Now, my other question (and I am capable of doing my own research, but I'm just wondering if anyone knows off the top of their head), is how do these concentrations compare with historical levels of
methane in the atmosphere over the arctic?
To crunch its numbers, the EPA calculated the average concentration of
methane in the atmosphere over a 100 - year period and determined that over that period methane is 21 times more potent than carbon dioxide.
Not exact matches
Methane or natural gas is 72 times more potent at capturing heat
in the
atmosphere than carbon dioxide
over the first 20 years after release - and to deal with climate change, we need to focus on the next few decades.
On two days of airplane flights
over the area, the research team detected high concentrations of
methane in the
atmosphere.
Reports of plumes or patches of
methane in the Martian
atmosphere that vary
over monthly timescales have defied explanation to date.
Harvesting that landfill
methane for use as a fuel also offers greenhouse gas reductions, since
methane traps 23 times as much heat
in the
atmosphere as CO2
over a century.
(
Over the course of a century, methane traps heat in Earth's atmosphere about 25 times as effectively as carbon dioxide; nitrous oxide does so almost 300 times as effectively over the same interv
Over the course of a century,
methane traps heat
in Earth's
atmosphere about 25 times as effectively as carbon dioxide; nitrous oxide does so almost 300 times as effectively
over the same interv
over the same interval.)
It could have delivered a large amount of
methane, and
over time the abundance
in the
atmosphere would have declined to its present value.
Methane has a relatively short life
in the
atmosphere where it oxidizes into CO2
over a period of 9 - 15 years.
Carozza et al (2011) find that natural global warming occurred
in 2 stages: First, global warming of 3 ° to 9 ° C accompanied by a large bolus of organic carbon released to the
atmosphere through the burning of terrestrial biomass (Kurtz et al, 2003)
over approximately a 50 - year period; second, a catastrophic release of
methane hydrate from sediment, followed by the oxidation of a part of this
methane gas
in the water column and the escape of the remaining CH4 to the
atmosphere over a 50 - year period.
Based upon eight (8) joint Russian / American scientific expeditions into the Arctic under the aegis of the International Arctic Research Centre at the University Alaska Fairbanks,
methane fields of a breathtakingly fantastic scale have been discovered with plumes
over a half - mile wide spewing
methane directly into the
atmosphere in concentrations 100 times higher than normal.
According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, the greenhouse gas
methane is highly efficient at trapping heat
in the
atmosphere and a significant contributor to global warming,
over 80 times more potent than carbon dioxide.
The Earth's climate is predicted to change
over time,
in part because human activities are altering the chemical composition of the
atmosphere through the buildup of greenhouse gases - primarily carbon dioxide,
methane, and nitrous oxide.
A possible glimpse of our future would be the Paleocene - Eocene Thermal Maximum (wikipedia the PETM), when a massive release of
methane clathrates or other factors caused the level of CO2
in the
atmosphere to rise to 1000ppm or more
over a relatively brief period of time (
in geological terms).
Methane is roughly 28 times more efficient at trapping heat in the Earth's atmosphere over a 100 - year time frame, and current levels of methane in the atmosphere are higher than at any point in the past 2,000
Methane is roughly 28 times more efficient at trapping heat
in the Earth's
atmosphere over a 100 - year time frame, and current levels of
methane in the atmosphere are higher than at any point in the past 2,000
methane in the
atmosphere are higher than at any point
in the past 2,000 years.
Unfortunately, I believe that the rest of the world on average will have higher
methane leakage rates from the hydrofracking and transmission operations than for those
in the USA; which I believe, will significantly increase
methane concentrations
in the
atmosphere over the next several decades.
The
methane in the
atmosphere is coming from locations that can be, er, located, and quantified
over time.
This is about as far as one could get from high levels (relative to most atmospheric concentrations) of
methane over large areas high
in the
atmosphere in the Arctic where there is very little (direct) human activity.
«[Howarth et al.'s] analysis is seriously flawed
in that they significantly overestimate the fugitive emissions associated with unconventional gas extraction, undervalue the contribution of «green technologies» to reducing those emissions to a level approaching that of conventional gas, base their comparison between gas and coal on heat rather than electricity generation (almost the sole use of coal), and assume a time interval
over which to compute the relative climate impact of gas compared to coal that does not capture the contrast between the long residence time of CO2 and the short residence time of
methane in the
atmosphere.»
This is because
over the past three years, hundreds of new scientific field accounts of global warming's impacts, as well as improved peer - reviewed analyses of global warming itself
in both the deep past and the very near future, have depicted earth's
atmosphere as far more «sensitive» to the invisible CO2,
methane and other human - sourced greenhouse gases than had been hoped.
Carozza et al (2011) find that natural global warming occurred
in 2 stages: First, global warming of 3 ° to 9 ° C accompanied by a large bolus of organic carbon released to the
atmosphere through the burning of terrestrial biomass (Kurtz et al, 2003)
over approximately a 50 - year period; second, a catastrophic release of
methane hydrate from sediment, followed by the oxidation of a part of this
methane gas
in the water column and the escape of the remaining CH4 to the
atmosphere over a 50 - year period.
For more information, go to Fracking and air pollution According to the study conducted by professor Robert W. Howarth of Cornell University, «3.6 % to 7.9 % of the
methane from shale - gas production escapes to the
atmosphere in venting and leaks
over the lifetime of a well.»
Methane has a relatively short life
in the
atmosphere where it oxidizes into CO2
over a period of 9 — 15 years.
Reaching 400 ppm CO2
in the
atmosphere is inching ever closer to the tipping point when
methane takes
over and kicks global warming into high gear.
The new analysis led by Wecht took a broader look, by using satellite monitoring of
methane gas levels
in the
atmosphere over the United States.
The second factor is the insulating effect of the
atmosphere of which well
over 90 % results from atmospheric water
in the form of clouds and water vapour with the remaining 10 % due primarily from CO2 and ozone with just a slightly detectable effect from
methane and a trivial effect from all the other gases named
in tyhe Kyoto Accord that is so small it can't even be detected on measurements of the Earth's radiative spectrum.
Methane is a potent greenhouse gas that is 25 times more efficient
in trapping heat
in the
atmosphere compared to carbon dioxide
over a period of 100 years.
Dr Gauci told us that the authors had made an «enormous leap» assuming that the entire 50 billion tonnes of frozen
methane trapped
in ocean sediments would end up
in the
atmosphere over a ten - year period.
Schmidt: What we've been doing
in the last 150 years is we've been increasing the amount of greenhouse gasses
in the
atmosphere —
over 40 %
in terms of CO2, we've more than doubled the amount of
methane, which is another greenhouse gas, and the signatures of those changes are very very clear, all the way through the system.
Following scientific scrutiny
over these figures, tests were carried out at various fracking sites across the US to find the true extent of leakages and ACTUAL DATA showed that
in some places a deadly amount of up to 17 % of extracted
methane was being leaked into the
atmosphere.
This
methane increases the GHG effect by 0.9 parts per million
over the present 400 parts per million of CO2 now
in the
atmosphere.
The permafrost of the world's largest peat bog,
in West Siberia, 10 contains some 70 billion metric tons of
methane — equal to about 16 percent of all the carbon added to the
atmosphere from fossil fuel combustion, land - use changes, and cement manufacture
over the course of the past 150 years (from 1850 to 2000).7
Since
methane has a much shorter residence time
in the
atmosphere than carbon dioxide, but has a greater warming potential
over that time, the use of a 20 - year time frame makes
methane seem more serious than if a timeframe of 100 years or longer is used.
If it escapes into the
atmosphere instead,
methane acts as a potent greenhouse gas —
in fact, it is
over 20 times more effective at trapping heat than carbon dioxide.
Methane has a restricted lifetime
in the
atmosphere, measured
in decades, but while present
in the air it has a greenhouse effect some 25 times that of CO2
over a 100 - year period and higher values
over shorter periods.
RealClimate is wonderful, and an excellent source of reliable information.As I've said before,
methane is an extremely dangerous component to global warming.Comment # 20 is correct.There is a sharp melting point to frozen
methane.A huge increase
in the release of
methane could happen within the next 50 years.At what point
in the Earth's temperature rise and the rise of co2 would a huge
methane melt occur?No one has answered that definitive issue.If I ask you all at what point would huge amounts of extra
methane start melting, i.e at what temperature rise of the ocean near the Artic
methane ice deposits would the
methane melt, or at what point
in the rise of co2 concentrations
in the
atmosphere would the
methane melt, I believe that no one could currently tell me the actual answer as to where the sharp melting point exists.Of course, once that tipping point has been reached, and billions of tons of
methane outgass from what had been locked stores of
methane, locked away for an eternity, it is exactly the same as the burning of stored fossil fuels which have been stored for an eternity as well.And even though
methane does not have as long a life as co2, while it is around
in the air it can cause other tipping points, i.e. permafrost melting, to arrive much sooner.I will reiterate what I've said before on this and other sites.
Methane is a hugely underreported, underestimated risk.How about RealClimate attempts to model exactly what would happen to other tipping points, such as the melting permafrost, if indeed a huge increase
in the melting of the methal hydrate ice WERE to occur within the next 50 years.My amateur guess is that the huge, albeit temporary, increase
in methane over even three or four decades might push other relevent tipping points to arrive much, much, sooner than they normally would, thereby vastly incresing negative feedback mechanisms.We KNOW that quick, huge, changes occured
in the Earth's climate
in the past.See other relevent posts
in the past from Realclimate.Climate often does not change slowly, but undergoes huge, quick, changes periodically, due to negative feedbacks accumulating, and tipping the climate to a quick change.Why should the danger from huge potential
methane releases be vievwed with any less trepidation?
It is also a potent greenhouse gas that contributes to climate change:
Methane is
over 20 times more effective at trapping heat
in the
atmosphere than carbon dioxide, although it is not as long - lived.
``... modeling and isotopic fingerprinting of ice - core
methane do not support such a release to the
atmosphere over the last 100,000 years or
in the near future,» the report says.
My understanding is that the
atmosphere warmed by about 6 degrees C from our current level, and that triggered increasing releases of
methane from clathrates
in a positive feedback fashion
over thousands of years (or was it millions of years??).
In Actuality, air sampling surveys
over ESAS yield a calculated annual flux to the
atmosphere of 8 Tg C - CH ₄ (Shakhova et al., 2010), a figure 200 x higher than the model estimate (at Year - 1 of this 100 - kyr - scale warming) and equivalent to the
methane emissions of the entire world's oceans.
Each year a thicker heat - trapping blanket of fossil fuel pollution — carbon dioxide,
methane — is spread
over the world's surface, trapping more heat
in our
atmosphere, and causing global temperatures to soar.