You finally filter out from the collection of trials all those with a particular measured C14 age, and look at the distributions of true calendar ages that generated it, compared against
the measured calendar age distribution each algorithm output.
Not exact matches
Because of well - known problems in calibrating dates from 3,500 years ago, he knew the lab would be unable to pin down the exact
calendar age of the samples, but the uncalibrated
measured age of the cattle bones closely matched the latest equivalent dates for the cataclysm on Thera.
In this hypothetical problem of a perfectly accurate lab measurement, we now want to generate the pdf of the «
Calendar Date given our perfectly accurate sample -
measured RC
Age».
One can think of there being a nonlinear but exact functional calibration curve relationship s14C = c (ti) between
calendar year ti and a «standard» 14C
age s14C, but with — for each
calendar year — the actual (true, not
measured) 14C
age t14C having a slightly indeterminate relationship with ti.
Of the four efforts that did succeed, three (Louisiana's
Measure 15 in 2003, Pennsylvania's Amendment 2 in 2001, and Texas's Proposition 14 in 2007) were effectively minor changes to allow judges to serve out their current term in office or serve out the end of the
calendar year they hit the retirement
age.