Sentences with phrase «median valuation multiples»

It doesn't matter whether one looks at basic measures such as median valuation multiples over the past (bull market) decade, or whether one uses a more complex discounted cash flow model.

Not exact matches

These Fed - induced speculative valuations are now evident across the board, as the median price / revenue multiple on S&P 500 components (as well as S&P 1500 components) is now the highest in history, easily exceeding the 2000 peak.

The green, orange, yellow, and red lines represent the projected total returns for the S&P 500 assuming terminal valuation multiples of 20, 14 (average), 11 (median) and 7 times normalized earnings.

While the overall equity - market volatility could impact sentiment and the valuations that investors are willing to pay, our small - and mid-cap forecasts already assume that multiples will revert to less than the historic median — so our outlook already is fairly conservative.

As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.

The S&P 500 registered a record high after an advancing half - cycle since 2009 that is historically long - in - the - tooth and already exceeds the valuation peaks set at every cyclical extreme in history but 2000 on the S&P 500 (across all stocks, current median price / earnings, price / revenue and enterprise value / EBITDA multiples already exceed the 2000 extreme).

In actuality, the median constituent of the S&P 500 has a Forward P / E of 18.4 — a multiple that rests in the 99th percentile of historical valuation levels.

They also performed a comparison with current valuations for a (select) group of public investment management firms — on average, the TAM transaction's valued at 75 % of the minimum multiple & just 49 % of the median multiple.