Sentences with phrase «marginal seats before»

Not exact matches

He managed to squeeze in three separate visits, stopping for Welsh cakes and tea at the Dyffryn Gardens in the marginal seat of Vale of Glamorgan, then moving on to Brains Brewery in Cardiff, before finally taking a detour to Barry Island (and a quick vanilla ice cream and selfies with holidaying families).

They'd be the biggest Tory mugs since chicken Conservative MPs quit before May in marginal seats the party retained in a fluky result.

That was before Lord Ashcroft had published his survey of 19,000 voters in marginal seats.

Marginal polls used to only come along occasionally, varied a lot, polled different groups of seats, and didn't often happen right before elections so weren't tested against reality, meaning methods weren't finessed and improved over time in the same way national polls are.

As before, YouGov questioned people in the 60 Labour - Conservative marginals in those seats that Labour won by a margin of between 6 and 14 percentage points.

Regular readers will recall that before the election it looked as if the boundary reviews would have favoured the Tories more — I suspect this change is largely because the 2017 election happened to produce a lot of very marginal seats, and that small boundary changes have flipped some of these in Labour's favour.

But on election day, it will still let the Tories target marginal voters in must - win seats more precisely than ever before.»

As I've written before when writing about constituency polls of Lib Dem seats and marginal polls of Lib Dem battlegrounds, we don't really have the evidence from past elections to judge what the most accurate methods are.

This was clear from the major study of the country's marginal seats that we conducted with YouGov before the election.

If there is a real story at all in the Tories» winning a marginal seat in Cheshire two years before a General Election, then it is that Cameron can win without having to please the Tory base in the least, and indeed while defining himself against it for the amusement of the BBC / Fleet Street dinner party circuit.

This is something that was first used in the big PoliticsHome polls of marginal seats back before the last election — it makes hardly any difference when you ask people in most seats, but makes the world of difference when you ask people living in seats where the Lib Dems are in contention, presumably picking up tactical voting considerations.

The number of marginal seats is shrinking, from more than 150 before 1974 to 85 in 2010.

Now if that happens next May there'll be 12 months before the election and some of our colleagues in marginal seats might get a bit windy.

The country became more polarised between the two largest parties in 2015 than was the case at any previous post-1945 election: the Conservatives and Labour have more Very Safe seats than before, and are contesting fewer marginal ones — and of the 56 seats won by the SNP in 2015, 28 are classified as Very Safe and a further 18 as Safe.

Like Derby South, this is a very marginal seat where it is very difficult to believe that the Tories would have won if they had had the competence and / or honesty to admit before the election that Midland Mainline Electrification would have to be postponed because of therrpobelms which have arisen with electrification of the Great Western line.

LL: «This is the leaked list of 75 marginal seats in which Labour expects to carry out selections before the end of the year.

At least in modern times (the post WW2 era), most cabinet ministers have always had safeish seats, the main reason being that you generally need to have sat for a couple of parliamentary terms to get into the cabinet and if you have a marginal seat you tend to lose it before you get to cabinet level.