margins and largely solid financial position with reasonable
debt levels by most measures.
The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, largely solid financial position with reasonable
debt levels by most measures, notable return on equity, increase in stock price during the past year and expanding profit
margins.
However, the most compelling STOCKS» SELL SIGNAL is the all - time high
level of NYSE
Margin Debt.
But because the equities market is at such high
levels with a record
margin debt, this combination along with the shift in investor sentiment could lead to a significant and dramatic sell - off.
The record
level of
margin debt is an indication to me that we are closer to the end of this run in the equities market than the beginning.
This record
level of
margin debt is indeed a warning sign.
Ignore the
Margin Debt Alarm The margin debt alarm has seemingly been sounded every few months when investors realize absolute levels of margin debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at
Margin Debt Alarm The margin debt alarm has seemingly been sounded every few months when investors realize absolute levels of margin debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at ri
Debt Alarm The
margin debt alarm has seemingly been sounded every few months when investors realize absolute levels of margin debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at
margin debt alarm has seemingly been sounded every few months when investors realize absolute levels of margin debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at ri
debt alarm has seemingly been sounded every few months when investors realize absolute
levels of
margin debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at
margin debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at ri
debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high
levels and stocks are at risk).
China's stock rally has come as a sharp contrast to the nation's slowing economy and is all the more precarious because it has been driven by unprecedented
levels of
margin financing, or investors» taking on
debt to trade in shares.
The club is largely operating with low
levels or
debt and has one of the highest turnover and profit
margins in world football.
Amazon & ETFs, ETFs &
Margin Deleveraging,
Debt Levels & ETFs, ETFs & Stock Market Valuations, ETF Allocations Click here to listen to the show
Value investing works best when investors understand why a company is promising, based on things like its assets, revenues, earnings, profit
margin, and
debt levels.
Margin debt is at its highest
level since the 1920s, though as a percentage of market capitalization, it is lower than it was in 2000.
Margin debt in the United States — money borrowed against securities in brokerage accounts — has risen to its highest
level ever, at $ 384 billion, surpassing the previous peak of $ 381 billion set in July 2007 according to New York Times Business Day's Off The Charts: Sign of Excess?.
Perhaps ominously, all three circumstances currently exist, with
margin debt at an all - time peak and IPOs at their highest
level since 2007.
Investment strategies that involve
debt (e.g. trading on
margin, credit card arbitrage, borrowing money) is very risky and the average investor doesn't have a reason to engage in that
level of risk.
Again, however, the important feature to observe is not so much the absolute
level, but the cyclical tendency for spikes in
margin debt to accompany overvalued, overbought, overbullish market peaks.
As of end - September 2017,
margin debt on the NYSE was a record $ 559.6 billion, which is to be expected as U.S. equity indices were also near all - time highs, and stock market peaks and record
levels of
margin debt often coincide.
As shown, the
level of real (inflation adjusted)
margin debt as a percentage of real GDP has reached
levels only witnessed at the peaks of the last two financial bubble peaks in the U.S.»
Minimum future annualized revenue growth of 15 % organically, low or declining
debt level and improving
margins with business models can reach high profitability and Return on Equity * in time
One of the biggest negatives is the
margin debt which is at
levels seen in prior stock market tops.
Of course, that's only true if
debt levels are sustainable — that
margin will only reasonably support about 11 % of the current EUR 443.5 mio of
debt.
I am comfortable with this
level of
debt and realize there is some risk of
margin calls, but our investments are very conservative, making me comfortable with this.
Again, a higher
level of
debt can be sustained — an additional 9.4 million of
debt still limits interest expense to 15 % of our average adjusted Op FCF
margin, and as usual we'll haircut by 50 % & include as a further adjustment.
That
level of
debt's sustainable, and I believe a company with an 8.2 % OP
margin is fairly valued (and could be sold, complete with
debt transfer) at a 0.7 P / S multiple.
Thanks to unusually high
debt levels and unusually low labor compensation in recent years, the earnings peak in 2007 was based on profit
margins that were about 50 % above the historical average, and which have now collapsed.