Sentences with phrase «median inflation forecast»

Results from the Bank's latest quarterly survey of financial market economists show that the median inflation forecast is 2.1 per cent over the year to June 2004, before picking up to 2.4 per cent over the year to June 2005; forecasts for both periods are lower than they were in November 2003 by 0.1 percentage points (Table 16).

A survey of trade union officials, conducted by ACIRRT (Australian Centre for Industrial Relations Research and Training) following release of the June quarter CPI, gave a median inflation forecast of 2 per cent over the year to June 1999, rising to 3 per cent over the year to June 2000 (Table 8).

The median inflation forecast of private - sector economists for the year to June 2001, as surveyed by the Bank following the release of the June quarter CPI, has increased to 5.5 per cent from 5.3 per cent in the March survey.

Not exact matches

If we take the median forecast of $ US 19 / tonne at 2000 prices, add inflation and convert to CAD at current exchange rates, that works out to about $ C 25 / tonne.

According to the minutes of the meeting, a 25 - basis point increase in the bank rate was fully factored in by the markets in the run - up to November's MPC meeting, and the interest - rate curve underlying the November Inflation Report projected interest rates at 1 percent by the end of the three - year forecast period, higher than the recent median estimates of economists polled by Reuters.

The first reading of the median forecast of inflation for the year to June 2002 is around 2.3 per cent.

The Bank's survey of market economists showed that the median forecast for CPI inflation for the year to June 2005 was unchanged following the release of the December quarter CPI (Table 17).

As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.

Over the past three months, the financial market economists surveyed by the Bank have made no substantial revisions to their near - term forecasts for inflation, with the median CPI inflation forecast for the year to June 2004 remaining unchanged at 2.3 per cent (Table 17).

The Bank's quarterly survey of financial market economists suggests that near - term inflation expectations have changed little over recent months, with the median forecast for inflation over the year to June 2004 at 2.2 per cent in November, compared with 2.3 per cent in August.