And ESPECIALLY don't worry that we know for a fact that
the mean average temperature of the earth is steadily rising.
Not exact matches
Ray, I think Lee Grable's point is important: The fact that we use the term «global
temperature» to
mean the
average temperature on a two - dimensional surface rather than the three - dimensional ocean plus land plus atmosphere system
of the
earth has the potential to allow confusion.
There is virtually universal agreement that
average hurricane intensity on
Earth is a straightforward function
of ocean - atmosphere
temperatures; thus, rising SSTs will inevitably
mean more intense hurricanes.
He argued that
averages of the
Earth's
temperature are devoid
of a physical context which would indicate how they should be interpreted or what
meaning can be attached to changes in global
temperatures.
σAmean (T) ^ 4, where σ is the Stefan Boltzmann constant and
mean (T) is the
average temperature of Earth.
What I
mean is simply that we have as much actual empirical evidence for the existence
of even one unicorn in this world as we have for the basic AGW claim that more CO2 in the atmosphere can, will and does cause a net rise in
Earth's
average global surface
temperature, i.e. NONE whatsoever!
From such a
temperature distribution one may derive a
mean global surface
temperature and may compare it with the globally
average near - surface
temperature for the real
Earth - atmosphere system
of about 288 K.
Indeed, things do seem to be warming up as the
Earth's
average surface
temperature climbed to a record high in 1995, continuing a pattern
of hotter
mean temperatures for our planet.
When the
earth's
temperature rises on
average by more than two degrees, interactions between different consequences
of global warming (reduction in the area
of arable land, unexpected crop failures, extinction
of diverse plant and animal species) combined with increasing populations
mean that hundreds
of millions
of people may die from starvation or disease in future famines.
I am still waiting for word on what the global
temperature anomaly for the month was, but I suspect it will be fairly close to normal, which
means that on
average the
temperature of the
Earth will come in at ~ 12.0 °C which is 4 °C colder than it will be in 6 months from now, but because
of how they talk about
temperature, I will be the only one pointing out the difference between the actual
temperature and the anomaly
temperature.
A fit
of the EC -
Earth equivalent
of December Central England
Temperature to a generalised Pareto Distribution (GPD) shifted by the ensemble average model global mean t
Temperature to a generalised Pareto Distribution (GPD) shifted by the ensemble
average model global
mean temperaturetemperature.
Fit
of EC -
Earth Northern England precipitation to a normal distribution that scales with the ensemble
average global
mean temperature.
1) The
average temperature of earth's atmosphere, which is generally agreed to be -18 C, by various
means.
And an increase in
average temperature of the
Earth would also
mean an increase in
average winter
temperatures, hence warmer winters.
With the sun and the «greenhouse gases», but without water, the
average temperature on
earth would be
of - 11 °C (resulting from a daytime
mean temperature of approximately +135 °C and a nighttime
temperature of approximately - 175 °C).
The most likely candidate for that climatic variable force that comes to mind is solar variability (because I can think
of no other force that can change or reverse in a different trend often enough, and quick enough to account for the historical climatic record) and the primary and secondary effects associated with this solar variability which I feel are a significant player in glacial / inter-glacial cycles, counter climatic trends when taken into consideration with these factors which are, land / ocean arrangements,
mean land elevation,
mean magnetic field strength
of the
earth (magnetic excursions), the
mean state
of the climate (
average global
temperature), the initial state
of the
earth's climate (how close to interglacial - glacial threshold condition it is) the state
of random terrestrial (violent volcanic eruption, or a random atmospheric circulation / oceanic pattern that feeds upon itself possibly) / extra terrestrial events (super-nova in vicinity
of earth or a random impact) along with Milankovitch Cycles.
That is a measure
of the
average level
of molecular energy discharged in the browning action
of the gasses that make up
earth's A. Any system or body
of mass that exists at a T: state > 0 ° K has an energy state that can be expressed as an absolute
mean average Temperature.
`... over the 100 years since 1870 the successive five year values
of average temperatures in England have been highly significantly correlated with the best estimates
of the
averages for the whole Northern Hemisphere and for the whole
earth» (In this last comment he is no doubt referring to his work at CRU where global surface records back to 1860 or so were eventually gathered) he continued; «they probably
mean that over the last three centuries the CET
temperatures provide a reasonable indication
of the tendency
of the global climatic regime.»
Because
of the lapse rate (environmental lapse rate = -6.49 K / km), that
means that the surface
of the
Earth has an
average temperature that is about 33 C higher, or about 15C.
Does this
mean that, under positive feedback processes that release very large quantities
of CO2 into the atmosphere, there is a limit to the increase in the
average temperature of Earth?
Global
average temperature The
mean surface
temperature of the
Earth measured from three main sources: satellites, monthly readings from a network
of over 3,000 surface
temperature observation stations and sea surface
temperature measurements taken mainly from the fleet
of merchant ships, naval ships and data buoys.
Therefore if what is
meant by global warming
means is
earth's
average temperature has been rising for more than century, the burden
of proof can't be that there is no human influence.