Sentences with phrase «market valuation indicators»

I have updated all four general market valuation indicators found in the upper right column of this blog.

SMI has written extensively about how today's market valuation indicators clearly show that stocks are very expensive by historical standards.

Not exact matches

No. 5: Price - to - rent and price - to - income ratios show over-valuation in the Canadian market, but valuation levels are not usually good indicators of turning points.

The good news from credit conditions, hiring intentions and capital spending plans on the economy and likely earnings growth can provide upside appreciation potential while sentiment, intra-stock correlation and even valuation suggest concern... Overall, we can get to a 1,975 kind of outcome, but we may also see choppier markets and early indicators on volatility also intimate reasons to be worried.

That said, valuations have never been useful as an indicator of near - term market fluctuations - a shortcoming that has been amplified since the late 1990's.

Given the absence of a public trading market of our common stock, and in accordance with the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants Accounting and Valuation Guide, Valuation of Privately - Held Company Equity Securities Issued as Compensation, our board of directors exercised reasonable judgment and considered numerous and subjective factors to determine the best estimate of fair value of our common stock, including independent third - party valuations of our common stock; the prices at which we sold shares of our convertible preferred stock to outside investors in arms - length transactions; the rights, preferences, and privileges of our convertible preferred stock relative to those of our common stock; our operating results, financial position, and capital resources; current business conditions and projections; the lack of marketability of our common stock; the hiring of key personnel and the experience of our management; the introduction of new products; our stage of development and material risks related to our business; the fact that the option grants involve illiquid securities in a private company; the likelihood of achieving a liquidity event, such as an initial public offering or a sale of our company given the prevailing market conditions and the nature and history of our business; industry trends and competitive environment; trends in consumer spending, including consumer confidence; and overall economic indicators, including gross domestic product, employment, inflation and interest rates, and the general economic outlook.

In our 1Q2015 letter, we noted that equity - market valuations were at dangerous levels by three different measures: the CAPE ratio, the Q - ratio, and the Buffett indicator, which are discussed at length in our last letter.

As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.

Historically, the most reliable indicators of market valuation are driven by revenues, not earnings.

Estimating future surplus starts with current metrics like earnings or cash flow, so using the most recent financial information against the market valuation is a good indicator of the relative cheapness of a stock.

Product Level 3 * — please select — Analytic Tools Best Execution BondEdge Business Entity Service Colocation and Proximity Hosting Connectivity Connectivity & Feeds Consolidated Feed Continuous Evaluated Pricing Corporate Actions Cscreen DataX Desktops & Tools Econfirm End of Day Evaluations ETF Valuations & Index Construction Evaluated Pricing EvalueX Exchange Data Fair Value Information FATCA FutureSource Historical Market Data ICE Benchmark Administration ICE Block ICE Derivatives Analytics Suite ICE Energy Indices ICE Link for CDS ICE Options Analytics ICE Trading Platform Index Services Instant Messaging ISVs Liquidity Indicators Managed Services Market - Q Meteorological Reports MiFID II MPV News & Alerts NYSE Data NYSE Index Services Oil & Natural Gas Commentary OTC Data Petroleum Refining and Nat Gas Alerts Post-Trade Price Discovery & Execution Pricing & Analytics Quote and Data Distribution Real - Time ICE Markets Data Reference Data Regulation SFTI Global Market Access SFTI Low Latency Solvency II Terms and Conditions Tick History Trade Vault US Treasury Bond Index Series Vantage View Only Quotes Wealth Management Other

Integrated environmental / economic analysis; environmental and mitigation trading systems, economics of ecological restoration, market and non-market valuation of natural resources; natural resource accounting, environmental indicators, environmental enforcement economics

The article cites comments by columnist Mark Hulbert, who refers to valuation metrics such as P / E, price - book, price - sales and price - dividend ratios as weak indicators of market tops but adds that we ignore them «at our peril, since it's also true that almost all bull market tops in history... Read More

For example, market capitalization to GDP is a long - term stock valuation indicator with a high correlation (0.89) to subsequent 10 - year returns.

They discussed the current state of the U.S. stock market, valuations and market sentiment, recent economic indicators and expectations for the remainder of the year.

For other investors, a careful study of the headline economic indicators & local market valuations will enhance risk / reward — for example, I focus particularly on Vietnam as a highly attractive single - country opportunity.

As of last week, the Market Climate in stocks was characterized by a combination of rich valuations, unfavorable market action, continued negative economic pressures on forward - looking indicators, and additional indicators (sentiment, credit spreads, etc) associated with a poor average return / risk profile in sMarket Climate in stocks was characterized by a combination of rich valuations, unfavorable market action, continued negative economic pressures on forward - looking indicators, and additional indicators (sentiment, credit spreads, etc) associated with a poor average return / risk profile in smarket action, continued negative economic pressures on forward - looking indicators, and additional indicators (sentiment, credit spreads, etc) associated with a poor average return / risk profile in stocks.

We find that the Shiller - PE is a reliable long - term valuation indicator for developed and emerging markets and we use the indicator to predict real returns on local equity markets over the next five to ten years.

The Paradox of the Zero Bound Subpar Economic Recovery Gets Premium Market Valuation Wall Street Earnings Expectations Ignore Economic Divergences The Great Divergence An Update on International Market Valuations Business Cycles, Election Cycles, and Potential Risks An Update on Valuations and Forward Earnings Assumptions Bond Yields, Earnings Yields, and Inflation A View from the NBER Recession Indicators Three Observations on Third Quarter Earnings Forward Looking Measures Still Don't Provide Evidence for a V - Shaped Recovery This Earnings Season, Watch Sales Forward Earnings Imply a Return to Near - Record Profit Margins Without Phoenix Stocks, Volume Continues to Contract Is the Job Market Ready for a Recovery?

The present environment is characterized by unusually overvalued, overbought, overbullish conditions, with rising 10 - year Treasury bond yields, heavy insider selling, valuations on «forward earnings» appearing reasonable only because profit margins are more than 70 % above historical norms (fully explained by the negative sum of government and personal savings as a share of GDP), with the S&P 500 at a 4 - year market high, in a mature market advance, with lagging employment indicators still positive but more than half of all OECD countries already in GDP contraction, Europe in recession, Britain on the cusp, and the EU imposing massive losses on depositors in order to protect lenders in an unstable banking system where Cyprus is the iceberg's tip.

Tobias Carlisle of the famous value blog Greenbackd once studied the effect of trying to time the market based on valuation indicators and showed that a fully invested portfolio outperformed portfolios -LSB-...]

However, the problem is that valuation models are not, and were never meant to be, «market timing indicators.»

Total Market Cap Relative to Gross National Product is often called the «Buffett Indicator» because he has called it his all - time favorite valuation indicator.

Product Level 3 * — please select — Analytic Tools Best Execution BondEdge Business Entity Service Colocation and Proximity Hosting Connectivity Connectivity & Feeds Consolidated Feed Continuous Evaluated Pricing Corporate Actions Cscreen DataX Desktops & Tools Econfirm End of Day Evaluations ETF Valuations & Index Construction Evaluated Pricing EvalueX Exchange Data Fair Value Information FATCA FutureSource Historical Market Data ICE Benchmark Administration ICE Block ICE Derivatives Analytics Suite ICE Energy Indices ICE Link for CDS ICE Options Analytics ICE Trading Platform Index Services Instant Messaging ISVs Liquidity Indicators Managed Services Market - Q Meteorological Reports MiFID II MPV News & Alerts NYSE Data NYSE Index Services Oil & Natural Gas Commentary OTC Data Petroleum Refining and Nat Gas Alerts Post-Trade Price Discovery & Execution Pricing & Analytics Quote and Data Distribution Real - Time ICE Markets Data Reference Data Regulation SFTI Global Market Access SFTI Low Latency Solvency II Terms and Conditions Tick History Trade Vault US Treasury Bond Index Series Vantage View Only Quotes Wealth Management Other

If you'd been using CAPE as your valuation tool, you could have missed the ensuing bull market, and therefore made the claim «my valuation indicator is broken.»

If bitcoin can compete with fiat currencies in the upcoming years, the market valuation of bitcoin would likely be able to reach a few trillion dollars, which is an optimistic long - term indicator for bitcoin investors.