The topic is «Catastrophic
Methane Hydrate Release Mitigation» and the paper is quite eye - opening.
Generally, there are indications that if we reach 4 to 6C rise there is a chance possibly for larger
methane hydrate release once the oceans warm up.
These warming spikes could be due to
methane hydrate releases, or to global eutrophication caused by a hyperactive hydrological cycle, which might cause algal blooms on a global scale.
But that might invoke rapid permafrost melt which would take us to 5 C, and that could lead to
methane hydrate releases good for another degree of warming.
Not exact matches
Massive amounts of
methane could be
released from undersea
hydrates.
When
methane was
released from the
hydrate into the liquid state faster than it could diffuse out, it became supersaturated and formed nanobubbles.
Release of
methane hydrates has previously been suggested as a mechanism to drive runaway greenhouse events, as warming oceans
releases trapped
methane that causes further warming and
releases more
methane.
Similar frozen
methane hydrates occur throughout the same arctic region as they did in the past, and warming of the ocean and
release of this
methane is of key concern as
methane is 20x the impact of CO2 as a greenhouse gas.
They occurred over a very short time interval immediately following onset of Cretaceous global warming, suggesting that the warming destabilized gas
hydrates and
released a large burb of
methane.
One hypothesis for the slide was that an earthquake caused the
methane hydrates in the region to become unstable and to explosively
release their gas.
The timing is coincident with a period of global warming, and Williscroft and colleagues suggest that it was this warming that
released methane frozen as
methane hydrates in the sea floor, as a relatively sudden
methane «burp.»
When
methane hydrates «melt,» they
release the
methane trapped inside the ice, but because the
methane was first trapped under pressure when the
hydrate was formed, one cubic metre of solid
methane hydrate will
release 160 cubic metres of
methane gas.
This is bad news for oil prospectors drilling in permafrost: if they encounter a pocket of
hydrates, the
released methane could rupture their drilling equipment.
In a paper published in the 2 November edition of Nature Communications, corresponding author Zhang and his colleagues describe how they used a computer simulation of two types of
methane hydrates, monocrystalline
hydrates and polycrystalline
hydrates, to see what would happen if they were compressed or if pressures on the
hydrates were suddenly
released.
The
hydrate is extremely unstable; as it gets buried deeper by fresh sediment falling on the seafloor above, it warms enough to
release its
methane again.
By harnessing methods similar to those used to recover dense, viscous petroleum, engineers could pump steam or hot water down a drill hole to melt the
hydrate and
release more
methane to escape.
Beyond relevancy to this anthropogenic event, this
methane release simulates a rapid and relatively short - term natural
release from
hydrates into deep water.
We suggest that a vigorous deepwater bacterial bloom respired nearly all the
released methane within this time, and that by analogy, large - scale
releases of
methane from
hydrate in the deep ocean are likely to be met by a similarly rapid methanotrophic response.
«Our data suggest that even if increasing amounts of
methane are
released from degrading
hydrates as climate change proceeds, catastrophic emission to the atmosphere is not an inherent outcome.»
If the pressure is too low or the temperature too high, the
hydrates dissociate (break down), the
methane is
released and the gas can seep from the seafloor into the ocean.
«You
release a
hydrate and then form a
hydrate, which is pretty cool,» he says, especially given that
methane gas
hydrates represent the most abundant global natural carbon resource.
Research in 2008 led by oceanographer Natalia Shakhova, now at the University of Alaska Fairbanks, estimated the thawing shelf could
release a 50 - gigaton pulse of
methane from
hydrates over 10 years — about 8 percent of the
methane stored in the shelf's sediments.
A June 2017 study by the Center for Arctic, Gas
Hydrate, Environment and Climate (CAGE) concluded those unexpected
methane blasts, rather than gradual
releases, are a big problem.
Van Nieuwenhuise noted that today's warming oceans could also cause
hydrates on the ocean floor to
release methane, which may exacerbate climate change.
Once formed by either serpentinization or microbes,
methane could be stored as a stable clathrate
hydrate — a chemical structure that traps
methane molecules like animals in a cage — for later
release to the atmosphere, perhaps by gradual outgassing through cracks and fissures or by episodic bursts triggered by volcanism.
Boulder, Colo., USA: Cretaceous climate warming led to a significant
methane release from the seafloor, indicating potential for similar destabilization of gas
hydrates under modern global warming.
Once produced,
methane could have been stored as a stable clathrate
hydrate and
released to the atmosphere either gradually, through volcanism, or in bursts, triggered by impacts.
The only place where melting
methane hydrates appear to be
releasing methane to the atmosphere is on the Siberian margin, where
hydrates associated with the permafrost relict from the last glaciation
release methane to the shallow water column of the shelf waters.
My research indicates that the Siberian peat moss, Arctic tundra, and methal
hydrates (frozen
methane at the bottom of the ocean) all have an excellent chance of melting and
releasing their stored co2.Recent
methane concentration figures also hit the news last week, and
methane has increased after a long time being steady.The forests of north america are drying out and are very susceptible to massive insect infestations and wildfires, and the massive die offs - 25 % of total forests, have begun.And, the most recent stories on the Amazon forecast that with the change in rainfall patterns one third of the Amazon will dry and turn to grassland, thereby creating a domino cascade effect for the rest of the Amazon.With co2 levels risng faster now that the oceans have reached carrying capacity, the oceans having become also more acidic, and the looming threat of a North Atlanic current shutdown (note the recent terrible news on salinity upwelling levels off Greenland,) and the change in cold water upwellings, leading to far less biomass for the fish to feed upon, all lead to the conclusion we may not have to worry about NASA completing its inventory of near earth objects greater than 140 meters across by 2026 (Recent Benjamin Dean astronomy lecture here in San Francisco).
A
release of 500 Gton C as
methane (order 10 % of the
hydrate reservoir) to the atmosphere would have an equivalent radiative impact to a factor of 10 increase in atmospheric CO2...........
And finally, what about Mark's questions (# 3) and other factors not discussed here — do all these effects re Arctic ice lead scientists to believe there is a greater and / or earlier chance (assuming we continue increasing our GHG emissions — business as usual) of melting
hydrates and permafrost
releasing vast stores of
methane into the atmosphere than scientists believed before the study, or is the assessment of this about the same, or scientists are not sure if this study indicates a greater / lesser / same chance of this?
Carozza et al (2011) find that natural global warming occurred in 2 stages: First, global warming of 3 ° to 9 ° C accompanied by a large bolus of organic carbon
released to the atmosphere through the burning of terrestrial biomass (Kurtz et al, 2003) over approximately a 50 - year period; second, a catastrophic
release of
methane hydrate from sediment, followed by the oxidation of a part of this
methane gas in the water column and the escape of the remaining CH4 to the atmosphere over a 50 - year period.
1250now.org, 350.org, Climate Change, Collapse of Industrial Civilization, Corporate State, Drought in America's Bread basket, Economic Collapse, Environmental Collapse, Global Famine,
Methane Time Bomb, National Climate Assessment Report, Peak Water, Permian - Triassic Mass Extinction,
Release of Ocean
Methane Hydrates, Robert Hunziker, Sarah Palin, Social Unrest
The most likely explanation is the mass
release of
methane from sediments on the sea floor, where the gas was sequestered, as it is now, in a solid form as
methane hydrate.
The only place where melting
methane hydrates appear to be
releasing methane to the atmosphere is on the Siberian margin, where
hydrates associated with the permafrost relict from the last glaciation
release methane to the shallow water column of the shelf waters.
I just go to the section where they get into discussing Arctic seabed
methane in more detail, and the conclusion of that section is actually: «In summary, the ocean
methane hydrate pool has strong potential to amplify the human CO2
release from fossil fuel combustion over time scales of decades to centuries.»
It takes a long time to warm the deep ocean and the clathrate zone, and no one has proposed a mechanism for getting much
methane release from
hydrates in the coming century.
The non linear nature of forcing is related more to positive feedbacks and changes that are still being studied, such as cyclic changes in moisture content and regional dispersion, the
methane cycles in the ocean or the potential of
methane clathrate /
hydrate release, and of course the race to feed more people on a planet which will inevitably add more nitrous oxide to the atmosphere and create more dead zones in the oceans, droughts, floods, fires, dogs and cats living together, mass hysteria....
In «
Methane hydrate stability and anthropogenic climate change», David Archer argues that methane release is likely to be «chronic rather than catastrophic&
Methane hydrate stability and anthropogenic climate change», David Archer argues that
methane release is likely to be «chronic rather than catastrophic&
methane release is likely to be «chronic rather than catastrophic».
An increased concentration of
methane release, Gustafsson suspects, may be coming from collapsing «
methane hydrates» — pockets of the gas that were once trapped in frozen water on the ocean floor.
Warming results in gas
hydrate decomposition in a gradually thickening zone (brown),
releasing gaseous
methane into the sediments (yellow).
And will this mean that
methane will not be
released from deep ocean
methane hydrates?
Elsewhere in the same paper, Archer describes how this could come from the
methane trapped in the ice being smoothed through «diffusion within the fern or heterogeneous bubble closure depth,» or simply through the methane sampling not being dense enough, where the maxima of release could be overlooked [Archer, Methane hydrate stability and anthropogenic climate change, Biogeosciences,
methane trapped in the ice being smoothed through «diffusion within the fern or heterogeneous bubble closure depth,» or simply through the
methane sampling not being dense enough, where the maxima of release could be overlooked [Archer, Methane hydrate stability and anthropogenic climate change, Biogeosciences,
methane sampling not being dense enough, where the maxima of
release could be overlooked [Archer,
Methane hydrate stability and anthropogenic climate change, Biogeosciences,
Methane hydrate stability and anthropogenic climate change, Biogeosciences, 2007].
Schmidt & Shindell, 2003, Atmospheric composition, radiative forcing, and climate change as a consequence of a massive
methane release from gas
hydrates.
-- Increasing
release of carbon stored in soils and permafrost and
methane from seabed
methane hydrates
And finally, what about Mark's questions (# 3) and other factors not discussed here — do all these effects re Arctic ice lead scientists to believe there is a greater and / or earlier chance (assuming we continue increasing our GHG emissions — business as usual) of melting
hydrates and permafrost
releasing vast stores of
methane into the atmosphere than scientists believed before the study, or is the assessment of this about the same, or scientists are not sure if this study indicates a greater / lesser / same chance of this?
Possible run - away greenhouse due to such things as
release of the
methane clathrate (
hydrate) on the ocean floors;
The source is probably the
release from melting permafrost, but the Arctic continental slope
methane hydrates may eventually contribute.
Carozza et al (2011) find that natural global warming occurred in 2 stages: First, global warming of 3 ° to 9 ° C accompanied by a large bolus of organic carbon
released to the atmosphere through the burning of terrestrial biomass (Kurtz et al, 2003) over approximately a 50 - year period; second, a catastrophic
release of
methane hydrate from sediment, followed by the oxidation of a part of this
methane gas in the water column and the escape of the remaining CH4 to the atmosphere over a 50 - year period.
Methane can also be stored in the seabed as methane gas or methane hydrates and then released as subsea permafrost
Methane can also be stored in the seabed as
methane gas or methane hydrates and then released as subsea permafrost
methane gas or
methane hydrates and then released as subsea permafrost
methane hydrates and then
released as subsea permafrost thaws.