Sorry but elections are won in
marginal seats only.
«A recent survey by the Countryside Alliance, a pressure group, found that of 120 Tory candidates in
marginal seats only one was against repealing the ban and he said that he would abstain on any vote.»
Not exact matches
Not
only is he a liberal Tory and a Remainer, he is also an accomplished and energetic campaigner - and the author of a book about «how to win a
marginal seat».
As ever, though, national polls can
only tell us so much — it would be in the
marginal seats that A.V. would make a decisive difference.
Not
only can the state of play in the
marginals look rather different from the national polls, different kinds of
marginal seat can look rather different from each other.
The pamphlet, by the Labour - affiliated Fabian Society and Policy Network thinktank, admits Labour has lost ground among the DE bottom social group but says it will
only restore its electoral fortunes if it performs better among white - collar and skilled workers, who are strongly represented in
marginal seats in the South and Midlands.
Orkney and Shetland is the
only Lib Dem Scottish
seat and also the party's closest
marginal, beating the SNP by just 817 votes.
We have often had, I think, these relationships going
only one way (
only helping the
marginal), where perhaps what we could do would be to have the
marginal helping the safe
seat in less crucial times and safe helping
marginal in run - up to elections.
In most
seats this is
only a
marginal difference — in Lib Dem held
seats it can be substantial, as repeatedly shown in polls of Lib Dem
marginal seats using a two - stage national - then - constituency voting intention questions (see here by Lord Ashcroft, and here by YouGov).
But Labour lost control of Derby, where the Jeremy Corbyn - supporting Chris Williamson is an MP, and lost Nuneaton and Bedworth, classic Westminster
marginal territory, for
only the second time in 44 years after the Tories gained eight
seats.
At the weekend they upped the ante with Alan Partridge's alter ego not
only starring in an ad, but also hitting the campaign trail in a number of
marginal seats with Labour MP Tom Watson.
There are much more obvious differences between different battlegrounds (that is, between
seats that are Con - v - Lab battles and
seats that are Con - v - LD battles), so I've looked at
only the Con - v - Lab battleground — those
marginal seats with the Conservatives in first place ahead of Labour.
Marginal polls used to
only come along occasionally, varied a lot, polled different groups of
seats, and didn't often happen right before elections so weren't tested against reality, meaning methods weren't finessed and improved over time in the same way national polls are.
Things are looking rather less bad in the 8 most
marginal seats we hold against the Lib Dems — though
only because the Lib Dems» vote share has fallen further than ours has.
In
only two
seats was the change statistically significant, both in Labour's favour: Stroud, where Labour have a high - profile candidate in David Drew, the former MP; and Warrington South, where the constituency question produced a boost for the Lib Dems consistent with the fact that it was at the last election almost a three - way
marginal.
They might secure
only a handful of MPs (thanks to a voting system that many believe is increasingly out of date) but their surging popularity could still disrupt Tory and Labour battles in key
marginal seats.
If Corbyn's young support is concentrated among ethnic minorities and the university educated, that will
only help him in certain
marginals - most
seats with lots of ethnic minorities, university students or metropolitan young professionals are already safely Labour.
If history is any guide we might expect the Conservatives to do a little better as most of the battleground
seats have new Conservative incumbents, but
only by a very small amount — the reality is that Con - Lab
marginals do tend to behave in pretty much the same way as the nation as a whole does.
In fact the
only person to be accorded vox - pop quote status during the radio news highlights: Labour MP Graham Stringer... While «not in a position» to pass judgement on Mr Woolas» conduct during the campaign - in which he was accused of stirring up racial tensions to win votes - Mr Stringer said election battles in
marginal seats were not «Sunday - school outings».
RANDOM STAT: Alarmingly the Tories had a 10 - point lead in Labour - held
marginal seats, though take this with a pinch of salt as the sample size was
only 186 people.
Both forerunner
seats were last represented by Labour MPs, with Ince having been served by
only four such members since 1906, however with Ormskirk having a mixed and longer history as a more
marginal seat.
There were
only ten
marginal seats where they came second to the Conservatives in 2015, losing by less than 10 percentage points.
Not
only is this unfair, but the inequity that comes about because of the division between safe
seats and
marginal seats also has a corrosive effect on democracy.
You have implied that you are
only interested in fighting safe Conservative
seats, rather than
marginal seats.
In 2005 this was one of the most
marginal seats in the country, held by Labour «s Derek Wyatt by
only 79 votes.
I have my doubts about the reliability of
marginal seat polls since the average number of voters polled per constituency is
only about 10.
Today's survey of
marginal seats reveals the sort of data usually
only seen by campaign strategists deep inside party headquarters.
This was indeed a Tory hold, in line with what happened in most of the Conservative held
marginal seats outside London Labour were hoping to gain - the
only exceptions outside the capital were Wirral West, City of Chester, Dewsbury, Lancaster and Fleetwood and Wolverhampton South West - most of those were down to demographic changes and university influence.
Lord Ashcroft, the
only pollster regularly to poll in
marginals, predicts a Tory majority of 142, and Tory
seat count of nearly 400, even after the recent poll narrowing.
He said 85 % of Tory constituency agents were based in safe
seats with
only 19 full - time agents in
marginal seats.
They also need to watch their
seats in Brunswick Park and East Barnet which are
only held by
marginal majorities (though the trends there are favourable to Labour).
If Osborne represented a
marginal seat it would imply that he
only won it in 2010 so he obviously could not be chancellor having
only been an MP for less than 4 years.
Although rear -
seat riders have a comfortable perch, their personal space is impinged at the extremities, with headroom
only marginal and little extra space to wiggle their toes.
The
only two items that I'm not thrilled with are the front
seat comfort, which is
marginal in the base car that I'm leasing (the front
seats are thin and not well padded) and the synthetic cloth materials used on the center console cover and armrests, which would appear easier to stain over time as opposed to vinyl.
«Still it's encouraging that the
seat / head restraint combinations in
only 7 of the models we evaluated didn't make it to the dynamic test because of
marginal geometry,» Lund says.
However, the car did not score points for its low - speed AEB system as the whiplash protection of the front
seats was
only marginal.
Both cars offer
only marginal comfort for rear -
seat passengers, even though the Mustang GT has a slight edge in that area.
Instead, rear crash protection is rated acceptable,
marginal, or poor (Honda reports that the
seat / head restraints in the
only Civic model with electronic stability control wouldn't be rated good).
Its LATCH, child
seat anchor system, scored
only a «
Marginal,» one grade up from the lowest score of «Poor.»
«It's encouraging that
only 12 of the 58
seat / head restraint combinations we evaluated didn't make it to the testing stage because of
marginal or poor geometry,» Lund says.