The monthly global surface temperature data are from NCDC, NOAA: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/anomalies/index.html; the global
mean sea level data are from AVISO satellite altimetry data: http://www.aviso.oceanobs.com/en/news/ocean-indicators/mean-sea-level/; and the CO2 at Mauna Loa data are from NOAA http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/
In fact, not only is global
mean sea level data rising, but the rise is accelerating.
Not exact matches
The analysis of high - frequency surface air temperature,
mean sea -
level pressure, wind speed and direction and cloud - cover
data from the solar eclipse of 20 March 2015 from the UK, Faroe Islands and Iceland, published today (Monday 22 August 2016), sheds new light on the phenomenon.
Scientists use
sea level as a
means to calculate ocean circulation because satellites circle Earth daily, acquiring
sea level data frequently and accurately.
Data published yesterday by scientists at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in Pasadena, California, and colleagues revealed that Earth's ice sheets are melting at a rate that could
mean more than 32 centimeters of global
sea level rise by 2050.
Several previous analyses of tide gauge records1, 2,3,4,5,6 — employing different methods to accommodate the spatial sparsity and temporal incompleteness of the
data and to constrain the geometry of long - term
sea -
level change — have concluded that GMSL rose over the twentieth century at a
mean rate of 1.6 to 1.9 millimetres per year.
Note that this sampling noise in the tide gauge
data most likely comes from the water sloshing around in the ocean under the influence of winds etc., which looks like
sea -
level change if you only have a very limited number of measurement points, although this process can not actually change the true global -
mean sea level.
If you want a really really simple statistical climate model, try correlating global
mean annual temperature & / or
sea level with the CO2
data from Mauna Loa.
Rate of global
sea -
level rise based on the
data of Church & White (2006), and global
mean temperature
data of GISS, both smoothed.
For anyone who would like to explore what
sea level rise would
mean for the US coastline, check out this interactive map I made using the EPA's
data.
This updated dataset includes more
data sources than the HadSLP v1.0 and is updated to April 2006, this dataset is documented in an upcoming J. Climate manuscript (Allan, R. and T. Ansell: A new globally - complete monthly historical gridded
mean sea level pressure
data set (HadSLP2): 1850 - 2004.
> A new comment on the post # 74 «Michael Crichton's State of Confusion» is > waiting for your approval > > Author: Hans Erren -LRB--RRB- > E-mail: erren21 @... > URL: > Whois:... > Comment: >
Sea -
level rise > > Although satellite
data (TOPEX / POSEIDON (sic) and JASON) shows a much > steeper trend over recent years (2.8 mm / yr) than the long term
mean > estimates from tide gauges (1.7 to 2.4 mm / yr), each method compared to > itself does not indicate an accelleration.
The contribution from glaciers and ice caps (not including Greenland and Antarctica), on the other hand, is computed from a simple empirical formula linking global
mean temperature to mass loss (equivalent to a rate of
sea level rise), based on observed
data from 1963 to 2003.
The Arctic altimeter
data were retracked using an OCOG retracking algorithm, and the diffuse returns from the leads and open ocean were combined with a host of instrumental corrections and geophysical models to determine instantaneous
mean sea level....»
But — just because the
data don't follow a parabola, doesn't
mean that
sea level hasn't accelerated.
Chris V. CO2 goes up, temp goes down, oceans cool,
sea levels decrease, arctic
sea ice is within 1979 -2000
mean, AGW theory of catastrophic warming is B U S T... Even the fraudulent manipulation of the GISS
data set does not change that.
I am a little puzzled at the trend, but that just
means the
sea level rise
data as commonly presented doesn't paint a complete or accurate picture.
Several other satellite altimeters have also been launched, and the
data from these have been used to estimate global
mean sea level trends since 1993.
Through modeling and with support from paleontological
data, Levermann et al. (10) found a roughly linear global
mean sea -
level increase of 2.3 m per 1 °C warming within a time - envelope of the next 2,000 y.
«According to climate history from ice core
data, each degree celcius will eventually
mean a 15 - 20 metre change in
sea level.»
MIT Scientist's study finds:
Data may be «insufficient to compute
mean sea level trends» — Decadal Trends in Sea Level Patterns: 1993 - 2004 — By Dr. Carl Wunsch, MIT et al. in Journal of Climate — October 12, 2
sea level trends» — Decadal Trends in Sea Level Patterns: 1993 - 2004 — By Dr. Carl Wunsch, MIT et al. in Journal of Climate — October 12,
level trends» — Decadal Trends in
Sea Level Patterns: 1993 - 2004 — By Dr. Carl Wunsch, MIT et al. in Journal of Climate — October 12, 2
Sea Level Patterns: 1993 - 2004 — By Dr. Carl Wunsch, MIT et al. in Journal of Climate — October 12,
Level Patterns: 1993 - 2004 — By Dr. Carl Wunsch, MIT et al. in Journal of Climate — October 12, 2008
So, if you looked at less than 18.6 years worth of
data without considering that effect, you might be mislead into thinking that the rate of change of
mean sea level had slowed down or sped up, when, in fact, it is doing the opposite.
Daily
mean NCEP / NCAR reanalysis
data are used as atmospheric forcing, i.e., 10 - m surface winds, 2 - m surface air temperature (SAT), specific humidity, precipitation, evaporation, downwelling longwave radiation,
sea level pressure, and cloud fraction.
Analyses of tide gauge and altimetry
data by Vinogradov and Ponte (2011), which indicated the presence of considerably small spatial scale variability in annual
mean sea level over many coastal regions, are an important factor for understanding the uncertainties in regional
sea -
level simulations and projections at sub-decadal time scales in coarse - resolution climate models that are also discussed in Chapter 13.
The
data cited is satellite altimeter measurements of global
mean sea level over the past 16 years (Figure 1).
Global
mean sea level is measured using tide gauge records and also, since 1993, satellite
data.
The E-OBS holds gridded
data for daily values of the precipitation amount, the daily
mean -
sea -
level pressure and the daily maximum,
mean and minimum temperatures from January 1950 onward.
The map of regional
mean sea level trends provides an overview of variations in the rates of relative local
mean sea level observed at long - term tide stations (based on a minimum of 30 years of
data in order to account for long - term
sea level variations and reduce errors in computing
sea level trends based on monthly
mean sea level).
Figure 1 shows the
mean global
sea level data whose accuracy Mörner denies:
Figure 3: Global
mean sea level variations (light line) computed from the TOPEX / POSEIDON satellite altimeter
data compared with the global averaged
sea surface temperature variations (dark line) for 1993 to 1998.
Using the corrected global
mean sea level time series, Dieng et al. (2017) and Chen et al. (2017) found improved closure of the
sea level budget compared to the uncorrected
data.
Accounting for the TOPEX - A instrumental correction for the first 6 years of the altimetry
data set, these studies provided a revised global
mean sea level time series that slightly reduces the average GMSL rise over the altimetry era (from 3.3 mm / yr to 3.0 mm / yr) but shows clear acceleration over 1993 - present.
As shown in the WRE paper (Nature v. 379, pp. 240 - 243), the differentials at the global -
mean level are so small, at most a few tenths of a degree Celsius and a few cm in
sea level rise and declining to minuscule amounts as the pathways approach the SAME target, that it is unlikely that an analysis of future climate
data could even distinguish between the pathways.
Is there any altimetry
data to show how
mean sea level varies along the peruviean coast during these events?
It remains possible that the
data base is insufficient to compute
mean sea level trends with the accuracy necessary to discuss the impact of global warming — as disappointing as this conclusion may be.
What it
means Although some regions have recently experienced much greater rates of
sea level rise, such as the Arctic (3.6 mm / yr) and Antarctic (4.1 mm / yr), with the mid-1980s even exhibiting a rate of 5.3 mm / yr (Holgate, 2007), this newest analysis of the most comprehensive
data set available suggests that there has been no dramatic increase — or any increase, for that matter — in the
mean rate of global
sea level rise due to the historical increase in the atmosphere's CO2 concentration.
As for the rise in
sea level, scientists asserted in the IPCC report that tide gauges and satellite
data make it «unequivocal» that the world's
mean sea level is on the upswing.
Among other things, this
means that the IPCC team, which did not have the ice melt
data through the 1990s, will need to revise upward its projected rise in
sea level for this century — currently estimated to range from 0.09 meters to 0.88 meters (from 4 to 35 inches).
Geological evidence, mainly coral reefs on tectonically stable coasts, was described in the review of Overpeck et al. [51] as favouring an Eemian maximum of +4 to more than 6 m. Rohling et al. [52] cite many studies concluding that the
mean sea level was 4 — 6 m above the current
sea level during the warmest portion of the Eemian, 123 — 119 kyr BP; note that several of these studies suggest Eemian
sea -
level fluctuations up to +10 m, and provide the first continuous
sea -
level data supporting rapid Eemian
sea -
level fluctuations.
SOI
data are presented as annual
mean sea level pressure anomalies at Tahiti and Darwin.
I need hourly
mean sea level pressure
data for the recent years.
Although the tide gauge
data are still too limited, both in time and space, to determine conclusively that there is a 60 - year oscillation in GMSL, the possibility should be considered when attempting to interpret the acceleration in the rate of global and regional
mean sea level rise.
Different approaches have been used to compute the
mean rate of 20th century global
mean sea level (GMSL) rise from the available tide gauge
data: computing average rates from only very long, nearly continuous records; using more numerous but shorter records and filters to separate nonlinear trends from decadal - scale quasi-periodic variability; neural network methods; computing regional
sea level for specific basins then averaging; or projecting tide gauge records onto empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) computed from modern altimetry or EOFs from ocean models.
- The
data show a
mean sea level rise over the past few decades that is indistinguishable from zero (0 - 1 mm per year).
Proxy and instrumental
sea level data indicate a transition in the late 19th to the early 20th century from relatively low
mean rates of rise over the previous two millennia to higher rates of rise (high confidence).
Using a 25 - y time series of precision satellite altimeter
data from TOPEX / Poseidon, Jason - 1, Jason - 2, and Jason - 3, we estimate the climate - change — driven acceleration of global
mean sea level over the last 25 y to be 0.084 ± 0.025 mm / y2.
Since this is ice core
data this
means that the ice didn't melt during these warm periods and there was no abnormal
sea level rise indicated during these warm times either.
Satellite altimeter
data collected since 1993 have measured a rise in global
mean sea level (GMSL) of ∼ 3 ± 0.4 mm / y (1, 2), resulting in more than 7 cm of total
sea -
level rise over the last 25 y.