See E.W. Leuliette, R.S. Nerem, and G.T. Mitchum, «Results of TOPEX / Poseidon and Jason - 1 calibration to construct a continuous record of mean sea level,» Marine Geodesy 27:79 - 94, 2004, and B.D. Beckley, F.G. Lemoine, S.B. Luthcke, R.D. Ray, and N.P. Zelensky, «A reassessment of global and regional
mean sea level trends from TOPEX and Jason - 1 altimetry based on revised reference frame and orbits,» Geophysical Research Letters 34 (14): L14608, 2007.
It remains possible that the data base is insufficient to compute
mean sea level trends with the accuracy necessary to discuss the impact of global warming — as disappointing as this conclusion may be.
The map of regional
mean sea level trends provides an overview of variations in the rates of relative local mean sea level observed at long - term tide stations (based on a minimum of 30 years of data in order to account for long - term sea level variations and reduce errors in computing sea level trends based on monthly mean sea level).
It remains possible that the database is insufficient to compute
mean sea level trends with the accuracy necessary to discuss the impact of global warming — as disappointing as this conclusion may be.
MIT Scientist's study finds: Data may be «insufficient to compute
mean sea level trends» — Decadal Trends in Sea Level Patterns: 1993 - 2004 — By Dr. Carl Wunsch, MIT et al. in Journal of Climate — October 12, 2008
Several other satellite altimeters have also been launched, and the data from these have been used to estimate global
mean sea level trends since 1993.
Case 2 (Topex / Poseidon EOFs over 1993 — 2003) leads to a global
mean sea level trend over the 54 - year time interval very close to the observed trend.
The global
mean sea level trend is corrected for the Glacial Isostatic Adjustment using the ICE5G - VM2 GIA model (Peltier, 2004) to take into account the associated volume changes of the ocean.
The uncertainty in the global
mean sea level trend is estimated to be of ± 0.5 mm / yr in a confidence interval of 90 % (1.65 sigma), whereas the uncertainty of the regional mean sea level trends is of the order of 2 - 3 mm / yr with values as low as 0.5 mm / yr or as high as 5.0 mm / yr depending on the region considered (Legeais et al., 2018, under review).
Not exact matches
> A new comment on the post # 74 «Michael Crichton's State of Confusion» is > waiting for your approval > > Author: Hans Erren -LRB--RRB- > E-mail: erren21 @... > URL: > Whois:... > Comment: >
Sea -
level rise > > Although satellite data (TOPEX / POSEIDON (sic) and JASON) shows a much > steeper
trend over recent years (2.8 mm / yr) than the long term
mean > estimates from tide gauges (1.7 to 2.4 mm / yr), each method compared to > itself does not indicate an accelleration.
--
Sea level continued to rise: Global mean sea level continued to rise during 2013, on pace with a trend of 3.2 ± 0.4 mm per year over the past two decad
Sea level continued to rise: Global
mean sea level continued to rise during 2013, on pace with a trend of 3.2 ± 0.4 mm per year over the past two decad
sea level continued to rise during 2013, on pace with a
trend of 3.2 ± 0.4 mm per year over the past two decades.
iheartheidicullen @ 162: Sorry if my tone was intemperate, but really the SH and NH
sea ice
trends have been analysed at length online by Tamino and others, over the last year or two, with the clear conclusion that the SH anomaly
trend is small (the anomaly at the maximum last year was about 1.5 % of the
mean annual maximum, if I remember correctly) and not statistically significant (at the 95 %
level, I think), whereas the NH
trend is large (tens of percent), long - lived, and statistically very significant indeed.
I am a little puzzled at the
trend, but that just
means the
sea level rise data as commonly presented doesn't paint a complete or accurate picture.
Raw satellite - based
trends in global
mean sea levels over the period 1992 - 2000, according to Morner, 2004.
Simple
mean relative
sea level trends of the PSMSL stations in the map above.
Short period
trends of acceleration in
mean sea level after 1990 are evident at each site, although these are not abnormal or higher than other short - term rates measured throughout the historical record.»
«Trends and acceleration in global and regional
sea levels since 1807» «Evaluation of the global
mean sea level budget between 1993 and 2014» «Considerations for estimating the 20th century
trend in global
mean sea level» «New estimate of the current rate of
sea level rise from a
sea level budget approach» «Reassessment of 20th century global
mean sea level rise» «The increasing rate of global
mean sea -
level rise during 1993 — 2014» «Unabated global
mean sea -
level rise over the satellite altimeter era» «An increase in the rate of global
mean sea level rise since 2010»
Yes, it continues to show
sea level remains stubbornly well above the
trend line, which
means 5, 10, 15, and maybe even 20 - year rates re far above the satellite - era
trend of 3.4 mm per yr.
Figure 3: «Considerations for estimating the 20th century
trend in global
mean sea level» Figure 1B: «Reassessment of 20th century global
mean sea level rise» «Recent global
sea level acceleration started over 200 years ago?»
A: «Internal variability versus anthropogenic forcing on
sea level and its components» B: «The rate of
sea -
level rise» C: «Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric
sea level rise» D: «Detection and attribution of global
mean thermosteric
sea level change» E: «Long - term
sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?»
The
trend in greater
sea level variability
means that many Pacific Island communities should expect not only more frequent and prolonged drops in
sea level, but also more frequent high
sea level events.
4) Most of the post-1950s
sea level rise is anthropogenic: «Internal Variability Versus Anthropogenic Forcing on Sea Level and Its Components» «The rate of sea - level rise» «Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise» «Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea level change» «Long - term sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?&raq
sea level rise is anthropogenic: «Internal Variability Versus Anthropogenic Forcing on Sea Level and Its Components» «The rate of sea - level rise» «Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise» «Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea level change» «Long - term sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?&r
level rise is anthropogenic: «Internal Variability Versus Anthropogenic Forcing on
Sea Level and Its Components» «The rate of sea - level rise» «Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise» «Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea level change» «Long - term sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?&raq
Sea Level and Its Components» «The rate of sea - level rise» «Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise» «Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea level change» «Long - term sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?&r
Level and Its Components» «The rate of
sea - level rise» «Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise» «Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea level change» «Long - term sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?&raq
sea -
level rise» «Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise» «Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea level change» «Long - term sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?&r
level rise» «Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric
sea level rise» «Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea level change» «Long - term sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?&raq
sea level rise» «Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea level change» «Long - term sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?&r
level rise» «Detection and attribution of global
mean thermosteric
sea level change» «Long - term sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?&raq
sea level change» «Long - term sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?&r
level change» «Long - term
sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?&raq
sea level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?&r
level trends: Natural or anthropogenic?»
As the present warming
trend is expected to continue, global
mean sea level will continue to rise.
These fluctuations
mean there will be short periods where
sea level shows no
trend.
The GMST and AMO
trends shown in Figure 6 show a low in the 1960s and high in the 1990s, suggestive of a 60 - year oscillation, as reported for the global
mean sea level by Chambers et al. (2012).
The G refers to global, thus the
MEAN global T must rise, the mean sea ice extent must decrease, global sea level trend must increase, global tornadoes must rise, global floods must increase, the rate of global sea riseust rise, and all the global change MUST be catastrophic, and clearly outside of recent past global f
MEAN global T must rise, the
mean sea ice extent must decrease, global sea level trend must increase, global tornadoes must rise, global floods must increase, the rate of global sea riseust rise, and all the global change MUST be catastrophic, and clearly outside of recent past global f
mean sea ice extent must decrease, global
sea level trend must increase, global tornadoes must rise, global floods must increase, the rate of global
sea riseust rise, and all the global change MUST be catastrophic, and clearly outside of recent past global flux.
Putting it into the human - caused «climate change» context, this global
mean of long - term
sea level trend has clearly not been a function of the rapidly rising CO2
levels (see chart's plot of moving 360 - month average of atmospheric CO2
levels).
Different approaches have been used to compute the
mean rate of 20th century global
mean sea level (GMSL) rise from the available tide gauge data: computing average rates from only very long, nearly continuous records; using more numerous but shorter records and filters to separate nonlinear
trends from decadal - scale quasi-periodic variability; neural network methods; computing regional
sea level for specific basins then averaging; or projecting tide gauge records onto empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) computed from modern altimetry or EOFs from ocean models.
Global
sea level trend during 1993 — 2012 Here we investigate the global -
mean sea level (GMSL) change during 1993 — 2012 using Empirical Mode Decomposition, in an attempt to distinguish the
trend over this period from the interannual variability.
Comparison of daily
means for Suva with those for Lautoka and satellite altimetry suggest there could be land subsidence at the Suva station equating to a slow positive
sea level trend.»
The observed changes (lower panel; Trenberth and Fasullo 2010) show the 12 - month running
means of global
mean surface temperature anomalies relative to 1901 — 2000 from NOAA [red (thin) and decadal (thick)-RSB- in °C (scale lower left), CO2 concentrations (green) in ppmv from NOAA (scale right), and global
sea level adjusted for isostatic rebound from AVISO (blue, along with linear
trend of 3.2 mm / year) relative to 1993, scale at left in mm).