Sentences with phrase «marginal seats in an election»

Analysis from the Bureau found that in the 20 most marginal seats in the election the Conservatives have raised # 321,182, compared to # 183,052 for the Liberal Democrats and just # 74,545 for Labour.

Not exact matches

It clearly shows that in these marginal seats, the key battleground seats where the general election will be won and lost, voters are very concerned about threats to religious liberty and free speech.

Just one per cent of the electorate - less than half a million voters in marginal swing seats - determined the outcome of the last general election.

Instead of mucking in with the multifarious resistance movement - which, as you rightly state here, does not require universal agreement in order to progress, that sort of Leninist thinking is weedkiller to the grassroots - Labour is already positioning itself for the next election, terrified of doing anything at all which might upset the few swing voters in key marginal seats that the party has repositioned itself towards over the past twenty years.

This meant looking at polling data on voting intentions in key marginal seats, votes in the most recent local elections and the resources each party is likely to have to spend on campaigning in the area.

My research in 2014 has included a weekly national telephone poll, surveys in over 100 marginal seats, two rounds of my Project Blueprint research on the quest for a Conservative majority, a detailed study of voters» attitudes to Europe, polling - day surveys of voters in the European elections, five by - election polls, and regular updates on the state of the parties.

This would have the added benefit of lessening the importance of the million voters in marginal, Middle England seats, whose power to swing elections has led Labour to pander excessively to their centre - right views.

Below is the text of my presentation at the Conservative Party Conference this afternoon setting out my latest research in marginal seats and the Tories» challenge in building an election - winning coalition of voters.

After yesterday's Channel 4 News poll showing plummeting Conservative support in key marginal seats, leading Tory lobbyist Peter Bingle emails colleagues to describe his «despair» at his party's election campaign.

If the election is as close as many commentators anticipate, first time voters could have a significant impact, particularly in marginal seats.

At the 2005 election, her seat became the most marginal in Wales as her Conservative challenger reduced her majority to 1,146.

I recently wrote to David Cameron outlining our intention to contest the 30 most marginal Conservative seats in 2015, where majorities in the 2010 general election ranged between 54 and 1,692 votes.

My research has looked in detail attitudes to public policy issues, the prospects for each party, perceptions of political leaders, and the state of play in the marginal seats that determine the outcome of elections.

The main features of the elections in the marginal seats were that the right of British politics (Tories and UKIP) was driven back and the left (Labour and Green) and centre (Lib Dems) advanced.

At the 2005 election the seat was Liberal Democrat target number 18, and Conservative target number 50; it had been frequently described in the media as a «three - way marginal», and all parties fought hard for the constituency.

Research in marginal seats by Politics Home in August 2008 and September 2009, for example, found a significant boost for the Lib Dems in the follow - up question «And thinking specifically about your own constituency and the candidates who are likely to stand there which party's candidate do you think you will vote for in your own constituency at the next general election?»

Monday, 26 September, 2011 in Conservative Party, Elections, Labour Party, Liberal Democrats, Marginal seats, Publications

She won a 22.6 % swing, but the seat will be marginal next time it comes up for election in 2015.

Britain's current electoral system means voters in marginal seats are the ones which decide the election.

First, the background: the party of the president in office essentially always loses seats in the mid-term elections (2002 was a post-9 / 11 one - off), a tendency likely to be reinforced in 2010 by the fact that so many Democrats rode the Obama wave to win marginal districts in» 08.

Just 0.0016 % of voters choosing differently would have given the Conservatives a majority, while the election saw a rise in very marginal seats: eleven were won by fewer than 100 votes.

How can it be right that the electoral battleground is fought in 100 key marginal seats which swing at each election and decide the colour of the government?

Firstly, in Conservative - vs - Labour marginals the Conservative vote is largely unchanged from the general election, but the Liberal Democrat vote has dropped to the benefit of Labour, this means on a uniform swing Labour would gain about 28 seats from the Conservatives (though these would be seats that the Conservatives gained at the last election, so in practice the Tories would be helped by the incumbency bonus of the new MPs).

We still haven't seen a post-election Populus voting intention poll (though to answer Mike Smithson's question here, I understand they are still doing them, they are just having a quiet period following the election), but Lord Ashcroft has commissioned them to do some polling in marginal seats, with some interesting findings.

Facing an unnecessary by - election in a highly marginal seat at a difficult time for the Coalition government.

Clearly even if the Lib Dem vote is holding up better in the Lib Dem Tory marginals — that doesn» mean the Lib Dems would win these seats were a general election held tomorrow.

We have often had, I think, these relationships going only one way (only helping the marginal), where perhaps what we could do would be to have the marginal helping the safe seat in less crucial times and safe helping marginal in run - up to elections.

Key marginal seats, UK big names, Tory and Labour target constituencies - they're all here in our summary of the most exciting ones to watch on election night 2017

A little - reported result of the 2015 general election was a substantial reduction in the number of marginal seats, and a consequent increase in the number of very safe ones for both the Conservatives and Labour.

At every election, local or national, the attention of politicians and political pundits turns to Nuneaton, a key marginal, a bellwether seat in the heart of England that oscillates between Labour and the Tories.

Recent Labour selections for marginal Tory - held seats seem to confirm this thesis: most candidates who stood in the last election have been reselected.

It is difficult to prove that the battlebus campaign was the factor that swung the last election in the Conservatives» favour, although it was specifically targeting marginal and swing seats, and clearly the Tories saw it as a key campaigning tool.

In any analysis of the 2015 general election defeat it would follow logically that the best accounts could be given by those that fought and lost marginal seats.

Mark Williams, then - Leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats, was defeated at the 2017 general election in his Ceredigion constituency by Ben Lake of Plaid Cymru, whose majority of 104 made the seat one of the most marginal in the country.

It would be very sad if the two right - of - centre Eurosceptic parties at the general election were not able to find some way, at least in marginal seats, of reaching an accommodation so that anti-referendum candidates don't get in with a minority of votes.

In the 2015 Election, I will be defending one of the most marginal seats in the countrIn the 2015 Election, I will be defending one of the most marginal seats in the countrin the country.

At 0.01 %, this is the fourth - lowest majority in all of post-war UK electoral history — and quite a change from the previous election in 2005 when this was the UK's 158th most marginal seat.

An MP in one of the Conservatives» most marginal seats has announced he will not seek reselection at the next election.

He won back the marginal seat in the 2017 general election after standing on proudly pro-Corbyn platform.

Good - looking political candidates are more likely to win elections — particularly in marginal seats.

The way our elections work encourages parties to ignore the views of the majority of the British public to focus on the handful of swing voters in marginal seats.

The Conservative party chairman said:» Labour should be very worried that in a week when Gordon Brown has dominated the news, the Conservatives have made a crucial gain from Labour in the north and achieved a swing in three marginal seats which would mean three strong Conservative gains in a general election.»

«In the very close marginal seats... you will effectively lose the election for the Labour sitting candidate and get the Tory elected,» he said.

Lord Ashcroft has repeated the same sort of large marginals poll that PoliticsHome did in 2008 and 2009, looking at the clusters of key marginal seats that will provide the battleground for the next general election.

With several more Labour MPs in marginal seats having announced their intention to retire at the election in recent days, below is a list of the 46 Labour and Lib Dem MPs (so far) in the most winnable seats for the Conservatives who have opted not to defend their seats at the general election.

In a close election that could still be the difference between a majority and a hung Parliament, so don't underestimate its potential importance, but it would be a remarkable election if the swing in marginal seats really was 4 or 5 points bigger or smaller than the national picturIn a close election that could still be the difference between a majority and a hung Parliament, so don't underestimate its potential importance, but it would be a remarkable election if the swing in marginal seats really was 4 or 5 points bigger or smaller than the national picturin marginal seats really was 4 or 5 points bigger or smaller than the national picture.

Marginal polls used to only come along occasionally, varied a lot, polled different groups of seats, and didn't often happen right before elections so weren't tested against reality, meaning methods weren't finessed and improved over time in the same way national polls are.

> Yesterday's Seats and candidates: Another Labour minister in a key marginal seat opts to quit at the general election

It is a three - way fight in a marginal seat caused by the ousting of the former Labour MP Phil Woolas, who was found guilty by an election court of lying about his Liberal Democrat opponent in campaign literature.

Regular readers will recall that before the election it looked as if the boundary reviews would have favoured the Tories more — I suspect this change is largely because the 2017 election happened to produce a lot of very marginal seats, and that small boundary changes have flipped some of these in Labour's favour.