Sentences with phrase «marginal seats where»

Lord Ashcroft released another batch of his own constituency polling mid-week, this time returning to some Con - v - Lab marginal seats where he had previously found tight races.

Labour enjoys a 44 % to 36 % lead in the 33 most marginal seats where they are lead challengers to us.

One senior Tory said the party faces a «devastating pincer movement» from Ukip in a string of marginal seats where Conservatives won in 2010 with narrow majorities over Labour: «If more Tory votes are siphoned off to Ukip, and Lib Dems switch to Labour, we will be done for in those seats and our position in the north of England will be terrible.

There were only ten marginal seats where they came second to the Conservatives in 2015, losing by less than 10 percentage points.

The core challenge for the Lib Dems at the next election will be in marginal seats where they are fighting the Conservatives.

In the twelve most marginal seats where a Conservative candidate triumphed that was the total margin of victory.

She added that there were clear marginal seats where her party would be a «driving force» and a candidate could «take that vote and ultimately be an MP representing UKIP in the House of Commons».

Even in these marginal seats where two - party competition is at its most antagonistic, respondents were comfortable with the more collaborative and consensus - building politics common to multi-party politics.

Then we identified the marginal seats where the gap between the top two parties was less than 15 per cent, and the share of «left - behinds» was well above the national average.

Ashcroft finds a 14 - point Labour lead in the 32 marginal seats where it is the main challenger to the Tories, enough to put Miliband in No 10 with an overall majority.

Like Derby South, this is a very marginal seat where it is very difficult to believe that the Tories would have won if they had had the competence and / or honesty to admit before the election that Midland Mainline Electrification would have to be postponed because of therrpobelms which have arisen with electrification of the Great Western line.

Not exact matches

It clearly shows that in these marginal seats, the key battleground seats where the general election will be won and lost, voters are very concerned about threats to religious liberty and free speech.

«Ukip is getting itself now into a position in some of the marginals where it is in a serious position to win a seat in parliament and not just to split the vote.»

The Liberal Democrats» vote has fallen by half in constituencies where Labour are their main challengers, according to my latest round of polling in marginal seats.

I recently wrote to David Cameron outlining our intention to contest the 30 most marginal Conservative seats in 2015, where majorities in the 2010 general election ranged between 54 and 1,692 votes.

In my last round of polling in Conservative - Labour marginals I found the Tories consolidating in most seats where they had been ahead in previous rounds, while Labour had extended their leads where they had been doing well last year.

This applies to virtually all the Tory seats that Labour hopes to gain, for Conservative marginal are precisely the seats where Labour was turfed out last time.

Respondents were asked to rate «a pact with UKIP that avoids the two parties standing against each other in marginal seats» on a scale of -5 to +5 (where +5 equalled a «very positive impact» and -5 equalled a «very bad impact».)

We'll also see if the Tories manage to take Labour's most marginal seat, City of Chester, where the majority is just 93.

We have often had, I think, these relationships going only one way (only helping the marginal), where perhaps what we could do would be to have the marginal helping the safe seat in less crucial times and safe helping marginal in run - up to elections.

But Labour lost control of Derby, where the Jeremy Corbyn - supporting Chris Williamson is an MP, and lost Nuneaton and Bedworth, classic Westminster marginal territory, for only the second time in 44 years after the Tories gained eight seats.

That may all be set to change in the three - way marginal seat of Oldham East and Saddleworth where Phil Woolas has just been barred -LSB-...]

Prior to setting up his own communications business, he was on the Conservative Party's professional staff working for Ministers and high - profile back bench MPs, where he masterminded and devised a number of community campaigns which saw the Conservative Party holding to a number of highly marginal seats.

The Tories may do well in the south of England, where they're fighting marginal seats against the Liberal Democrats — fleeing Lib Dem voters will go to Labour, which should translate into safer Tory seats — but it's in the north of England and the East Midlands where there are many Conservative MPs hanging onto their seats against Labour challengers.

David Cameron said the party's second place in Scotland and its showing in England, where it took control of Peterborough Council and won council seats in key Westminster marginals such as Dudley and Nuneaton, represented a good result for a party in government for six years.

«Internet campaigning will never replace personal interaction; knocking on doors and leafleting is still where the battles will be won and lost - particularly in marginal seats,» Smith says.

And where we did achieve swings against the Tories, these were in safe Labour seats, rather than in the target marginals, in which we worked so hard.»

6 are Conservative held seats where the Lib Dems came a close second last time and need not unduly delay us, all show a shift from Lib Dem to Conservative and Conservative holds, the most interesting ones being Watford (which was a three way marginal in 2010 and remains so in this poll) and the two Cornish seats in the sample which both put UKIP in second place, more on that later.

You can see that marginals do behave a little differently sometimes — the Conservatives managed a better swing in their target Labour marginals in 2010, Labour did better in those seats where they had fresh incumbency in 2001 — but the differences aren't huge.

In practice of course we can't actually be that confident that voters in a tight LD - Lab marginal will behave the same way as in a seat where the Lib Dems have a 20 % majority, so it's a bit of a shame Ashcroft didn't include some more challenging LD - Lab fights like Cambridge, Hornsey & Wood Green or Bermondsey.

Channel 4 News spoke to former MPs who lost their marginal seats in May and to candidates who lost, despite standing in seats where there had been a sitting Labour MP.They all aspire to win back the seats Labour will need to secure if the party is to return to government.

Fair enough if you include other seats in the West Midlands - but then of course the same can be said about Lancashire where there's a whole swathe of marginal seats.

Their strongest performance though came in a seat that was part of the normal sample of ultra marginals — Thurrock, where Ashcroft found them at 29 % and in second place behind Labour.

Cameron himself embarked on a slight change of tactics todaywhen he began a walkabout in the marginal seat of Tamworth, where he said he wanted to answer «the questions real people want to ask».

In only two seats was the change statistically significant, both in Labour's favour: Stroud, where Labour have a high - profile candidate in David Drew, the former MP; and Warrington South, where the constituency question produced a boost for the Lib Dems consistent with the fact that it was at the last election almost a three - way marginal.

These two won't win any seats under first past the post but could take sufficient votes to keep Labour in if in a Marginal, remember Crawley and Harlow to name but two in 2005 where Labour held on by their fingernails and the UKIP vote was far higher than their majority.

Channel 4 News spoke to former MPs who lost their marginal seats in May and to candidates who lost, despite standing in seats where there had been a sitting Labour MP.

If the latest polling from Lord Ashcroft is sustained Labour will do rather better in the marginal seats that their share of the vote nationally would suggest thus making an outcome where they get fewer votes but more seats a greater probability.

«What is particularly missing at this time is her coming out in public, meeting her constituents, talking to TV cameras, explaining what happened, perhaps being a little humble about all of this and giving a satisfactory explanation to her constituents and the wider Conservative family to be quite frank, because speaking to people from the West Midlands region where she is an MP, these things do have a knock - on effect and there are other marginal seats far closer to her constituency where people have got Labour majorities to overturn which may be more difficult if the local Conservative politician is seen as tainted and not having justified their actions and also I gather that Conservative Party HQ has had party donors from the region expressing concern that she hasn't satisfactorily justified what she has done.»

Lord Ashcroft has become a powerful figure at Conservative HQ, where he is credited with devising the party's marginal seat strategy, pouring resources into constituencies where Labour MPs are defending small majority.

He said the shift involved a Tory tendency to win in marginal seats and a greater distribution of Labour voters in seats where it was pipped by third parties, adding: «It is these last two things which has turned a system that once looked as if it was to the advantage of Labour to the Tories» advantage, and there is a boundary review to come.

The now powerful party figure is credited with devising its marginal seat strategy, pouring resources into constituencies where Labour MPs are defending small majorities.

I agree & IMO, Farage is looking for a deal where he gets something (I know not what) in return for not mounting much of a 2015 campaign; & he may be expected to / willing to go as far as fielding no UKIP candidates in marginal seats.

This is something that was first used in the big PoliticsHome polls of marginal seats back before the last election — it makes hardly any difference when you ask people in most seats, but makes the world of difference when you ask people living in seats where the Lib Dems are in contention, presumably picking up tactical voting considerations.

Bristol E is a more marginal seat but is a bit more of a «liberal» / Green seat where the Tories could hit a ceiling.

In some previous elections the swing in close marginals (particularly marginals gained at the previous election and where the new incumbent is standing again) has been a lot less than in most other types of seats.

We have polls of marginal seats, but what about safe conservative seats where UKIP might do well?

The analysis concludes that the party has piled up votes in parts of the country where it would make little difference in a general election, while losing support in key marginal seats.

In a move that will further unnerve the Tories, Labour and the Liberal Democrats — all of which have suffered from the Ukip surge — senior party officials said the next move would be to identify specific, mainly marginal, seats, where it now has a strong base of councillors.

Britain's first - past - the - post (FPTP) electoral system (in) famously results in marginal and safe seats where many votes are considered «wasted» — but the 2017 General Election has shown just what random results that can throw up.