Here, we investigate the extent to which these equatorial cold biases are related to
mean climate biases generated in the extra-tropics and then communicated to the equator via the oceanic subtropical cells (STCs).
Not exact matches
Regional
climate model
bias correction improved the estimates on changes to future
mean runoff
«When initialized with states close to the observations, models «drift» towards their imperfect climatology (an estimate of the
mean climate), leading to
biases in the simulations that depend on the forecast time.
That
means most
climate impact studies tend to have an «optimistic
bias».
Regional
climate model
bias correction improved the estimates on changes to future
mean runoff
An exposé of memetically induced cultural
bias in a recent paper on «Professionals» Discursive Construction of
Climate Change», that in my opinion undermines the objectivity of the work and robs the conclusions of any real
meaning.
Likewise, homogenization is
meant to adjust for changes and
biases in station data, resulting in a dataset useful for
climate research.
Dessler himself is a big warmist and expresses his
bias this way: «Everything shows that the
climate models are probably getting the water vapor feedback right, which
means that unless we reduce emissions, it is going to get much, much warmer on our planet by the end of the century.,» That was in 2009.
This
means the IPCC is tasked with finding a human effect of human carbon dioxide emissions on the
climate, whereas NIPCC looks at
climate change «in the round,» without
bias.
Re the last part of your post: yes you are getting somewhere, yes I think your efforts here (on
climate and other topics) are extremely impressive, yes we are all trying our best:) But no I don't think I've gotten through what it is I
mean yet, regarding the way
bias has crept in.
As Menne writes, «although homogenization generally ensures that
climate trends can be more confidently inter-compared between sites, the effect of relative
biases will still be reflected in the
mean temperatures of homogenized series.»
Karl, T.R., C.N. Williams, Jr., P.J. Young, and W.M. Wendland, 1986: A model to estimate the time of observation
bias associated with monthly
mean maximum, minimum, and
mean temperature for the United States, Journal of
Climate and Applied Meteorology, 25, 145 - 160.
A present - day
bias identified in
climate projections
means that future tropical rainfall may be underestimated.
In spite of well - known
biases of tropospheric temperature and humidity in
climate models, comparisons indicate that the intermodel range in the rate of clear - sky radiative damping are small despite large intermodel variability in the
mean clear - sky OLR.
Because «natural cloud fluctuations in the
climate system will cause a
bias in the diagnosed feedback in the direction of positive feedback», which
means those careless IPCC researchers have vastly overestimated the
climate sensitivity.