Figuring out
the mechanisms for ocean circulation modes depends on the evidence from paleoclimate, and on the stabilities seen via the great computer simulations.
Not exact matches
It's theoretically possible that some internal cycle in the
ocean circulation could give Holocene temperature fluctuations as big as the LIA, but until one identifies such a
mechanism, it's essentially impossible to say what the consequences would be
for climate sensitivity.
«Changes in
ocean circulation have been proposed as a trigger
mechanism for the large coupled climate and carbon cycle perturbations at the Paleocene - Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM, ca. 55 Ma).
It's theoretically possible that some internal cycle in the
ocean circulation could give Holocene temperature fluctuations as big as the LIA, but until one identifies such a
mechanism, it's essentially impossible to say what the consequences would be
for climate sensitivity.
1) It seems to me that the key
mechanism for any impact must be the changes that increased arctic
ocean temperatures will impose on the atmospheric
circulation feature known as the Polar Cell, and via this on the Ferrel cell which sits over the mid latitudes.
In the case of
oceans the energy does penetrate the surface layers and is often carried away
for eventual release elsewhere and at another time, depending on the
ocean currents and other internal oceanic
mechanisms such as the flow of the Thermohaline
Circulation with a period of more than 800 years
for a full circuit.
The atmosphere and
oceans, through their general
circulation, act as vast heat engines, compensating
for this imbalance by providing nonradiative
mechanisms for the transfer of heat from the Equator to the poles.
So, it is not surprising that those modellers who «need» to get warm surface waters to move into the depths of the
oceans, and remain sequestered there
for long periods of time, would turn to the physical
mechanism of this vertical
circulation system.
It includes results from a variety of different empirical approaches, including (1) time series analyses of the published temperature record; (2) examination of the response of the earth's outgoing radiation response to transient climate events; (3) calorimetric studies of the
ocean - atmosphere system; (4)
mechanisms for secular climate change arising from
ocean circulation systems and astronomical influences; and (4) radiative and convective heat transfer in the
oceans and atmosphere.
One of the most significant potential
mechanisms is a shift in an
ocean circulation pattern known as thermohaline
circulation, which would have widespread consequences
for Europe and the U.S. East Coast.
Here, we present an explanation
for time - invariant land — sea warming ratio that applies if three conditions on radiative forcing are met: first, spatial variations in the climate forcing must be sufficiently small that the lower free troposphere warms evenly over land and
ocean; second, the temperature response must not be large enough to change the global
circulation to zeroth order; third, the temperature response must not be large enough to modify the boundary layer amplification
mechanisms that contribute to making φ exceed unity.
The magnitude of the [geomagnetic - CO2]
mechanism is small compared to the magnitude of the preponderant
mechanisms driving the exchange of carbon between
ocean and atmosphere, such as water temperature, biological pumping, overturning
circulation... it would be preposterous to make the weakening Earth's magnetic field responsible
for global warming.