Sentences with phrase «marginal seats behave»

If they behave differently to the national polls, and if different groups of marginal seats behave differently to one another, it's obviously a very big deal.

Not exact matches

You can see that marginals do behave a little differently sometimes — the Conservatives managed a better swing in their target Labour marginals in 2010, Labour did better in those seats where they had fresh incumbency in 2001 — but the differences aren't huge.

In practice of course we can't actually be that confident that voters in a tight LD - Lab marginal will behave the same way as in a seat where the Lib Dems have a 20 % majority, so it's a bit of a shame Ashcroft didn't include some more challenging LD - Lab fights like Cambridge, Hornsey & Wood Green or Bermondsey.

If history is any guide we might expect the Conservatives to do a little better as most of the battleground seats have new Conservative incumbents, but only by a very small amount — the reality is that Con - Lab marginals do tend to behave in pretty much the same way as the nation as a whole does.