"Marginal seats" refers to electoral constituencies or districts where the winning margin between candidates or political parties is very narrow. These seats are considered significant because their results can easily change from one party to another during elections, making them crucial in determining the overall outcome of an election.
Full definition
But as we know, the picture is seldom uniform across the country; the national headline figures can sometimes mask what is happening
in marginal seats where elections are won and lost.
I have my doubts about the reliability
of marginal seat polls since the average number of voters polled per constituency is only about 10.
Both the main parties could count on winning hundreds of safe seats each and the electoral battle would be won or lost in a smaller number of
key marginal seats.
He's just completed a survey of more than 13,000 voters in 41 of the
most marginal seats in the country *.
Whereas in
marginal seats with two or three parties very close to each other, the behaviour of small numbers of voters could change the result and so every vote counts.
Other local parties support the efforts in
marginal seats by sending in activists and by not receiving as much central subsidy.
Perhaps I did it because I was in a
very marginal seat and felt that the interaction with people on social media was important.
Here is the full result from the key
marginal seat which both parties will target at the 2015 general election.
If that wasn't enough, the last election was influenced by an individual who poured # 50,000
into marginal seats to influence the vote.
«The next general election is not in the bag and we have many,
many marginal seats to defend and more to gain,» she will say.
More importantly, with a poll of a group of
marginal seats like this we can't tell what the distribution of the vote is between these different seats.
Political parties, in league with tech firms, target voters in a
few marginal seats to sway national results.
In any analysis of the 2015 general election defeat it would follow logically that the best accounts could be given by those that fought and
lost marginal seats.
One told me of fellow candidates standing in
marginal seats who had five to ten meetings a day during conference season.
The allegations centre around the declaration of spending on Conservative battle bus tour in 2015, which took activists to dozens of
marginal seats before the election.
Officials revealed they were targeting «undecided» women voters in the party's
vital marginal seats.
The voters in
marginal seats receive, no doubt to their delight, a great deal more attention from the parties than anyone else.
If they behave differently to the national polls, and if different groups of
marginal seats behave differently to one another, it's obviously a very big deal.
The leaders travelled around the country,
visiting marginal seats and giving big speeches in time to catch the early editions.
I'd been to scores of marginal seats [and] I had no time with my family.
We would also agree on which coalition party should contest the
most marginal seats of the opposition parties.
Both outcomes are highly possible as are many other scenarios in between, resulting in many different possible results in
marginal seats like this.
Policies, attention and money are focused mostly on a
few marginal seats, because that's where elections are won and lost.
The party has kept control of a number
of marginal seats and taken several others from their former coalition partners and Labour.
He soon realised that Croydon Central was in effect a highly
marginal seat as the demography was moving against the Conservatives.
Councillors that
won marginal seats on a tide of national popularity for their party are most likely to lose them when the tide ebbs.
Though the Conservative Party tried its best to take some of the more
marginal seats between it and Labour, such as Bridgend and Newport West, Labour successfully defended all of its 25 seats and took a further three (Gower, Cardiff North, and Vale of Clwyd) from the Conservatives.
In the twelve most
marginal seats where a Conservative candidate triumphed that was the total margin of victory.
This was indeed a Tory hold, in line with what happened in most of the Conservative
held marginal seats outside London Labour were hoping to gain - the only exceptions outside the capital were Wirral West, City of Chester, Dewsbury, Lancaster and Fleetwood and Wolverhampton South West - most of those were down to demographic changes and university influence.
Or maybe Labour could add its weight, running a pro-single market campaign to win a slew of
marginal seats from the Tories and demolishing Theresa May's hopes of a workable majority?
Senior Labour backbencher and former minister Frank Field said: «If last night's vote heralds the start of Ukip's serious assault into Labour's neglected core vote, all bets are off for safer, let alone
marginal seats at the next election.»
Facing an unnecessary by - election in a
highly marginal seat at a difficult time for the Coalition government.
Ed Miliband has to win over dozens of Tory
marginal seats if he wants to make it to Downing Street at the 2015 general election.
Oakeshott gave # 10,000 each to 30 Labour candidates in
marginal seats across the Labour political spectrum.
Should individuals like Lords Ashcroft and Laidlaw be allowed to be far and away the major donors backing Conservative
marginal seat campaigns?
According to my notes, Cooper said the Tories»
marginal seats strategy — and Lord Ashcroft's money — worked well enough overall and that several seats, Hammersmith and Westminster North for instance, were deemed so winnable that no funds went their way.
In some of the most
marginal seats such as Hove, where Labour has a 420 majority, union funding has been huge - # 28,000 in the last 18 months.
1997 taught the Conservative Party that a fringe party like the Referendum Party does not need to do spectacularly in order to deny us victory in
crucial marginal seats.
The Tories may do well in the south of England, where they're
fighting marginal seats against the Liberal Democrats — fleeing Lib Dem voters will go to Labour, which should translate into safer Tory seats — but it's in the north of England and the East Midlands where there are many Conservative MPs hanging onto their seats against Labour challengers.
Phrases with «marginal seats»