Sentences with phrase «marginal seats with»

Tory MPs predicted that the crisis would end any chance of a snap election, while grassroots campaigners in marginal seats with high numbers of self - employed workers suggested the issue could be decisive.

Whereas in marginal seats with two or three parties very close to each other, the behaviour of small numbers of voters could change the result and so every vote counts.

In the case of ComRes, their marginal seats polls cover the 40 most marginal seats with Labour and Conservative in first and second place.

ComRes have a poll of marginal seats out tonight covering the forty most marginal seats with Labour and Conservative in first and second place (so 25 with Tory incumbents, 15 with Labour incumbents).

There are much more obvious differences between different battlegrounds (that is, between seats that are Con - v - Lab battles and seats that are Con - v - LD battles), so I've looked at only the Con - v - Lab battleground — those marginal seats with the Conservatives in first place ahead of Labour.

At the weekend they upped the ante with Alan Partridge's alter ego not only starring in an ad, but also hitting the campaign trail in a number of marginal seats with Labour MP Tom Watson.

Not exact matches

With the emergence of the black churches, which are engaged in electoral registration drives and are seeking to become a political force as in America, the Coalition parties risk punishment in the marginal seats.

He managed to squeeze in three separate visits, stopping for Welsh cakes and tea at the Dyffryn Gardens in the marginal seat of Vale of Glamorgan, then moving on to Brains Brewery in Cardiff, before finally taking a detour to Barry Island (and a quick vanilla ice cream and selfies with holidaying families).

Historically this has played to Labour's advantage with each party «lending» voters to the other to win marginal seats.»

«With each struggling to expand beyond that, the share that candidates take of new entrants to the electorate will help to decide the most marginal seats.

Perhaps I did it because I was in a very marginal seat and felt that the interaction with people on social media was important.

It was a complex race in a marginal seat, which ended with a surprising Labour hold for Debbie Abrahams.

Instead of mucking in with the multifarious resistance movement - which, as you rightly state here, does not require universal agreement in order to progress, that sort of Leninist thinking is weedkiller to the grassroots - Labour is already positioning itself for the next election, terrified of doing anything at all which might upset the few swing voters in key marginal seats that the party has repositioned itself towards over the past twenty years.

In the key marginal of Thanet South in Kent, the Conservative party are set to lose the seat to Labour with Ukip coming a close second, according to the first of eight new constituency polls.

Ashcroft finds a 14 - point Labour lead in the 32 marginal seats where it is the main challenger to the Tories, enough to put Miliband in No 10 with an overall majority.

I decided to commission my own research to establish the real state of public opinion: the true level of support for the parties, the underlying attributes associated with each, whether the picture in marginal seats really was different to that in Britain as a whole, whether the Conservatives» 164 - seat battleground made sense, and why the candidates I was helping to fund were finding it so hard to build support.

Well done, Sunder, for not mentioning Labour's record on tax (up for the lower - paid, down for the rich), ID cards and 3,000 new crimes, increase in inequality, lost personal data, obsession with targets rather than actual service delivery — and in consequence the fact that in many marginal seats a couple of dozen Labour activists will be opposing a couple of hundred Tory volunteers...

Although gaining 22 seats, Labour lost all but one of its MPs in Scotland and ended up with a net loss of 26 seats, failing to win a number of key marginal seats that it had expected to win comfortably.

Pendulum - find the electorates on the electoral pendulum, with seats listed from the most marginal to the safest.

My study of the most marginal seats the Lib Dems were defending against Labour and the Conservatives, published in June, found the party on course to lose most of its most vulnerable seats, with a few notable exceptions.

And he has realised that it is one thing to talk about the revival of our northern cities but quite another to tell a Tory MP with a marginal seat they can't have their dual carriageway because you're focused on Merseyside or Teesside.

The 1992 election saw the pinnacle of Conservatives Abroad's history, with the expat vote recognised as helping the party win a number of marginal seats.

With marginal voters in marginal seats, the margins matter.

Taken together, groups of Conservative - Labour marginals in my research have shown swings to Labour at a similar level to those in the national polls, but there are wide variations between seats with similar majorities: in the first round, published in May, I found swings to Labour of 8 % in Amber Valley and just 2 % in Morecambe & Lunesdale.

In 2010 he was elected with a majority of 3,000 and in 2015 with a majority of 165 votes making his seat one of the most marginal in the country.

But from those that were, we can see a picture that is both grim and variable - Labour losing its ultra-marginals, in with half a chance of clinging onto one or two slightly more solid marginals, in danger of losing some of its semi-marginals, and at risk of losing rock solid safe seats in long - standing Labour heartlands.

We still haven't seen a post-election Populus voting intention poll (though to answer Mike Smithson's question here, I understand they are still doing them, they are just having a quiet period following the election), but Lord Ashcroft has commissioned them to do some polling in marginal seats, with some interesting findings.

-1.05 / A pact with the Liberal Democrats that avoids the two parties standing against each other in marginal seats

With the marginal seats being expected to raise a fair old whack themselves of course.

Respondents were asked to rate «a pact with UKIP that avoids the two parties standing against each other in marginal seats» on a scale of -5 to +5 (where +5 equalled a «very positive impact» and -5 equalled a «very bad impact».)

Political parties, in league with tech firms, target voters in a few marginal seats to sway national results.

But in practice, since the Tories are still likely to perform disproportionately well in the marginals, it is likely that David Cameron's party will emerge with the most seats.

Even in these marginal seats where two - party competition is at its most antagonistic, respondents were comfortable with the more collaborative and consensus - building politics common to multi-party politics.

The Tories were also soon confronted with a major electoral threat in the form of the right - wing United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP), which seemed primed to steal crucial Tory votes in marginal seats.

Public dissatisfaction with the Conservative government of Prime Minister Edward Heath led to Labour's best local government results since the 1940s; Labour leftists gained every marginal seat in Lambeth, and the borough returned to Labour control.

Ashcroft — who gave the Conservatives # 8m while the party was in opposition and led a drive to win marginal seats — has said he decided to write the book when Cameron declined to reward him with a sufficiently senior job in government when he came to power in 2010.

It would be very sad if the two right - of - centre Eurosceptic parties at the general election were not able to find some way, at least in marginal seats, of reaching an accommodation so that anti-referendum candidates don't get in with a minority of votes.

The Gravesham seat is a key marginal which Tory candidate Adam Holloway took from Labour in 2005 with 654 votes.

They are prominent in marginal seats, and, according to recent research, identify more with Labour than they do Conservatives.

If you're lucky enough to live in a marginal seat like Taunton Deane, you will be bombarded with messages from candidates, because your vote makes an enormous difference both to who becomes your MP, and the overall balance of party seats at Westminster.

«Unfortunately, the polling I have already done in individual seats, starting with the most marginal, shows the Tories already behind in 24.»

The polling by Lord Ashcroft found that despite the dreadful national figures, the party is actually running level with the Conservatives in most of the marginal seats that David Cameron needs to win a majority next year.

The ousting of top Lib Dem Alexander in this seat looks to be a realistic prospect - a Lord Ashcroft marginal poll in February found the SNP on 50 % with the Lib Dems on 21 %.

April's Lord Aschroft poll of marginal Scottish seats saw a 26.5 % swing towards the SNP against the Scottish Labour leader, with the Scottish Nationalists now nine points clear in East Renfrewshire.

The Tories» shift to the right is the reason Lib Dems are maintaining support in Tory marginals, with an average of just two per cent slipping to the Tories in Lord Ashcroft's selection of target seats.

As with the ComRes marginal poll in the week the seats polled were mostly ultra-marginal seats — in this case, the 12 most marginal Con - Lab seats, the 12 most marginal Lab - Con seats, but whereas the ComRes poll was a single sample representing the most marginal 40, these were 24 individual samples, one from each seat.

The first is the next cohort of Lib Dem - v - Conservative marginals, this group are those seats with a Lib Dem majority of between 9 % and 15 % over the Conservatives, so we are no longer looking at ultra-marginals.

It's a repeat of his first polling of Con - Lab seats in April and now as then, Ashcroft polled the 12 most marginal Conservative held seats with Labour in second place, plus two other seats (South Thanet and Great Yarmouth) that he thought might have interesting UKIP results.

With several more Labour MPs in marginal seats having announced their intention to retire at the election in recent days, below is a list of the 46 Labour and Lib Dem MPs (so far) in the most winnable seats for the Conservatives who have opted not to defend their seats at the general election.

Lord Ashcroft's earlier polling of Con - marginals took the eleven Con - Lab seats with majorities under 2 percent.