Sentences with phrase «marginal seats at»

Conservative backbenchers were expressing fears on Saturday that Ukip — which leapfrogged the Conservatives into second place in Thursday's Eastleigh byelection — represents a serious threat to their support not just in the south of England but also in the north, where the Tories face a struggle to defend a number of key marginal seats at the 2015 general election.

Senior Labour backbencher and former minister Frank Field said: «If last night's vote heralds the start of Ukip's serious assault into Labour's neglected core vote, all bets are off for safer, let alone marginal seats at the next election.»

It won't make Labour any more popular among the voters it needs to save its marginal seats at the election.»

Facing an unnecessary by - election in a highly marginal seat at a difficult time for the Coalition government.

Not exact matches

He managed to squeeze in three separate visits, stopping for Welsh cakes and tea at the Dyffryn Gardens in the marginal seat of Vale of Glamorgan, then moving on to Brains Brewery in Cardiff, before finally taking a detour to Barry Island (and a quick vanilla ice cream and selfies with holidaying families).

Corbyn plans to visit at least 40 marginal seats during the parliamentary recess that begins on Friday, enough to put him in Downing Street if Labour won them all.

He claimed 40 per cent of the vote at the 2005 election but is holding the country's most marginal seat - a 0.2 per cent swing would see it go to the Tories.

Persuading my editor to let me hire a vintage VW camper for a week to tour some of the most marginal (and beautiful) seats in the West Country seemed like quite a coup at the time.

Instead of mucking in with the multifarious resistance movement - which, as you rightly state here, does not require universal agreement in order to progress, that sort of Leninist thinking is weedkiller to the grassroots - Labour is already positioning itself for the next election, terrified of doing anything at all which might upset the few swing voters in key marginal seats that the party has repositioned itself towards over the past twenty years.

This meant looking at polling data on voting intentions in key marginal seats, votes in the most recent local elections and the resources each party is likely to have to spend on campaigning in the area.

Dobell is more at risk for Labor than its 5.1 % margin suggests, while Robertson remains a key marginal seat by any measure.

Below is the text of my presentation at the Conservative Party Conference this afternoon setting out my latest research in marginal seats and the Tories» challenge in building an election - winning coalition of voters.

After yesterday's Channel 4 News poll showing plummeting Conservative support in key marginal seats, leading Tory lobbyist Peter Bingle emails colleagues to describe his «despair» at his party's election campaign.

The second issue was the decision of John Howard to take over the Mersey Hospital in Latrobe, then located at the eastern end of the marginal seat of Braddon.

At the 2005 election, her seat became the most marginal in Wales as her Conservative challenger reduced her majority to 1,146.

At the 2005 election the seat was Liberal Democrat target number 18, and Conservative target number 50; it had been frequently described in the media as a «three - way marginal», and all parties fought hard for the constituency.

He began to become interested in political polling in the autumn of 2004 at a time when he was already working to help Conservative candidates win — and hold on to — some of the most marginal seats up and down the country.

Research in marginal seats by Politics Home in August 2008 and September 2009, for example, found a significant boost for the Lib Dems in the follow - up question «And thinking specifically about your own constituency and the candidates who are likely to stand there which party's candidate do you think you will vote for in your own constituency at the next general election?»

Taken together, groups of Conservative - Labour marginals in my research have shown swings to Labour at a similar level to those in the national polls, but there are wide variations between seats with similar majorities: in the first round, published in May, I found swings to Labour of 8 % in Amber Valley and just 2 % in Morecambe & Lunesdale.

But from those that were, we can see a picture that is both grim and variable - Labour losing its ultra-marginals, in with half a chance of clinging onto one or two slightly more solid marginals, in danger of losing some of its semi-marginals, and at risk of losing rock solid safe seats in long - standing Labour heartlands.

How can it be right that the electoral battleground is fought in 100 key marginal seats which swing at each election and decide the colour of the government?

Firstly, in Conservative - vs - Labour marginals the Conservative vote is largely unchanged from the general election, but the Liberal Democrat vote has dropped to the benefit of Labour, this means on a uniform swing Labour would gain about 28 seats from the Conservatives (though these would be seats that the Conservatives gained at the last election, so in practice the Tories would be helped by the incumbency bonus of the new MPs).

He has produced a table listing 32 marginal seats that the Tories ought to be targeting at the next election (defined as requiring a 5 % or under swing from red or yellow to blue).

At every election, local or national, the attention of politicians and political pundits turns to Nuneaton, a key marginal, a bellwether seat in the heart of England that oscillates between Labour and the Tories.

He has produced a table listing 32 marginal seats that the Tories ought to be targeting at the next election (defined as requiring a 5 % o

Mark Williams, then - Leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats, was defeated at the 2017 general election in his Ceredigion constituency by Ben Lake of Plaid Cymru, whose majority of 104 made the seat one of the most marginal in the country.

Even in these marginal seats where two - party competition is at its most antagonistic, respondents were comfortable with the more collaborative and consensus - building politics common to multi-party politics.

It would be very sad if the two right - of - centre Eurosceptic parties at the general election were not able to find some way, at least in marginal seats, of reaching an accommodation so that anti-referendum candidates don't get in with a minority of votes.

At 0.01 %, this is the fourth - lowest majority in all of post-war UK electoral history — and quite a change from the previous election in 2005 when this was the UK's 158th most marginal seat.

An MP in one of the Conservatives» most marginal seats has announced he will not seek reselection at the next election.

If you're lucky enough to live in a marginal seat like Taunton Deane, you will be bombarded with messages from candidates, because your vote makes an enormous difference both to who becomes your MP, and the overall balance of party seats at Westminster.

At the weekend they upped the ante with Alan Partridge's alter ego not only starring in an ad, but also hitting the campaign trail in a number of marginal seats with Labour MP Tom Watson.

Lord Ashcroft has repeated the same sort of large marginals poll that PoliticsHome did in 2008 and 2009, looking at the clusters of key marginal seats that will provide the battleground for the next general election.

There are much more obvious differences between different battlegrounds (that is, between seats that are Con - v - Lab battles and seats that are Con - v - LD battles), so I've looked at only the Con - v - Lab battleground — those marginal seats with the Conservatives in first place ahead of Labour.

The first is the next cohort of Lib Dem - v - Conservative marginals, this group are those seats with a Lib Dem majority of between 9 % and 15 % over the Conservatives, so we are no longer looking at ultra-marginals.

With several more Labour MPs in marginal seats having announced their intention to retire at the election in recent days, below is a list of the 46 Labour and Lib Dem MPs (so far) in the most winnable seats for the Conservatives who have opted not to defend their seats at the general election.

However, his seat of Carshalton and Wallington is always a tough marginal to fight at elections, hardly desirable for a party leader.

Lord Ashcroft's findings in the marginal polls however have shown a slight weakening in the Labour position relative to the Conservatives, looking at just the 12 ultra-marginal seats the Conservatives are down by about 1.5 % on average, Labour down by about 2.7 %, UKIP up by about 4.5 %.

But fear of local voters counted as much yesterday evening as fear of local activists - at least for MPs in marginal seats,

Their strongest performance though came in a seat that was part of the normal sample of ultra marginals — Thurrock, where Ashcroft found them at 29 % and in second place behind Labour.

> Yesterday's Seats and candidates: Another Labour minister in a key marginal seat opts to quit at the general election

I'll put up full notional results later on today, but looking at England and Wales as a whole, it looks as if the Conservatives would lose 10 seats, Labour would lose 28 seats, the Liberal Democrats would lose 4 and the Greens would lose one (by my calculations the new Brighton North would be a close three - way marginal, with the Conservatives narrowly ahead of Labour).

About nine police forces have been investigating the accusations of higher - than - permitted spending in a number of marginal seats, which could have helped the Tories gain a majority at the election.

In only two seats was the change statistically significant, both in Labour's favour: Stroud, where Labour have a high - profile candidate in David Drew, the former MP; and Warrington South, where the constituency question produced a boost for the Lib Dems consistent with the fact that it was at the last election almost a three - way marginal.

Curiously they did not express the same view in their press release highlighting my survey of marginal seats in March, which showed a number of potential SNP gains from the Lib Dems, or when they welcomed my «super poll» at the end of last year which gave the SNP a 6 - point lead over Labour.

Meanwhile, an opinion poll commissioned by former Tory deputy chairman Lord Ashcroft in the 40 most marginal Tory - held seats suggests that Labour remains on course for a comfortable overall majority at the next election — not because the party itself is gaining ground, but because Ukip has tripled its share of the vote, mainly at the expense of the Conservatives.

But at the same time, Faso took a more direct shot Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, two of the state's most prominent Democrats who have vocally opposed the measure and pushed Republicans in marginal House seats like Faso's to vote against it.

You also seem to believe that AV will create more marginal seats (otherwise your argument makes no sense at all).

In most elections all we normally have to do is work out what is happening in the Tory - Labour marginals, adding in a glance at the handful of seats the Liberal Democrats might gain or lose.

The absence of Welsh seats may also be linked to the fact they don't have a clue at this stage on how many current marginals will exist again after the review.