«Major declines in house prices and the continuing high level of unemployment are reflected in the various
measures of household debt and credit.
Not exact matches
One key
measure of our current distress is the
household -
debt - to - disposable - income ratio.
Over the past 20 years, Canadian
households have more than doubled their ratio
of debt to disposable income (a key
measure of leverage relative to their ability to pay).
Meanwhile, the total
household debt service ratio,
measured as total obligated payments
of principal and interest as a proportion
of household disposable income for both mortgage and non-mortgage
debt, remained flat at 13.8 per cent in the fourth quarter.
In addition, broad
measures of saving have remained positive, and
household wealth — assets such as stocks and homes, less
debt — is on the rise.
But closing down unnecessary capacity can pay for itself, even if unemployed workers are temporarily put on the government payroll (causing
debt to rise, but usually by less than it had before), but only temporarily as Beijing takes other
measures to boost
household income through wealth transfers from the state and so to boost consumption, a form
of demand which is likely to be more labor intensive than the demand created in the process
of over-capacity.
Using the conventional total
debt - to - income ratio, where
debt is
measured as a share
of income, college - educated student debtors are by far the most indebted.2 The median college - educated student debtor has total
debt equal to about two years» worth
of household income (205 %).
Canadians have a
debt problem — the key
measure of a consumer's
debt burden now stands at a record level — which is why Finance Minister Jim Flaherty and Mr. Poloz's predecessor Mark Carney urged
households for months to put a lid on it.
The primary
measure of the
household sector's
debt - servicing burden is the ratio
of aggregate interest payments to disposable income.
Other
measures of household balance sheet health such as the
debt - servicing ratio and the gearing ratio show considerably less
of an upward trend than the
debt to income ratio.
The ratio
of those who only service only the interest on their
debt fell to a record low
of 6.1 %, and the
household debt service ratio, a
measure of obligated payment as a percentage
of disposable income, fell to 14 % from 14.1 %
Poloz appears to be pursuing that same strategy, preferring to focus instead on federal
measures that seek to improve the quality
of household debt by tightening credit conditions for buyers.
Using the National Retirement Risk Index (NRRI), which
measures the percentage
of working - age
households «at risk»
of falling short in retirement, the analysis found that if NRRI
households had started out with today's student
debt levels, the index would be 56.2 percent
of U.S.
households at risk instead
of the already alarming 51.6 percent.
Using the conventional total
debt - to - income ratio, where
debt is
measured as a share
of income, college - educated student debtors are by far the most indebted.2 The median college - educated student debtor has total
debt equal to about two years» worth
of household income (205 %).
The Bank highlighted that
household debt ratios will continue to rise, but these will be mitigated over time by the announced changes to housing finance rules.Even before the unanticipated rise in mortgage rates in October, the Bank revised down its economic forecast in large
measure because
of the federal government's new initiatives «to promote stability in Canada's housing market».
One common
measure is the leverage ratio, a simple comparison
of outstanding
debts to
household assets.