Sentences with phrase «marginal seats held»

Things are looking rather less bad in the 8 most marginal seats we hold against the Lib Dems — though only because the Lib Dems» vote share has fallen further than ours has.

Not exact matches

He claimed 40 per cent of the vote at the 2005 election but is holding the country's most marginal seat - a 0.2 per cent swing would see it go to the Tories.

It was a complex race in a marginal seat, which ended with a surprising Labour hold for Debbie Abrahams.

«We thought we might hold seven to 10 seats in Scotland, we had no intelligence on the Tory - Lib Dem marginals and throughout the day we had good reports in the English marginals.

It is a marginal seat between Plaid and the Labour Party, and until the 2016 Assembly election, had never been held by the same party for more than one consecutive term.

He began to become interested in political polling in the autumn of 2004 at a time when he was already working to help Conservative candidates win — and hold on to — some of the most marginal seats up and down the country.

In August 2011 I conducted a poll of 41 marginal Conservative - held seats to find out whether the static national polls were hiding a more nuanced picture on this crucial battleground.

He commissioned polls in 20 Liberal Democrat - held marginal seats in September 2014.

Analysis of my polling in the forty most marginal Conservative - held seats showed that Tory «defectors» and UKIP voters are not the same people.

There will be marginal seats that Labour unexpectedly holds, and safe seats it unexpectedly loses.

Virtually all the Conservative - held marginals are being defended by MPs who gained their seats (mainly from Labour) in 2010.

Exactly how they asked this is unclear from Lord Ashcroft's report, but the ultimate effect is that the Conservatives hold onto an extra 12 seats in Con - v - Lab marginals (implying that Lib Dems and others» second preferences broke in the Conservatives favour), and the Lib Dems hold onto an extra 11 seats in Con - v - LD marginals.

Clearly even if the Lib Dem vote is holding up better in the Lib Dem Tory marginals — that doesn» mean the Lib Dems would win these seats were a general election held tomorrow.

In most seats this is only a marginal difference — in Lib Dem held seats it can be substantial, as repeatedly shown in polls of Lib Dem marginal seats using a two - stage national - then - constituency voting intention questions (see here by Lord Ashcroft, and here by YouGov).

For the 2015 election, the party would focus single - mindedly on holding 40 marginal seats and winning another 40.

Recent Labour selections for marginal Tory - held seats seem to confirm this thesis: most candidates who stood in the last election have been reselected.

In many of the marginal seats that Conservatives have to win to gain an overall majority in 2015, trade union members could hold the balance of power.

In a supplementary question to 326 members in Liberal Democrat - held seats / councils we asked; «Do you agree that «a vote for the Liberal Democrats could produce a hung parliament and keep Labour in power» is the best line of attack in Lib / Con marginals?»

Prior to setting up his own communications business, he was on the Conservative Party's professional staff working for Ministers and high - profile back bench MPs, where he masterminded and devised a number of community campaigns which saw the Conservative Party holding to a number of highly marginal seats.

Under the plans, the foreign secretary's Uxbridge & South Ruislip seat will gain Labour - held council wards, making it a tight marginal that Johnson could struggle to hold.

Recent polling of Liberal Democrat marginals found that while the party faces losing dozens of seats to Labour, they could hold on to a surprising number of seats against the Conservatives.

6 are Conservative held seats where the Lib Dems came a close second last time and need not unduly delay us, all show a shift from Lib Dem to Conservative and Conservative holds, the most interesting ones being Watford (which was a three way marginal in 2010 and remains so in this poll) and the two Cornish seats in the sample which both put UKIP in second place, more on that later.

It's a repeat of his first polling of Con - Lab seats in April and now as then, Ashcroft polled the 12 most marginal Conservative held seats with Labour in second place, plus two other seats (South Thanet and Great Yarmouth) that he thought might have interesting UKIP results.

ComRes's regular marginal polls cover the 40 most marginal Con v Lab seats, 25 held by the Tories, 15 held by Labour.

But today they need the support of other parties to control Leeds and Bradford, and Westminster seats that they either already held or were marginal are now not even remote possibilities.

Matthew Barrett profiles the MPs trying to keep hold of the most marginal Tory seats Main Theresa May's statement to the House: «We can soon put Qatada on a plane and get him out of our country for good»»

Meanwhile, an opinion poll commissioned by former Tory deputy chairman Lord Ashcroft in the 40 most marginal Tory - held seats suggests that Labour remains on course for a comfortable overall majority at the next election — not because the party itself is gaining ground, but because Ukip has tripled its share of the vote, mainly at the expense of the Conservatives.

These two won't win any seats under first past the post but could take sufficient votes to keep Labour in if in a Marginal, remember Crawley and Harlow to name but two in 2005 where Labour held on by their fingernails and the UKIP vote was far higher than their majority.

A pattern emerged of Labour holding up in London, but not as much as they would have hoped, while being unable to make any serious challenge to the marginal Conservative seats the party needed to win to offset the wipeout in Scotland.

We find that Conservative support is holding up better in its key marginal seats than the rest of the country, and also that the Liberal Democrats are recovering strongly, albeit from a low base, in the seats they are defending.

As regular readers will recall, ComRes's marginal polls cover the 40 most marginal Con - v - Lab seats (25 Conservative held, 15 Labour held).

Despite losing the seat by just 103 votes at last year's general election and although the Tories are allegedly holding back their campaign at David Cameron's request, Nick Clegg's party trails by 17 points in two separate surveys of voters in the key marginal.

Under the first past the post electoral system, many Labour votes were «wasted» as part of large majorities for MPs in safe seats rather than into holding onto marginal seats.

He's on a national tour of marginal Conservative - held seats.

Labour lost the marginal seat of Derby North last year to the Conservatives, after holding it since 1997.

RANDOM STAT: Alarmingly the Tories had a 10 - point lead in Labour - held marginal seats, though take this with a pinch of salt as the sample size was only 186 people.

Thus anyone wavering will think, «It's worth voting for UKIP, they can win this time» whereas with FTTP as used for Westminster they will be lucky to hold Castle Point and in a marginal seat such as Reading West if I want to unseat Labour MP Martin Salter I will have to vote Tory as the UKIP candidate will be very lucky to make 4 figures.

In 2005 this was one of the most marginal seats in the country, held by Labour «s Derek Wyatt by only 79 votes.

In that case, it is possible that the Lib Dems will have held on to most of the Lib Dem / Tory marginals that have sitting Lib Dem MPs who are doing a good job, and will have taken many seats off of Labour in areas of relative Tory weakness.

Here is the lead by constituency on the local votes from the 10 most marginal Conservative held seats in 2015 and Reading East / West (seats with ward boundary changes, no local elections in 2015 or either Con or Lab not running in more than one ward have been omitted), the actual majority is in brackets:

The tories should hold this, UKIP and the liberal democrats will lose out as in a marginal seat as such, people usually vote for the main competing seats.

This was indeed a Tory hold, in line with what happened in most of the Conservative held marginal seats outside London Labour were hoping to gain - the only exceptions outside the capital were Wirral West, City of Chester, Dewsbury, Lancaster and Fleetwood and Wolverhampton South West - most of those were down to demographic changes and university influence.

All of the evidence is that they'll do much, much better in seats that they currently hold and in which they have significant campaigning infrastructure (see Lord Ashcroft's marginal polling and Rob Hayward's reflection on council results).

They also need to watch their seats in Brunswick Park and East Barnet which are only held by marginal majorities (though the trends there are favourable to Labour).

She held her marginal seat in Bristol and having been instrumental in the Royal College of Teaching's creation could take up space made by Laws» exit.

On a more simple measure of affordability, the median house price of the marginal Liberal seat held by Malcolm Turnbull — which needs a swing of 3.9 per cent to change hands — is a staggering $ 1.65 million.

In by - elections held in December 1893 the Reformers lost a safe seat to the nativist Protestant Protective Association and a more marginal one to a politicized farmers» organization, the Patrons of Industry [see George Weston Wrigley].