You can generally
measure economic risks using quantitative variables showing the development of the country as well as its potential weaknesses and risks.
Not exact matches
The best way to safeguard financial stability and improve the balance between
economic and financial
risk taking is to put in place policies that enhance the transmission of monetary policy to the real economy — thus promoting
economic risk taking — and address financial excesses through well - designed macroprudential
measures.
A rising rate cycle and uncertainty about reform
measures pose
risks to
economic growth and financial markets.
Our long - term forecasts are based on our assessment of current valuation
measures,
economic growth and inflation prospects, as well as historical
risk premiums.
«On the other hand, using the same essential
measures of valuation and market action, but including periods of major
economic dislocation into the dataset, produces average return /
risk inferences that are substantially less favorable.
On balance, we do not believe that the November 2012 Update fiscal forecast was credible and coupled with the slowdown in
economic growth in 2013, the possibility of a balanced budget for 2015 - 16 is seriously at
risk, unless additional significant restraint
measures are implemented.
With the S&P 500 within about 8 % of its highest level in history, with historically reliable valuation
measures at obscene levels, implying near - zero 10 - 12 year S&P 500 nominal total returns; with an extended period of extreme overvalued, overbought, overbullish conditions replaced by deterioration in market internals that signal a clear shift toward
risk - aversion among investors; with credit spreads on low - grade debt blowing out to multi-year highs; and with leading
economic measures deteriorating rapidly, we continue to classify market conditions within the most hostile return /
risk profile we identify — a classification that has been observed in only about 9 % of history.
In their October 2009 paper entitled «
Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) and Market Anomalies», Guy Kaplanski and Haim Levy introduce the Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) as a measure of the residual risk contained in VIX after accounting for the statistical and economic variables most predictive of future stock market volatility (such as previous month actual volatility and V
Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) and Market Anomalies», Guy Kaplanski and Haim Levy introduce the
Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) as a measure of the residual risk contained in VIX after accounting for the statistical and economic variables most predictive of future stock market volatility (such as previous month actual volatility and V
Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) as a
measure of the residual
risk contained in VIX after accounting for the statistical and economic variables most predictive of future stock market volatility (such as previous month actual volatility and V
risk contained in VIX after accounting for the statistical and
economic variables most predictive of future stock market volatility (such as previous month actual volatility and VIX).
Moreover, core inflation moved ahead of its level of 6 months ago, and leading
economic measures continued to slip (though we don't see them as being indicative of recession
risk at present).
There was justification for some of this —
economic data was supportive of
risk assets and the new US administration is still promising a raft of
measures that may support corporate earnings (at least in the short term).
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as
measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as
measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling
risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe
economic weakness.
But we do not believe the ECB will contemplate a major change in direction, since in the continued absence of a significant fiscal stimulus, the region's
economic performance remains too weak for the central bank to
risk measures that could create, however inadvertently, a degree of tightening in monetary policy.
As a
measure of how the
risk has been shifted from private entrepreneurs to the public, consult, if you will, a 1965 report of the Joint
Economic Committee.
Poland's ruling party approved a law that will gradually impose a ban on Sunday shopping, meeting the demand of its conservative Catholic supporters with a
measure that
risks undermining
economic growth and hitting corporate profits and real - estate investors.
The Chairman, Senate Committee on Local and Foreign Debts, Senator Shehu Sani, has warned the Federal Government to put in place short - term
measures to cushion the effect of the current
economic crisis on the Nigerian masses or
risk the lives of the people before he completes his reforms.
Other
measures such as cognitive (i.e. IQ) ability, early linguistic skills,
measures of the environment such as socio -
economic status, and whether there is a family member with reading problems or dyslexia are all common early factors used to assess
risk of developing reading difficulties.
In poorer areas, such as the Mekong Delta in Vietnam, where there is very little capital available, it may make more
economic sense to boost their
economic performance and accept a degree of flood
risk instead of pouring resources into flood protection
measures which have very little success anyway.»
About Youtuber The Earthquake Engineering Research Institute (EERI) is a nonprofit multi-disciplinary technical society of experts dedicated to reducing earthquake
risk by advancing the science and practice of earthquake engineering, improving understanding of the impact of earthquakes on the physical, social,
economic, political, and cultural environment, and advocating comprehensive and realistic
measures for reducing the harmful effects of earthquakes.
Keywords:
Risk management,
measuring uncertainty, failure of models that predict failure, complexity theory, standard out of equilibrium level, irrational expectations on
economic rational actor model.
Category: English, North America, Transversal Studies, Your experiences, Your ideas · Tags: complexity theory, failure of models that predict failure, irrational expectations on
economic rational actor model,
measuring uncertainty,
Risk management, standard out of equilibrium level
Spurred by concerns about international competition,
economic troubles, and a perceived stagnation or regression in student performance outlined by the now famous 1983 report, A Nation at
Risk, the standards debate gained new life as politicians looked for ways to clarify goals,
measure progress, and hold schools accountable.
Voting against the action were Richard W. Fisher, who believed that, while the Committee should be patient in beginning to normalize monetary policy, improvement in the U.S.
economic performance since October has moved forward, further than the majority of the Committee envisions, the date when it will likely be appropriate to increase the federal funds rate; Narayana Kocherlakota, who believed that the Committee's decision, in the context of ongoing low inflation and falling market - based
measures of longer - term inflation expectations, created undue downside
risk to the credibility of the 2 percent inflation target; and Charles I. Plosser, who believed that the statement should not stress the importance of the passage of time as a key element of its forward guidance and, given the improvement in
economic conditions, should not emphasize the consistency of the current forward guidance with previous statements.
A banks profitability is typically
measured over reserved capital in order to stay solvent,
Economic Capital, which is correlated to each customers rating /
risk grade /
risk class, hence a customer with a very good
risk grade can be just a good customer, in terms of profitability, as a high
risk customer and vice versa.
Moreover, core inflation moved ahead of its level of 6 months ago, and leading
economic measures continued to slip (though we don't see them as being indicative of recession
risk at present).
The Paradox of the Zero Bound Subpar
Economic Recovery Gets Premium Market Valuation Wall Street Earnings Expectations Ignore
Economic Divergences The Great Divergence An Update on International Market Valuations Business Cycles, Election Cycles, and Potential
Risks An Update on Valuations and Forward Earnings Assumptions Bond Yields, Earnings Yields, and Inflation A View from the NBER Recession Indicators Three Observations on Third Quarter Earnings Forward Looking
Measures Still Don't Provide Evidence for a V - Shaped Recovery This Earnings Season, Watch Sales Forward Earnings Imply a Return to Near - Record Profit Margins Without Phoenix Stocks, Volume Continues to Contract Is the Job Market Ready for a Recovery?
NFIP currently assesses flood
risk in terms of the probability and depth of flooding, the
economic value of the assets subject to damage, the vulnerability of the structure, and the performance of flood protection and mitigation
measures.
Where probabilities can be attached to different outcomes that may result from an adaptation
measure,
economic tools such as
risk and portfolio theory allow us to choose the adaptation option that maximizes the expected net benefits, while allowing for the
risks associated with different options.
I think that is a crucial point, because these actions are likely to include
measures which involve greater concerted world action, curtailing the freedoms of individuals, companies and nations, and curbing some kinds of industrial activity, potentially
risking economic growth.
The choice of a stabilization level implies the balancing of the
risks of climate change (
risks of gradual change and of extreme events,
risk of irreversible change of the climate, including
risks for food security, ecosystems and sustainable development) against the
risk of response
measures that may threaten
economic sustainability.
These actions are likely to include
measures such as greater concerted world action, curtailing the freedoms of individuals, companies and nations, and curbing some kinds of industrial activity, potentially
risking economic growth.
And yet, despite a long history of scientific warnings (please see Footnote 30 for a detailed description30), the many current ecological and
economic impacts and crises, the future
risks and dangers, the large number of international meetings and conferences on the urgent need for climate policies and
measures, and the adoption of some national and regional climate policies, growth in global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels and cement has not only remained strong but is actually accelerating.
'' Cities and businesses recognise the
economic benefits that come with fighting climate change, and they're setting a great example by establishing clear goals and
measuring the impact of their work,» said Michael R. Bloomberg, founder of Bloomberg LP, three - term Mayor of New York City, the UN Secretary General's Special Envoy for Cities and Climate Change, and chair of the Financial Stability Board's Task Force on Climate - related Financial Disclosures, who joined a discussion on climate
risk disclosure.
By understanding the real extent of settlement failure
risk and the economic factors contributing to it, litigants can then adopt proactive, calibrated trial - avoidance measures using a new legal - analytic process we call Settlement Risk Engineerin
risk and the
economic factors contributing to it, litigants can then adopt proactive, calibrated trial - avoidance
measures using a new legal - analytic process we call Settlement
Risk Engineerin
Risk Engineering ™.
To summarise (at the
risk of oversimplifying), there are two main positions in this debate: Those who believe that public policy goals can only be taken into account within EU competition law to the extent that those goals can be
measured in
economic terms and contribute to maximizing consumer welfare (Amato, Odudu).
The Insurers are bound to send an annual report, which would cover the fund performance during previous financial year in relation to the
economic scenario, market developments etc. which should include fund performance analysis, investment portfolio of the fund, investment strategies and
risk control
measures adopted to increase the policyholder's benefit.
About Youtuber The Earthquake Engineering Research Institute (EERI) is a nonprofit multi-disciplinary technical society of experts dedicated to reducing earthquake
risk by advancing the science and practice of earthquake engineering, improving understanding of the impact of earthquakes on the physical, social,
economic, political, and cultural environment, and advocating comprehensive and realistic
measures for reducing the harmful effects of earthquakes.
• Hands - on experience in developing and implementing analytic and mathematical models for testing supply chain sequences • Highly skilled in designing, developing and adapting statistical and econometric techniques to analyze supply chain management problems and roadblocks • Effectively able to determine and implement strategic plans to ensure prompt problem resolution • Skilled in performing researching activities to and
economic analysis and initiating new studies • Proven ability to develop and implement
risk mitigation plans to ensure smooth supply chain operations • Track record of defining and implementing metrics to enable effective sourcing and supplier performance management • Deep insight into key performance indicators (KPIs) that
measure and improve sourcing and supply chain performance • Competent at utilizing influence management skills to negotiate movement of products in order to meet bulk deal demands • Proficient in reporting n field cycle count processes in sync with regulatory requirements of the company • Proven ability to manage established inventory levels in accordance to inventory levels dictated by set business models
There are strengths and limitations to both absolute and relative
measures of low income, and use of relative
measures, such as those used in the current study, have their merits when used within countries to identify those at
risk of poverty and social exclusion.30 Still, Norway has low levels of poverty and
economic inequality, which may restrict generalisability of these results.
3 THE EXTENT AND CHARACTER OF HEALTH INEQUALITIES IN THE EARLY YEARS 3.1 Key findings about health inequalities in the first four years 3.2 Introduction 3.3 Pregnancy, birth and the first three months 3.3.1
Risk factors and health outcomes in the early years 3.3.2 Inequalities in the early stages 3.4 Health measures in the first four years of life 3.5 Overview of health outcomes 3.5.1 Physical health 3.5.2 Problems reported by parents 3.5.3 Psychosocial health 3.5.4 Body mass index 3.6 Inequalities in health outcomes 3.6.1 Area deprivation 3.6.2 Household income 3.6.3 Socio - economic classification (NS - SEC) 3.6.4 Conclusion 3.7 Exposure to risk factors likely to have an adverse impact on health 3.8 Inequalities in exposure to risk factors for poor health outcomes 3.8.1 Area deprivation 3.8.2 Houshold income 3.8.3 Socio - economic classification (NS - SEC) 3.8.4 Conclusion 3.9 Summary measure of negative outc
Risk factors and health outcomes in the early years 3.3.2 Inequalities in the early stages 3.4 Health
measures in the first four years of life 3.5 Overview of health outcomes 3.5.1 Physical health 3.5.2 Problems reported by parents 3.5.3 Psychosocial health 3.5.4 Body mass index 3.6 Inequalities in health outcomes 3.6.1 Area deprivation 3.6.2 Household income 3.6.3 Socio -
economic classification (NS - SEC) 3.6.4 Conclusion 3.7 Exposure to
risk factors likely to have an adverse impact on health 3.8 Inequalities in exposure to risk factors for poor health outcomes 3.8.1 Area deprivation 3.8.2 Houshold income 3.8.3 Socio - economic classification (NS - SEC) 3.8.4 Conclusion 3.9 Summary measure of negative outc
risk factors likely to have an adverse impact on health 3.8 Inequalities in exposure to
risk factors for poor health outcomes 3.8.1 Area deprivation 3.8.2 Houshold income 3.8.3 Socio - economic classification (NS - SEC) 3.8.4 Conclusion 3.9 Summary measure of negative outc
risk factors for poor health outcomes 3.8.1 Area deprivation 3.8.2 Houshold income 3.8.3 Socio -
economic classification (NS - SEC) 3.8.4 Conclusion 3.9 Summary
measure of negative outcomes
About Youtuber The Earthquake Engineering Research Institute (EERI) is a nonprofit multi-disciplinary technical society of experts dedicated to reducing earthquake
risk by advancing the science and practice of earthquake engineering, improving understanding of the impact of earthquakes on the physical, social,
economic, political, and cultural environment, and advocating comprehensive and realistic
measures for reducing the harmful effects of earthquakes.
Tenant, Industry and Lease — the Tenant Score is comprised of two sets of financial indexes that
measure economic business performance and business
risk.