That means climate shifts from warming to cooling at the highest concentrations and vice versa, by definition.
I will address this point in a separate response to Manzi, but Goklany makes the classic mistake of thinking that stabilizing concentrations at 750 ppm
means the climate shifts to a new, static state.
Not exact matches
This
means that the science of
climate change may partially undergo a
shift of its own, moving from trying to prove it is a problem (it is now «very likely» that greenhouse gases in the atmosphere have already caused enough warming to trigger stronger droughts, heat waves, more and bigger forest fires and more extreme storms and flooding) to figuring out ways to fix it.
That
means that there is room for a
shifting of the numbers, particularly if the news media would make it clearer that there was high agreement among
climate scientists, he said.
Shifting climate patterns
mean these radical disruptions could be a harbinger of things to come.
«
Climate change
means major ecosystem
shifts for the Mediterranean Basin.»
While natural
climate shifts and weather
mean that not every point on the globe is record warm all the time, the overall trend is for the planet to continue to run an ever - higher fever.
In a
climate of rising temperatures and
shifting rainfall, amid debate about whether fire disasters are natural or man - made, what does the rise of mega-fires
mean for life as we know it?
In today's polarized politics, such appeals are less likely and less effective —
meaning an educational comeback may depend on a broader
shift in the political
climate.
Audi makes the driver feel special through other
means too, such as the clean, uncluttered central infotainment system, classy gear
shifter and touch - sensitive digital
climate controls.
A drop in barometric pressure and a
shift in static electric field usually
mean that a change in
climate is about to occur.
Exhibiting this new suite of tintypes in New York in summer 2017, one can measure the
shifting meaning of the works against the
shifting status of their subjects within the wider political
climate.
If as suggested here, a dynamically driven
climate shift has occurred, the duration of similar
shifts during the 20th century suggests the new global
mean temperature trend may persist for several decades.
The op - ed favorably cited by Mike Mann says this explcitly, «That
means we need to clearly say there is no scientific debate about
climate change — and instead
shift the conversation to next steps... Those of us who write opinion need to press for public - policy action, steps that move us as a planet forward.
In such a case, counting the number of records might not indicate whether the
climate was becoming more or less extreme, rather just whether there was a
shift in the
mean climate.
Some years back, we hypothesized that changes to
climate variability, rather than changes to
mean climate, might tip the balance towards the chytrid fungus because all pathogens are smaller and have faster metabolisms than their hosts, and thus might acclimate more quickly following short - term temperature
shifts [link].
The song took on new
meaning for me in 2003, when I accompanied a team of
climate and ocean researchers on their annual expedition aimed at studying changes in the Arctic Ocean beneath the
shifting sea ice just a few dozen miles from the North Pole.
In the Swanson and Tsonis paper it is suggested that the decadal variations of the global
mean temperature, the
climate shifts, observed in the 20th century are basically caused by the synchronization of four modes.
Reversion to
mean makes no sense to me, there are oscillations on many time scales,
climate shifts, etc..
What we find is that when interannual modes of variability in the
climate system have what I'll refer to as an «episode,»
shifts in the multi-decadal global
mean temperature trend appear to occur.
The
climate system appears to have had three distinct «episodes» during the 20th century (during the 1910's, 1940's, and 1970's), and all three marked
shifts in the trend of the global
mean temperature, along with changes in the qualitative character of ENSO variability.
,
Climate Dynamics, 2005], the conclusion of which is well summarized by the first sentence of their abstract: The potential for the mean climate of the tropical Pacific to shift to more El Niño - like conditions as a result of human induced climate change is subject to a considerable degree of uncert
Climate Dynamics, 2005], the conclusion of which is well summarized by the first sentence of their abstract: The potential for the
mean climate of the tropical Pacific to shift to more El Niño - like conditions as a result of human induced climate change is subject to a considerable degree of uncert
climate of the tropical Pacific to
shift to more El Niño - like conditions as a result of human induced
climate change is subject to a considerable degree of uncert
climate change is subject to a considerable degree of uncertainty..
As Craven points out, what will save us isn't the spread of personal
shifts in consumption; it's the spread, among well -
meaning people, of a new way to think about the risks of
climate change.
If a moral framing resonates with values people already hold dear — protecting future generations, for example — it may
shift people's perceptions of the
meaning and importance of the threat posed by
climate change.»
What I
mean by
climate change One definition of a
climate change is a
shift in the pdf describing the temperature, precipitation, or some other variable.
Mbengue, C., and T. Schneider, 2017: Storm - track
shifts under
climate change: toward a mechanistic understanding using baroclinic
mean available potential energy.
The pledges and determination shown by world governments at the Paris
climate change talks in Paris
meant there would likely be «further policies aimed at
shifting the fuel - mix towards cleaner, lower - carbon fuels, with renewable energy, along with natural gas, the main beneficiary,» said Dale.
Climate shifts are in principle unpredictable — but I suggest that a cooler state space is more likely on the basis of reversion to the
mean.
Most damage [ecological, economical] of
climate change is not a direct consequence of a
shift in
mean temperatures.
The average anthropogenic
climate change effect is not negligible, but nor is it large, although a small
shift in the
mean can lead to very large percentage changes in extremes.
DK12 used ocean heat content (OHC) data for the upper 700 meters of oceans to draw three main conclusions: 1) that the rate of OHC increase has slowed in recent years (the very short timeframe of 2002 to 2008), 2) that this is evidence for periods of «
climate shifts», and 3) that the recent OHC data indicate that the net
climate feedback is negative, which would
mean that
climate sensitivity (the total amount of global warming in response to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 levels, including feedbacks) is low.
Bonfils, C.J.W., B.D. Santer, T.J. Phillips, K. Marvel, L.R. Leung, C. Doutriaux, and A. Capotondi, 2015: Relative contributions of
mean - state
shifts and ENSO - driven variability to precipitation changes in a warming
climate.
Stationarity recognizes periodic
shifts over a very long time in
climate means and variance that are driven by internal dynamics of an ergodic dynamic system.
Means and variance of the
climate state
shifts abruptly — persists for a while — and then
shifts again.
Climate means and variance
shift every 20 to 30 years and add up to variability over millennia.
Pachauri outlined the potential for major changes to the
climate system, which could overwhelm human response strategies - breakdown of the thermohaline circulation, disintegration of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, a
shift in
mean climate towards an El Nino - like state, reduced carbon sink capacity, methane release from hydrates, and a rearrangement of biome distributions.
Our emissions are sufficient (in total) to cause ~ 4 ppm increase, which
means that the rest of the carbon cycle is
shifting ~ 2 ppm into other
climate containers.
Even seemingly «straightforward» applications like the assessment of the impact of changes in the
mean annual cycle of temperature on
shifting butterfly populations did find more
climate variables than just temperature to be of importance (see e.g. WallisDeVries et al, 2011; http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3172409/), and this generally applies to many sectors and applications.
But increasingly dire scientific warnings about the consequences of
climate change
mean that the world will need to accelerate the
shift to carbon - free, renewable sources of energy even more so in the years to come.
Pacific Ocean
climate shifts mean that the next decade should be very interesting.
Shifts of
means are not a proxy for changes in extreme winter temperatures in
climate projections
The 1976 divide is the date of a widely acknowledged «
climate shift» (e.g. Trenberth, 1990) and seems to mark a time (see Chapter 9) when global
mean temperature began a discernable upward trend that has been at least partly attributed to increases in greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere (see the TAR; IPCC 2001).
That
means there's been a fundamental
shift in the large - scale
climate under which other, local factors operate.»
This latest
climate shift is characterized by increased frequency of La Nina events and a break in the global
mean temperature trend.
Neither side of the
climate war has much of an idea of what this relatively important paradigm
shift means.
He also demonstrates the trivial effects of the warming that is predicted and discounts their claimed negative effects, noting that scientific developments
mean we are far less hostage to
climate shifts than in previous eras.»
Analysts Thomson Reuters Point Carbon said
climate and energy policy would be «significantly influenced» by the
shift in the balance of power, and they don't
mean in a good way.
False solutions are solutions that are promoted as effective
means to fight
climate change when in fact not only they do not help in cutting emissions and slowing down warming (in some cases even worsening the already precarious situation), but they
shift the focus away from real solutions.
FIGURE 2.10 Potential effects of changes in temperature distribution on extremes: a) effects of a simple
shift of the entire distribution toward a warmer
climate; b) effects of an increased temperature variability with no
shift of the
mean; and c) effects of an altered shape of the distribution, in this example an increased asymmetry toward the hotter part of the distribution.
So a
shift of
climate doesn't
mean it won't ever frost in Florida.