It is officially
the mean sea surface temperature anomaly from the equator to 70 degrees North.
This means that the global
mean sea surface temperature mainly controls the CO2 content in the atmosphere; when the
mean sea surface temperature is rising, the CO2 content in the atmosphere is increasing.
We compare simulation cooling from the combined forcing to a GMT reconstruction, based on a global
mean sea surface temperature reconstruction (43) that we scaled by the factor 1.84 so as to match estimated LGM cooling (ref.
The results here reveal a larger picture — that the western tropical Indian Ocean has been warming for more than a century, at a rate faster than any other region of the tropical oceans, and turns out to be the largest contributor to the overall trend in the global
mean sea surface temperature (SST)»
The annual
mean sea surface temperature shows a high seasonality and important gradients from west to east and north to south (Figure 1b)[3].
The original ICOADS global
mean sea surface temperature is shown in figure 1 along with the simple war - time adjustment analysed in this study.
The upper and lower panels show two different statistical relationships between the power dissipation index and sea surface temperature, one based on actual sea surface temperature (red curve, upper panel) and another based on Atlantic sea surface temperature relative to tropical
mean sea surface temperature (cyan curve, lower panel).
The improved simulation of ENSO amplitude is mainly due to the reasonable representation of the thermocline and thermodynamic feedbacks: On the one hand, the deeper mean thermocline results in a weakened thermocline response to the zonal wind stress anomaly, and the looser vertical stratification of mean temperature leads to a weakened response of anomalous subsurface temperature to anomalous thermocline depth, both of which cause the reduced thermocline feedback in g2; on the other hand, the alleviated cold bias of
mean sea surface temperature leads to more reasonable thermodynamic feedback in g2.
Closing Note: The additional problems with measuring and calculating global
mean sea surface temperature are discussed at length in numerous posts at ClimateAudit and in the papers that are the subjects of or the references used for those posts.
Since 1950, global
mean sea surface temperatures have risen roughly 1 ° F (0.6 ° C).6 Scientists estimate that regional sea surface temperatures in the North Sea increased by 1.6 ° F (0.9 ° C) from 1958 to 2002.7
That means sea surface temperatures are likely to rise and the trade wind to weaken, which could lead to a more permanent El Niño state and / or more intense El Niño events.
Not exact matches
First,
sea -
surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico have been higher than normal in the past couple of months, due to global warming, which
means the air that flowed north would have been warmer to start with.
The analysis of high - frequency
surface air
temperature,
mean sea - level pressure, wind speed and direction and cloud - cover data from the solar eclipse of 20 March 2015 from the UK, Faroe Islands and Iceland, published today (Monday 22 August 2016), sheds new light on the phenomenon.
The interaction of the ocean and atmosphere
means that these changes in
sea surface temperatures are translated into changes in wind direction and strength.
Normalised RMS error in simulation of climatological patterns of monthly precipitation,
mean sea level pressure and
surface air
temperature.
The East Pacific Ocean (90S - 90N, 180 - 80W) has not warmed since the start of the satellite - based Reynolds OI.v2
sea surface temperature dataset, yet the multi-model
mean of the CMIP3 (IPCC AR4) and CMIP5 (IPCC AR5) simulations of
sea surface temperatures say, if they were warmed by anthropogenic forcings, they should have warmed approximately 0.42 to 0.44 deg C.
These parameters include global
mean surface temperature,
sea - level rise, ocean and ice sheet dynamics, ocean acidification, and extreme climatic events.
Lou Grinzo (12)-- I am under the impression that HadCRUTv3 uses air
temperatures on land and
sea surface temperatures in the oceans to produce their global
mean.
(The specific dataset used as the foundation of the composition was the Combined Land -
Surface Air and
Sea -
Surface Water
Temperature Anomalies Zonal annual
means.)
However, the CRU global
mean combined land air /
sea surface temperature estimates for Jan - Aug 2005 lag behind the 1998 annual
mean estimate by 0.08 C (0.50 C vs. 58C for 1998) while GISS indicates a lag of 0.02 C.
For the «business - as - usual» scenario RCP8.5, the model -
mean changes in 2090s (compared to 1990s) for
sea surface temperature,
sea surface pH, global O2 content and integrated primary productivity amount to +2.73 °C, − 0.33 pH unit, − 3.45 % and − 8.6 %, respectively.
The observations from the Laptev
Sea in 2007 indicate that the bottom water
temperatures on the mid-shelf increased by more than 3 C compared to the long - term
mean as a consequence of the unusually high summertime
surface water
temperatures.
Here, the author draws causality relationships between global
mean near -
surface air
temperatures and Atlantic
sea surface temperatures and hurricane power dissipation indexes using statistical causality tests.
The AARI data include drifting stations and ice information, although not the majority (my fault to see that as «main»), that
means that the difference between only land based and total is in warmer
sea surface temperatures.
This
means that in these models, clouds respond to
sea surface temperature changes, but not vice-versa.
Normalised RMS error in simulation of climatological patterns of monthly precipitation,
mean sea level pressure and
surface air
temperature.
This February's
sea surface temperatures were 1.46 degrees above average, which
means the past nine months have been the nine highest monthly global ocean
temperature departures on record.
Some are clearly at this level,
meaning that it is within the margin of error that
sea surface temperatures could have been higher.?»
Until you can all agree on whether changes in soil moisture are due to lower solar, or due to higher CO2, use solely
sea surface temperatures for global
mean surface T change.
Tropical Atlantic (10 ° N — 20 ° N)
sea surface temperature annual anomalies (°C) in the region of Atlantic hurricane formation, relative to the 1961 to 1990
mean.
As a result, directly comparing the
Sea Surface Temperature data from the early 20th century to the current
Sea Surface Temperature data is like «comparing apples and oranges» — there have been too many changes in the data sources for such comparisons to have much
meaning.
We might expect «global warming» (i.e., an increase in average
surface air
temperatures over a few decades) to lead to a rise in global
mean sea levels.
Offshore,
mean monthly
sea surface temperatures range from 15.4 °C to 20.1 °C [3], but in the nearshore upwelling region, variability is greater and
temperatures range from 10 °C to 18 °C [4].
That now
means, within the last three years, when global
sea surface temperatures have been at their highest, we have seen the strongest hurricane globally, the strongest hurricane in the northern hemisphere, the strongest hurricane in the southern hemisphere, and the strongest storms in both the Pacific and the open Atlantic, with Irma.
available peer - reviewed, science - based evidence to model the implications of their proposals for atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations, global
mean surface temperature,
sea level rise, and other climate change impacts at the global scale.
This
means that if the
surface temperature is constant and energy is slowly transferring into the water column all the way to the
sea floor, the ocean will keep expanding and
sea level will continue rising.
Global
mean surface temperature might well induce
sea level rise but even there, it is not a singular factor and SLR is not rising a a calamitous rate as seen in the movies.
As we all here know (but most in the general public who are reading Mr. Rose's article probably do not), the «cool phase» is named so because of what it
means for
sea surface temperatures primarily along the North American west coast.
The evolution of global
mean surface temperatures, zonal
means and fields of
sea surface temperatures, land
surface temperatures, precipitation, outgoing longwave radiation, vertically integrated diabatic heating and divergence of atmospheric energy transports, and ocean heat content in the Pacific is documented using correlation and regression analysis.
Australia's climate has warmed in both
mean surface air
temperature and surrounding
sea surface temperature by around 1 °C since 1910.
A regression - based forecast for September ice extent around Svalbard (an area extending from 72 — 85N and 0 — 40E), which uses May
sea surface temperatures, the March index of the Arctic Oscillation, and April ice conditions as predictors, yielded a
mean ice extent in September 2010 of 255,788 square kilometers around Svalbard.
Current «cool» phase of the PDO began in late 1998 / early 1999 (certainly not 2008), and when it flipped it generally
meant cooler
sea surface temperatures along the west coast of N. America but warmer
temperatures on average over other other broad regions of the Pacific.
Based on proxy records from ice, terrestrial and marine archives, the LIG is characterized by an atmospheric CO2 concentration of about 290 ppm, i.e., similar to the pre-industrial (PI) value13,
mean air
temperatures in Northeast Siberia that were about 9 °C higher than today14, air
temperatures above the Greenland NEEM ice core site of about 8 ± 4 °C above the
mean of the past millennium15, North Atlantic
sea -
surface temperatures of about 2 °C higher than the modern (PI)
temperatures12, 16, and a global
sea level 5 — 9 m above the present
sea level17.
Global
mean temperatures from climate model simulations are typically calculated using
surface air
temperatures, while the corresponding observations are based on a blend of air and
sea surface temperatures.
Daily
mean NCEP / NCAR reanalysis data are used as atmospheric forcing, i.e., 10 - m
surface winds, 2 - m
surface air
temperature (SAT), specific humidity, precipitation, evaporation, downwelling longwave radiation,
sea level pressure, and cloud fraction.
In time as AGW progresses, the
sea will warm as well, this
means air
surface temperatures will have to be colder to create
sea ice.
Long - term
mean ocean current velocities at 100 m depth (vectors, unit: m s — 1) and
sea surface temperature (colours, °C) around the Kuroshio and the Kuroshio Extension obtained from a control experiment forced by pre-industrial conditions (CO2 concentration 295.9 ppm) using MIROC3.2 (hires).
The model calculates the path of atmospheric CO2 and other GHG concentrations, global
mean surface temperature, and
mean sea level rise resulting from these emissions.
The C - ROADS (Climate Rapid Overview and Decision Support) simulator is based on the biogeophysical and integrated assessment literature and includes representations of the carbon cycle, other GHGs, radiative forcing, global
mean surface temperature, and
sea level change.
[Shaviv and Veizer, 2003] conclude that the effect of a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration on tropical
sea surface temperatures (SST) is likely to be 0.5 ºC (up to 1.9 ºC at 99 % confidence), with global
mean temperature changes about 1.5 times as large.