Sentences with phrase «measured as a probability»

IMHO, using Bayesian techniques is equivalent to spreading BS — because it implies «that uncertainty and degrees of belief can be measured as probabilities» -LRB--RRB-.

The system employs advanced statistical techniques to achieve the best fit to scientifically validate information on loss, measured as a probability.

Not exact matches

Ginsberg, however, suggests that the most accurate measure of probability actually lies in commercial betting websites, such as Irish bookmaker Paddy Power's.

The Russell 2000 Growth Index is a subset based of stocks selected based on a «probability» of growth as measured by their Institutional Brokers» Estimate System (I / B / E / S) forecast of medium - term growth (2 year), and sales per share historical growth (5 year).

The Russell 2000 Value Index is a subset of the securities found in the Russell 2000 selected based on a «probability» of value as measured by their relative book - to - price (B / P) ratio.

They measure long - term risk as the probability that portfolio value is below its initial value after ten years from 10,000 Monte ‐ Carlo simulations based on expected asset class returns, pairwise asset return correlations, inflation, investment alpha (baseline constant 1 % annually) and withdrawals (baseline approximately 5 % annual real rate).

Neither quantum theory nor any other scheme has yet produced a successful means of predicting in advance whether a given particle will be measured as spin - up or spin - down; only the probabilities for a large number of runs can be computed.

First - author publications are among the most important predictors of career success (as measured by the probability of becoming a PI)-- but middle - author publications are less helpful.

Ultimately, we found that the PARCC and MCAS 10th - grade exams do equally well at predicting students» college success, as measured by first - year grades and by the probability that a student needs remediation after entering college.

Even when we estimated the probability that an incumbent won a majority of the votes in each precinct, or accounted for test - score changes and levels as a function of dollars spent on students, or measured the relationship between an incumbent's vote share in one election and the previous election, the overwhelming weight of the evidence indicated that school board members were not being judged on improvement or weakening in school test scores.

In a new article for Education Next, Ira Nichols - Barrer, Erin Dillon, Kate Place, and Brian Gill report that scores on the Partnership for Assessment of Readiness for College and Careers (PARCC) exam and the Massachusetts Comprehensive Assessment System (MCAS) exam do equally well at predicting students» success in college, as measured by first - year grades and by the probability that a student needs remediation upon entering college.

do equally well at predicting students» college success, as measured by first - year grades and by the probability that a student needs remediation after entering college.

There are four here which use ratio, Pythagoras, time, fractions, probability, percentages and measures as well as other topics.

But the present study finds that they boost the probability of low performance as conventionally measured.

Papers cover: Number, Algebra, Geometry and Measures, Ratio, Proportion and Rates of Change, Probability and Statistics Also available as a bundle for Foundation tier and as a mega bundle for Foundation and Higher tiers.

The probability is reported as a percentage of students with similar profiles who later performed poorly on an outcome measure.

Credit scores do nothing more than give a probability that a borrower will make good, based primarily on his history of paying other people back, but also considering such measures of financial stress as how many times he has asked for a loan recently and the credit lines to credit used ratio mentioned above.

Small stocks come with higher risk than large stocks as measured by credit rating, delisting probability, and volatility.

We can define periods of economic and market agreement and periods of discord by using timely variables, such as the New Orders series from the monthly Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Report, to forecast the probability, at any time, of agreement between the economy and the market.5 Typically macro-based measures suffer from a significant lag in reporting as well as frequent revisions, making them inferior to the immediacy of observing market data, month by month, day by day, even tick by tick.

Moreover, it serves as a yardstick to measure probability of a repeat offense.

In many spheres of science, such as physics, thermodynamics, probability theory, sociology and information technology, the term «entropy» is used to describe a movement towards chaos, to measure disorder.

The probability of this kind of methane migration is a function of the number of holes drilled through aquifers into gas bearing zones (both biogenic and thermogenic) and the imperfection of measures to control the upward rush of methane using cement casings to seal off the aquifers — a process that is faulty six percent of the time and more frequently as casings deteriorate with time.

; what leads you to believe that the physical and biological trends we've seen / measured are likely to reverse within a mere 20 years, especially if / as we enter a solar upswing; how have you accounted for warming - driven methane release; what credible peer reviewed literature on «the other side» are you describing; what supports your confidence that there is little to no probability that the AGW that you do accept will change weather patterns enough to disrupt crop planting / growing / harvesting / production severely (or do you classify famine as a natural phenomenon?)?

Where probabilities can be attached to different outcomes that may result from an adaptation measure, economic tools such as risk and portfolio theory allow us to choose the adaptation option that maximizes the expected net benefits, while allowing for the risks associated with different options.

More generalized approaches such as plausibility theory and the Tesla evidence theory combine probability measures, probability measures, Dempster - Shafer belief functions, ranking functions and possibility and necessity measures.

Here, we test the ability of gridded downscaling models to replicate historical properties of climate and hydrologic extremes, as measured in terms of temporal sequencing (i.e., correlation tests) and distributional properties (i.e., tests for equality of probability distributions).

Now for the record statistical significance is a measure of how small is the probability of some observed data under a given «null hypothesis» (We know from a previous discussion Nick doesn't believe in the null hypothesis as part of science but there it is).

Is that because you think Bayesian credible intervals are not valid as objective measures of probability?

Thus, Bayesian probability is interpreted as a measure of the current state of knowledge.

(I am choosing the probability distribution of IRRs as the performance measure for the fund because it is familiar, not because it is the most theoretically sound measure, especially when I have ignored financing and reserving activities.

Changes in rates of child diagnoses from baseline to 3 months as a function of mother's remission and subsequently mother's level of response were analyzed using a repeated measures analysis with binary response data, using generalized estimating equation (GEE) methods.27 A linear probability model with an identity link function (rather than a logit - link function) was used to model interactions on the additive scale28 and to model a dose - response function using rates (rather than odds) as the outcome measure because we considered risk differences to be a more relevant measure than odds ratios in our study.