Accounting for the TOPEX - A instrumental correction for the first 6 years of the altimetry data set, these studies provided a revised global
mean sea level time series that slightly reduces the average GMSL rise over the altimetry era (from 3.3 mm / yr to 3.0 mm / yr) but shows clear acceleration over 1993 - present.
Using the corrected global
mean sea level time series, Dieng et al. (2017) and Chen et al. (2017) found improved closure of the sea level budget compared to the uncorrected data.
Not exact matches
With Julian Orford of Queen's University Belfast in the UK, Pethick found that on the Pussur estuary, high tides are rising 16 millimetres a year, five
times faster than
mean sea level.
Time series of storm tide (surge plus tide)
levels at Port Lavaca above
mean sea level from 1900 - 2017.
Using a statistical model calibrated to the relationship between global
mean temperature and rates of GSL change over this
time period, we are assessing the human role in historic
sea -
level rise and identifying human «fingerprints» on coastal flood events.
However, it
means that your high - fat, low - carb diet should include thyroid supporting foods rich in iodine and selenium, such as
sea vegetables and brazil nuts, and should also include carbohydrates
timed properly, such as before, during or after workouts, when the carbohydrate is more likely to be utilized for energy and less likely to spike blood glucose
levels.
[this is useful, the pre-ice age era, ~ 2.5 — 3.6 million years ago, last
time CO2
levels were as high as today] In response to Pliocene climate, ice sheet models consistently produce near - complete deglaciation of the Greenland ice sheet (+7 m) and West Antarctic ice sheet (+4 m) and retreat of the marine margins of the Eastern Antarctic ice sheet (+3 m)(Lunt et al., 2008; Pollard and DeConto, 2009; Hill et al., 2010), altogether corresponding to a global
mean sea level rise of up to 14 m.
Case 2 (Topex / Poseidon EOFs over 1993 — 2003) leads to a global
mean sea level trend over the 54 - year
time interval very close to the observed trend.
Okay, I obtained Church and White's
time series for global
mean sea level (GMSL) from 1880 to 2013 (N = 134).
Therefore we want to know how high, relative to
mean sea level, the salt marsh was located at any given
time.
But, in the
mean time the question is what to do about rising
sea levels which, even without anthropogenic contributions of greenhouse gases, would rise and fall as they always have.
The base of the 3000 - m thick West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS)-- unlike the much larger East Antarctic Ice Sheet — lies below
sea level, and it has been recognized for a long
time that this
means it has the potential to change very rapidly.
In some regions, rates are up to several
times the global
mean rise, while in other regions
sea level is falling.
On decadal and longer
time scales, global
mean sea level change results from two major processes, mostly related to recent climate change, that alter the volume of water in the global ocean: i) thermal expansion (Section 5.5.3), and ii) the exchange of water between oceans and other reservoirs (glaciers and ice caps, ice sheets, other land water reservoirs - including through anthropogenic change in land hydrology, and the atmosphere; Section 5.5.5).
Time series of global
mean sea level (deviation from the 1980 - 1999
mean) in the past and as projected for the future.
This second versiont goes in to a lot of the background to St Michaels mount, as being a tidal island it gives some useful pointers as to relative
sea levels then and now.We seem to be around 30 cm lower today than in Roman
times and
sea levels oscillate around a
mean by some 1 metre.
Through modeling and with support from paleontological data, Levermann et al. (10) found a roughly linear global
mean sea -
level increase of 2.3 m per 1 °C warming within a
time - envelope of the next 2,000 y.
Paleontological records indicate that global
mean sea level is highly sensitive to temperature (7) and that ice sheets, the most important contributors to large - magnitude
sea -
level change, can respond to warming on century
time scales (8), while models suggest ice sheets require millennia to approach equilibrium (9).
Its estimated ice volume and contribution to
mean global
sea level reside well within their ranges of natural variability, and from the current looks of things, they are not likely to depart from those ranges any
time soon.
Projections of
mean global
sea -
level (GSL) rise provide insufficient information to plan adaptive responses; local decisions require local projections that accommodate different risk tolerances and
time frames and that can be linked to storm surge projections.
J. T. Fasullo, R. S. Nerem & B. Hamlington Scientific Reports 6, Article number: 31245 (2016) doi: 10.1038 / srep31245 Download Citation Climate and Earth system modellingProjection and prediction Received: 13 April 2016 Accepted: 15 July 2016 Published online: 10 August 2016 Erratum: 10 November 2016 Updated online 10 November 2016 Abstract Global
mean sea level rise estimated from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and change and is expected to accelerate as the rates of both ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss increase over
time.
Abstract: «Global
mean sea level rise estimated from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and change and is expected to accelerate as the rates of both ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss increase over
time.
• Kyoto Protocol • EU ETS • Australian CO2 tax and ETS • Mandating and heavily subsidising ($ / TWh delivered) renewable energy • Masses of inappropriate regulations that have inhibited the development of nuclear power, made it perhaps five
times more expensive now than it should be, slowed its development, slowed its roll out, caused global CO2 emissions to be 10 % to 20 % higher now than they would otherwise have been,
meaning we are on a much slower trajectory to reduce emissions than we would be and, most importantly, we are locked in to fossil fuel electricity generation that causes 10 to 100
times more fatalities per TWh than would be the case if we allowed nuclear to develop (or perhaps 1000
times according to this: http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/deaths-per-twh-by-energy-source.html • Making building regulations that effectively prevent people from selling, refurbishing or updating their houses if they are close to
sea level (the damage to property values and to property owners» life savings is enormous as many examples in Australia are already demonstrating.
Model projections of the IPCC SRES scenarios give a global
mean sea -
level rise of 0.09 to 0.88 m by 2100, with
sea level rising at rates circa 2 to 4
times faster than those of the present day (EEA, 2004b; Meehl et al., 2007).
Analyses of tide gauge and altimetry data by Vinogradov and Ponte (2011), which indicated the presence of considerably small spatial scale variability in annual
mean sea level over many coastal regions, are an important factor for understanding the uncertainties in regional
sea -
level simulations and projections at sub-decadal
time scales in coarse - resolution climate models that are also discussed in Chapter 13.
Projections from process - based models of global
mean sea level (GMSL) rise relative to 1986 — 2005 as a function of
time for two scenarios — RCP2.6, a low emissions scenario, and RCP 8.5, a high emissions scenario.
This sentence is on page 8: Gregory et al. (2013) provides graphically a
time series of global
mean sea level (GMSL) rise due to thermal expansion from 1860 based on a simulation by the CCSM4 AOGCM, with volcanic forcing included, starting in 850.
The authors observe that wide variations in rates of tectonic uplift and subsidence in different locations around the world at particular
times mean no effective coastal management plan can rest upon speculative computer projections regarding an idealised future global
sea level, such as those provided by the United Nations» Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Since the
sea levels have been rising at about the speed they are rising now for some
time, I
mean this: if
sea level rises are so insignificant that we continue to respond to them in about the same way we do now, who gives a flip except hysterics or deluded people who think the climate did not change prior to the CO2 obsession..
A convention has then been applied for the whole
time series so that the averaged global
mean sea level during the year 1993 is set to zero.
The 18.6 years lunar cycles are prominent and have sometimes been mistaken for short -
time accelerations of the
mean sea level.
I think that when the remote sensing method broadly agrees with the in situ instruments that it lends some confidence to both methods, especially since
mean sea level is responsive to more than just the amount of water in the oceans at any given
time.
They found that what had in 1800 been the chance of the one - in -500-years flood event — 2.25 metres above
mean tidal height — increased with
time and
sea level.
(Top)
Time series of the NPI (
sea level pressure during December through March averaged over the North Pacific, 30 ° N to 65 ° N, 160 ° E to 140 ° W) from 1900 to 2005 expressed as normalised departures from the long - term
mean (each tick mark on the ordinate represents two standard deviations, or 5.5 hPa).
«We can only speculate at this
time what this
means for
sea -
level rise, but our paper introduces two processes that haven't previously been recognized in which crevasses are prime suspects,» he said.
This was cited as
sea level change but it was by no
means the first
time the line had been destroyed including in 1859
The fact that «more rapid
sea level rise on century
time scales can not be excluded»
means little more than «we don't know».
This task involved extensive
time series analysis that identified Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) as an optimal analytic for resolving estimates of
mean sea level from long tide gauge records with improved accuracy and temporal resolution, since it provides a superior capability to separate key
time varying harmonic components of the
time series.
Although the tide gauge data are still too limited, both in
time and space, to determine conclusively that there is a 60 - year oscillation in GMSL, the possibility should be considered when attempting to interpret the acceleration in the rate of global and regional
mean sea level rise.
A recent Ph.D thesis by Phil Watson of the University of New South Wales (LINK) developed improved techniques to estimate
mean sea level velocity and acceleration from long ocean water
level time series.
To take the IPCC's average
sea level rise of 38.5 cm (which, six years ago, it tipped at 48.5 cm) as a starting point, this would
mean, according to some of the world's leading scientists, that Al Gore, who in his movie An Inconvenient Truth dramatically shows what the worlds coastlines would look like were
sea levels to rise by 6.1 m, is off by more than a factor of 15
times.
Using a 25 - y
time series of precision satellite altimeter data from TOPEX / Poseidon, Jason - 1, Jason - 2, and Jason - 3, we estimate the climate - change — driven acceleration of global
mean sea level over the last 25 y to be 0.084 ± 0.025 mm / y2.
Since this is ice core data this
means that the ice didn't melt during these warm periods and there was no abnormal
sea level rise indicated during these warm
times either.
Could it be that increased
levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are slowing down the escape of the LWR emitted by the
seas (heat)
meaning that the energy gained during a La Nina does not have
time to escape the atmosphere before then next El Nino kicks in and bumps temperatures up a notch?