I think
you mean anthropogenic global warming, don't you?
The (formerly respected) scientific journal Nature chimed in and announced in an (Oct. 26) editorial [i] that any results confirming «climate change» (
meaning anthropogenic global warming — AGW) are welcome, even when released before peer review.
Not exact matches
That
means that a climate with a lot of CO2
warming partially offset in the
global average by a lot of regional aerosol cooling is still a very different climate than one with no
anthropogenic aerosols and less CO2.
Contemporary
global mean sea level rise will continue over many centuries as a consequence of
anthropogenic climate
warming, with the detailed pace and final amount of rise depending substantially on future greenhouse gas emissions.
Let me rephrase the question: what is the most commonly accepted definition of the «C» part of CAGW, if the remaining three letters
mean «
Anthropogenic Global Warming»?
Assuming a climate sensitivity of 0.7 K / W / m ^ 2, this would contribute less than 0.06 C of the estimated 0.6 C
mean global warming between the Maunder Minimum and the middle of last century, before significant
anthropogenic contributions could be involved.»
What that sciencey - sounding gibberish about «unproved variables»
means is that you don't want to see trillions of dollars in wealth shift from the fossil fuel corporations to other sectors of the industrial economy, therefore,
anthropogenic global warming can not be true.
Yu Kosaka & Shang - Ping Xie, as published in Nature (http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v501/n7467/full/nature12534.html): «Despite the continued increase in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, the annual -
mean global temperature has not risen in the twenty - first century1, challenging the prevailing view that
anthropogenic forcing causes climate
warming.»
Suppose that the science is not settled (whatever that
means), how does it follow that «It is probable that the case for
anthropogenic warming will not hold up» If you don't know enough to claim that
global warming is real, then how can you know enough to claim that AWG won't hold up?
«Since the AR4, there is some new limited direct evidence for an
anthropogenic influence on extreme precipitation, including a formal detection and attribution study and indirect evidence that extreme precipitation would be expected to have increased given the evidence of
anthropogenic influence on various aspects of the
global hydrological cycle and high confidence that the intensity of extreme precipitation events will increase with
warming, at a rate well exceeding that of the
mean precipitation..
Anthropogenic global warming (AGW), a recent
warming of the Earth's lower atmosphere as evidenced by the
global mean temperature anomaly trend [11], is BELIEVED to be the result of an «enhanced greenhouse effect» mainly due to human - produced increased concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere [12] and changes in the use of land [13].
So, if «all else» is not materially affected, theory has it that Katrina say was made 5 % stronger or so, but «all else» may also
mean that actually
anthropogenic global warming has made it say 15 % stronger or 5 % weaker.
• Greenhouse gases contributed a
global mean surface
warming likely to be in the range of 0.5 °C to 1.3 °C over the period 1951 to 2010, with the contributions from other
anthropogenic forcings, including the cooling effect of aerosols, likely to be in the range of − 0.6 °C to 0.1 °C.
By comparing modelled and observed changes in such indices, which include the
global mean surface temperature, the land - ocean temperature contrast, the temperature contrast between the NH and SH, the
mean magnitude of the annual cycle in temperature over land and the
mean meridional temperature gradient in the NH mid-latitudes, Braganza et al. (2004) estimate that
anthropogenic forcing accounts for almost all of the
warming observed between 1946 and 1995 whereas
warming between 1896 and 1945 is explained by a combination of
anthropogenic and natural forcing and internal variability.
Anthropogenic global warming needs to be kicked into a much higher gear than 0.5 W / m2 at TOA because that
means it will take 400 years to reach the dreaded 2.0 C of
global warming acknowledged by warmists as the point where upsides of CO2 are outweighed by downsides.
Contemporary
global mean sea level rise will continue over many centuries as a consequence of
anthropogenic climate
warming, with the detailed pace and final amount of rise depending substantially on future greenhouse gas emissions.
Greenhouse gases contributed a
global mean surface
warming likely to be in the range of 0.5 °C to 1.3 °C over the period 1951 − 2010, with the contributions from other
anthropogenic forcings, including the cooling effect of aerosols, likely to be in the range of − 0.6 °C to 0.1 °C.
I understand the more subtle aspect of
global warming means more hot days and more cold winters from time to time, but there are two main things that make we wonder about the veracity of the Anthropogenic Global Warming
global warming means more hot days and more cold winters from time to time, but there are two main things that make we wonder about the veracity of the Anthropogenic Global Warming
warming means more hot days and more cold winters from time to time, but there are two main things that make we wonder about the veracity of the
Anthropogenic Global Warming
Global WarmingWarming group.
These operate as «meme» s. For example (where «- >» = «
means»): Sustainability - > Climate Change - >
Global Warming - >
Anthropogenic Global Warming - > Catastrophic
Anthropogenic Global Warming - > CO2 - > Fossil Fuels - > Bad Energy I wonder: why it has always been CO2 that needs to be controlled?
Judith Curry writes: «If the term «
global warming has stopped» is inferred to
mean that there is no longer evidence of
anthropogenic greenhouse
warming, then this is not correct.»
Dear Judith, you state in your conclusions,» If the term «
global warming has stopped» is inferred to
mean that there is no longer evidence of
anthropogenic greenhouse
warming, then this is not correct».
It is classic misdirection, a propaganda technique, which
means that there is something other than «
anthropogenic global warming» in the oil industry's agenda..
However, this doesn't
mean that CO2 based
Anthropogenic Global Warming began in 1950, because if you look at the Met Office — Hadley Center HadCRUT4
Global Surface Temperature record for the last 163 years you can see that temperatures didn't
warm during the 1950s, nor the 60s:
If he did not intend that paragraph to
mean that all
global warming is attributable to
anthropogenic causes, then it is just poor writing, and he should say so.
In the Comment by Nuccitelli et al., they make many false and invalid criticisms of the CFC -
warming theory in my recent paper, and claim that their
anthropogenic forcings including CO2 would provide a better explanation of the observed
global mean surface temperature (GMST) data over the past 50 years.
Answer: Is this supposed to
mean the theory of
anthropogenic global warming must be wrong?
To bear primary responsibility
means to have been exposed to the overwhelming scientific data and analysis on
anthropogenic global warming and willfully and misleadingly denied or acted in ignorance of that consensus.
Any reduction in
global mean near - surface temperature due to a future decline in solar activity is likely to be a small fraction of projected
anthropogenic warming.
Williams et al., 2017 (DOI: 10.1002 / 2017GL073138) «The
warming trend post-1850s in the SST reconstruction (0.8 ± 0.16 °C, 1s) is consistent with
global mean warming of 0.85 ± 0.21 °C (1s) from 1880 to 2012 (Figure 4b, c), attributed largely to
anthropogenic causes -LSB-...].
«Combining the evidence from ocean
warming and mass loss of glaciers we conclude that it is very likely that there is a substantial contribution from
anthropogenic forcing to the
global mean sea level rise since the 1970s.»
IPCC has stated (AR4 WG1 Ch.9) that the «
global mean warming observed since 1970 can only be reproduced when models are forced with combinations of external forcings that include
anthropogenic forcings... Therefore modeling studies suggest that late 20th - century
warming is much more likely to be
anthropogenic than natural in origin...» whereas for the statistically indistinguishable early 20thC
warming period «detection and attribution as well as modeling studies indicate more uncertainty regarding the causes of early 20th - century
warming.»
In other words, under solar or
anthropogenic influence the changes in
mean climate values, such as the
global temperature, are less important than increased duration of certain climate patterns associated say with cold conditions in some regions and
warm conditions in the other regions
Climate simulations are consistent in showing that the
global mean warming observed since 1970 can only be reproduced when models are forced with combinations of external forcings that include
anthropogenic forcings (Figure 9.5).
I will use
anthropogenic global warming, or AGW, to
mean the theory that man is causing some or all of the current
warming.
Anthropogenic and natural external forcing combined are estimated to have caused 0.93 °C [0.61 - 1.24], consistent with the observed
global land
mean warming 1.09 °C [0.86 - 1.31
In contrast to
global mean temperature the «attributable
anthropogenic warming» index is not subject to high year to year and decadal variability.
I
mean if, as Nurse is now suggesting, the scientific mainstream understanding of
global warming is that it's happening but that it's open to debate how significant it is then doesn't this completely contradict pretty much everything he, the Royal Society, and its two previous presidents Lords Rees and May have been doing this last decade or more to stoke up the Anthropogenic Global Warming scare for all they're
global warming is that it's happening but that it's open to debate how significant it is then doesn't this completely contradict pretty much everything he, the Royal Society, and its two previous presidents Lords Rees and May have been doing this last decade or more to stoke up the Anthropogenic Global Warming scare for all they're
warming is that it's happening but that it's open to debate how significant it is then doesn't this completely contradict pretty much everything he, the Royal Society, and its two previous presidents Lords Rees and May have been doing this last decade or more to stoke up the
Anthropogenic Global Warming scare for all they're
Global Warming scare for all they're
Warming scare for all they're worth?
Anthropogenic global warming (AGW), a recent
warming of the Earth's lower atmosphere as evidenced by the
global mean temperature anomaly trend [9], is believed to be the result of an «enhanced greenhouse effect» mainly due to human - produced increased concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere [10] and changes in the use of land [11]..
Greenhouse gases contributed a
global mean surface
warming likely to be between 0.5 °C and 1.3 °C over the period 1951 — 2010, with the contributions from other
anthropogenic forcings likely to be between — 0.6 °C and 0.1 °C, from natural forcings likely to be between — 0.1 °C and 0.1 °C, and from internal variability likely to be between — 0.1 °C and 0.1 °C.
The Earth is not now as
warm as it was during the Holocene Climate Optimum, so one could say that to date there is no evidence that
anthropogenic CO2 has raised the
global mean temperature above its cyclic maximum.
Does this
mean that we can now call it «The Theory of
Anthropogenic Global Warming» or «
Anthropogenic Global Warming Theory»?
I do not
mean to use the term «denier» pejoratively — it has been accepted by some of the group as a self - description — but simply to designate those who deny any likelihood of future danger from
anthropogenic global warming.
First, it's incorrect to call this preposterous bogosity «the
anthropogenic global warming hypothesis,» inasmuch as the term «hypothesis» has a specific technical
meaning in scientific usage, which is summarized in physicist Jeff Glassman's brief layman - accessible article «Conjecture, Hypothesis, Theory, Law.
Unless putting «
global warming» in quotes was
meant to really
mean «
anthropogenic global warming».
Indeed, our results show that even in the absence of trends in
mean precipitation — or trends in the occurrence of extremely low - precipitation events — the risk of severe drought in California has already increased due to extremely
warm conditions induced by
anthropogenic global warming.
Climate models only reproduce the observed 20th century
global mean surface
warming when both
anthropogenic and natural forcings are included (Figure 9.5).
The least - squares linear - regression trend on the RSS satellite monthly
global mean surface temperature anomaly dataset continues to show no
global warming for 18 years 9 months since February 1997, though one - third of all
anthropogenic forcings have occurred during the period of the Pause.
On page 3 Postma states that
anthropogenic global warming means a general
warming of the atmosphere theorized to be human emission of carbon dioxide (CO2), which is then theorized to cause a strengthening of the effect of the Greenhouse Theory, which actually causes said
warming.
The net effect of the remodelling is to create statistically significant
warming of 0.7 °C in the ACORN - SAT
mean temperature series for Rutherglen: in general agreement with
anthropogenic global warming theory.
Does that
mean, since I see evidence for a
global warming in the last 100 years and also an
anthropogenic influence, that I am in the «apocalyptic half» of this study, beside the fact, that I am indeed very skeptical of the predictions for our future as given in the IPCC - reports?